Atlanta Dream vs Washington Mystics Prediction, 9/30/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Atlanta Dream vs Washington Mystics

Date: Wednesday, September 30, 2026

Location: CareFirst Arena in Washington, DC

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (-3.5)

The Washington Mystics (28-16) host the Atlanta Dream (30-14) at CareFirst Arena on Wednesday in Game 2 of their 1st round series. Atlanta leads 1-0. Washington opens this matchup as 3.5 point dogs. The over/under opens at 164.5.

The Atlanta Dream faced off with the Washington Mystics and took home the win by a score of 92-77 in their last game. Atlanta finished the game having earned a 40.8% FG percentage (31 of 76) and converted 5 of 21 shots from beyond the perimeter. At the free throw line, the Dream made 25 of 26 tries for a rate of 96.2%. When discussing hauling in boards, they earned a total of 35 with 12 of them being of the offensive sort. They also doled out 25 assists for this game as well as forcing the other team into 18 turnovers and having 12 steals. In reference to defense, Atlanta let their opponent shoot 41.2% from the floor on 28 of 68 shooting. Washington dished out 7 assists and had 3 steals for the contest. In addition, Washington totaled 40 rebounds (7 offensive, 33 defensive) and earned 5 blocks. Washington finished the game shooting 68.2% when shooting free throws by making 15 of 22 tries. They converted 6 of 19 attempts from beyond the perimeter.

Rhyne Howard is a player who had an impact for this contest. She walked away with 26 points on 7 out of 18 shooting. She saw the court for 39 mins played and pulled down 1 board. Howard finished the game shooting 38.9% from the field and also recorded 1 assist.

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Atlanta comes into this matchup with a win-loss mark of 30-14 for the campaign. They turn it over 12.6 times per contest and as a group they commit 19.6 personal fouls per game. As a unit, Atlanta is collecting 35.6 boards per game and has accounted for 944 dimes so far this year, which ranks 6th in basketball in terms of passing. The Dream are shooting 32.5% from downtown (394 of 1,212) and 78.6% from the charity stripe. They average 91.3 pts per contest (3rd in the WNBA) while connecting on 44.2% from the field. Defensively, the Dream are able to force 15.4 turnovers per game while drawing 21.2 fouls. The Dream are giving up a field goal percentage of 46.9% (676 of 934) and they surrender 31.0 boards per game as a team. They are currently ranked 3rd in the WNBA in giving up assists with 843 conceded for the year. They give up 34.8% on shots from downtown while they are 4th in the league in PPG allowed (84.5).

The last time they took the court, the Washington Mystics took a loss by a final score of 92-77 against the Atlanta Dream. The Mystics earned 35 defensive rebounds and 15 offensive boards totaling 50 for the matchup. They turned the ball over 22 times, while earning 2 steals in the matchup. The Dream earned 21 personal fouls in this matchup which got the Mystics to the charity stripe for 22 attempts. They were able to knock down 15 of the free throw tries for a clip of 68.2%. In relation to shots from beyond the arc, Washington converted 6 of 19 tries (31.6%). When the game finished, the Mystics ended up going 28 for 68 from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 41.2%. The Mystics allowed the Dream to bury 31 of their 76 attempts from the floor which left them with a shooting percentage of 40.8% for this game. They went 23.8% from beyond the perimeter by shooting 5 out of 21 and finished the contest at 25 out of 26 at the free throw line (96.2%). When discussing how they cleaned up the glass, Washington allowed Atlanta to collect 31 in all (5 on the offensive side).

Sonia Citron ended up having an impact for the Mystics for the game. She converted 8 out of 15 in the matchup giving her a rate of 53.3%, and accounted for 6 rebounds. Citron tallied 25 points in her 35 minutes on the hardwood and had 3 dimes for this game.

Washington has a mark of 28-16 for the year. Washington has accounted for 3,696 pts this year (84.0 per game) and they grab 37.7 boards per contest. The Mystics have committed 19.3 personal fouls per contest and they shoot 73.1% from the free throw line. As an offense, the Mystics are shooting 45.4% from the field, which is 7th in basketball. They are getting an assist 19.7 times per game (11th in basketball) and they are turning it over 14.7 times per contest. The Mystics are ranked 2nd in the WNBA in points allowed per game with 82.7. They are able to force 12.1 turnovers on a nightly basis and allow teams to shoot 43.1% from the field (2nd in basketball). The Washington defense surrenders 32.8% on shots from beyond the arc (369 of 1,125) and opponents are making 78.1% of their free throw shots. They allow 19.9 dimes and 30.1 boards on a nightly basis, which is ranked 4th and 1st in basketball.

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Atlanta (-3.5)

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