Atlanta Dream vs Washington Mystics Prediction, 7/2/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Atlanta Dream vs Washington Mystics

Date: Thursday, July 2, 2026

Location: CareFirst Arena in Washington, DC

TV: WNBA League Pass

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (-6.5)

The Washington Mystics (9-9) play the Atlanta Dream (12-7) at CareFirst Arena on Thursday. Atlanta opens this contest as 6.5 point favorites. The total has been set at 165.5.

The Atlanta Dream stepped onto the hardwood against the Seattle Storm and ended up losing by a score of 105-90 in their last contest. Atlanta wrapped up the contest with a 42.9% field goal percentage (30 of 70) and made 7 of their 29 shots from 3-point land. At the free throw line, the Dream buried 23 of their 26 tries for a percentage of 88.5%. Concerning rebounding, they compiled a total of 26 with 6 of them being on the offensive end. They also doled out 22 assists in this game in addition to forcing the other team into 17 turnovers and getting 7 steals. In regard to defending, Atlanta allowed the other team to go 60.3% from the floor on 38 out of 63 shooting. Seattle recorded 8 assists and had 5 steals in the matchup. Additionally, Seattle pulled down 34 rebounds (8 offensive, 26 defensive) and added 4 blocked shots. Seattle ended up going 75.0% from the charity stripe by converting 15 of their 20 attempts. They also converted 14 of 23 attempts from 3-point range.

Rhyne Howard is one player who was a major factor in this matchup. She ended up with 27 points on 10 of 17 shooting. She played 38 mins played but did not grab any boards. Howard finished the game at 58.8% from the floor and also earned 3 assists.

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Atlanta steps onto the hardwood with a win-loss record of 12-7 for the year. They currently have an average of 88.3 pts per contest (7th in the WNBA) while hitting 43.7% from the floor. The Dream are hitting 32.7% on three-point attempts (164 of 501) and 75.3% from the charity stripe. As a team, Atlanta is pulling in 34.7 rebounds per game and has accumulated 375 assists for the season, which has them ranked 11th in the WNBA in terms of passing the rock. They are turning it over 12.5 times per contest and as a team they are committing 19.1 personal fouls on a nightly basis. When they are on the defensive end, the Dream are forcing their opponents into 15.8 turnovers on a nightly basis and they draw 21.5 fouls. The Dream defensively are giving up and opponent field goal percentage of 47.1% (301 of 408) and they surrender 29.9 boards per game as a group. They currently rank 5th in basketball in giving up assists with 368 relinquished on the year. They are surrendering 36.5% on shots from beyond the arc and they rank 4th in the league in points per game allowed (83.8).

When they last played, the Washington Mystics got the victory with a final of 124-123 when they played the Portland Fire. The Mystics were able to snag 33 defensive boards and 12 offensive boards for a total of 45 in this game. They gave up possession 17 times, while recording 10 steals for the contest. The Fire were called for 39 fouls in this contest which got the Mystics to the free throw line for a total of 41 shots. They were able to bury 30 of the free throw attempts for a percentage of 73.2%. In relation to shots from downtown, Washington converted 10 out of 29 tries (34.5%). At the conclusion of this game, the Mystics ended up shooting 42 out of 98 from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 42.9%. The Mystics allowed the Fire to convert 45 of their 101 tries from the field which left them shooting 44.6% in this game. They shot 35.9% from beyond the arc by hitting 14 out of 39 and ended up going 19 of 21 at the free throw line (90.5%). Regarding rebounding, Washington allowed Portland to grab 44 in total (12 on the offensive glass).

Sonia Citron ended up being a factor for the Mystics in this game. She converted 9 of 20 for the matchup giving her a rate of 45.0%, and accounted for 6 rebounds. Citron tallied 32 points in her 53 mins on the court and had 4 assists for the game.

Washington has a record of 9-9 on the year. As an offensive team, the Mystics are hitting on 44.1% from the floor, which ranks 8th in basketball. Washington has tallied 1,492 points so far this season (82.9 per contest) and they snag 36.2 rebounds per contest. They are dishing out assists 19.4 times per game (11th in the WNBA) and they turn the ball over 16.1 times per contest. The Mystics commit 21.8 fouls per contest and they hit 73.7% from the free throw line. The Mystics are ranked 7th in basketball in points given up per game with 86.2. The Washington defense surrenders 34.1% on 3-point attempts (158 of 463) and opponents are knocking down 78.8% of their foul shots. They concede 20.2 dimes and 30.9 rebounds on a nightly basis, which has them ranked 9th and 3rd in the WNBA. They are forcing 13.6 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 43.3% from the field (4th in basketball).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Atlanta (-6.5)

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