Chicago Sky vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction, 5/15/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Chicago Sky vs Phoenix Mercury
Date: Friday, May 15, 2026
Location: Mortgage Matchup Center in Phoenix, AZ
TV: ION
Odds/Point Spread: Chicago (+4.5)
The Chicago Sky (2-0) are headed to Mortgage Matchup Center on Friday where they'll take on the Phoenix Mercury (1-2). The spread on this matchup has Phoenix as 4.5 point favorites. The over/under is set at 166.5.
The Chicago Sky faced the Golden State Valkyries and went home with a win by a final score of 69-63 in their last contest. Chicago ended the contest with a 36.2% FG percentage (25 out of 69) and buried 6 of their 20 3-point shots. From the charity stripe, the Sky buried 13 of 21 attempts for a percentage of 61.9%. In relation to rebounding, they collected 46 with 14 of them being of the offensive sort. They also dished out 22 dimes in this contest while forcing 8 turnovers and earning 4 steals. With respect to defense, Chicago allowed 29.3% from the field on 22 of 75 shooting. Golden State distributed 3 assists and had 6 steals for the matchup. On top of that, Golden State had 24 rebounds (3 offensive, 21 defensive) and had 7 rejections. Golden State shot 75.0% from the free throw line by burying 12 of 16 attempts. They also knocked down 7 out of their 26 shots from beyond the arc.

Rickea Jackson is a player who was a major contributor for the matchup. She was able to score 18 points on 6 of 18 shooting. She was on the hardwood for 39 minutes and also pulled down 5 rebounds. Rickea Jackson finished the contest at 33.3% from the floor and also distributed 5 dimes.
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Chicago enters this matchup with a record of 2-0 this year. They have an average of 83.5 pts per game (9th in the WNBA) while shooting 42.0% from the field. The Sky are shooting 32.4% on three-point attempts (12 of 37) and 70.9% from the free throw line. As a team, Chicago is pulling in 42.5 boards per game and has totaled 41 dimes on the season, which ranks 9th in the WNBA in terms of passing the ball. They turn the ball over 8.5 times per contest and as a squad are committing 18.0 personal fouls per game. When they are on defense, the Sky are able to force 9.5 turnovers per game and they draw 21.5 personal fouls. They surrender 29.1% on shots from distance while they are 2nd in the league in points per game allowed (73.0). The Sky defensively are giving up a field goal percentage of 34.9% (19 of 43) and they concede 33.0 boards per contest as a group. They are ranked 2nd in basketball in giving up assists to their opponents with 30 surrendered so far this year.
In their last game, the Phoenix Mercury took a loss by a score of 88-84 against the Minnesota Lynx. The Mercury collected 22 defensive boards and 9 offensive boards totaling 31 in the matchup. They coughed up the ball 11 times, while recording 11 steals for the matchup. The Lynx had 28 personal fouls for the game which took the Mercury to the free throw line for a total of 33 attempts. They were able to convert 23 of the free throws for a clip of 69.7%. Concerning shots from distance, Phoenix made 9 out of their 29 attempts (31.0%). When all was said and done, the Mercury shot 26 for 71 from the field which had them shooting 36.6%. The Mercury allowed the Lynx to bury 32 out of 64 tries from the floor which left them shooting 50.0% in this contest. They finished the game shooting 36.8% from distance by connecting on 7 of 19 and walked away from this one shooting 17 of 24 at the free throw line (70.8%). When discussing how they attacked the glass, Phoenix permitted Minnesota to grab 43 in all (9 on the offensive glass).
Kahleah Copper ended up having an impact for the Mercury in this contest. She knocked down 9 out of 21 in this game giving her a rate of 42.9%, and had 1 rebound. Copper earned 30 points in her 35 mins of playing time and had 2 assists in the game.
Phoenix has a mark of 1-2 on the year. The Mercury are committing 17.7 personal fouls per contest and they go 76.1% from the charity stripe. They are assisting teammates 21.0 times per contest (4th in the WNBA) and they cough up possession 11.7 times per contest. Phoenix has scored 262 points for the season (87.3 per contest) and they average 30.7 boards per contest. As an offense, the Mercury are connecting on 44.6% from the field, which is ranked 7th in basketball. The Mercury are ranked 7th in the league in points given up per game with 83.0. The Phoenix defense concedes 33.8% on 3-point attempts (24 of 71) and their opponents are connecting on 74.0% of their shots from the free throw line. They have given up 21.3 dimes and 36.0 boards on a nightly basis, which is 13th and 11th in the WNBA. They are forcing their opponents into 13.7 turnovers on a nightly basis and allow teams to shoot 46.5% from the floor (11th in the league).
So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?
Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Phoenix (-4.5) and over 166.5 points
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Additional Resources:
Phoenix Mercury - Twitter
Chicago Sky - Twitter

