Connecticut Sun vs Chicago Sky Prediction, 7/30/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Connecticut Sun vs Chicago Sky

Date: Thursday, July 30, 2026

Location: Wintrust Arena in Chicago, IL

TV: Prime Video

Odds/Point Spread: Connecticut (+3.5)

Wintrust Arena is the site where and the Chicago Sky (9-18) will take on the Connecticut Sun (7-21) on Thursday. Connecticut opens this contest as 3.5 point underdogs. The O/U opens at 171.5.

The Connecticut Sun faced the Washington Mystics and went home with a loss by a final score of 92-84 in their last contest. Connecticut ended having earned a 41.3% FG percentage (31 of 75) and knocked down 11 of 25 shots from distance. At the free throw line, the Sun knocked down 11 of 18 attempts for a rate of 61.1%. When discussing rebounding, they compiled 28 with 11 of them being offensive. They also dished out 21 dimes in this matchup in addition to forcing the other team into 13 turnovers and getting 8 steals. In reference to defense, Connecticut allowed their opponent to shoot 43.3% from the floor on 29 of 67 shooting. Washington earned 29 assists and had 7 steals in this matchup. Additionally, Washington snagged 35 rebounds (8 offensive, 27 defensive) and added 7 rejections. Washington ended up going 84.8% at the free throw line by making 28 of their 33 attempts. They also made 6 of 12 tries from distance.

Aneesah Morrow is one player who played a role in this game. She notched 21 points on 8 of 16 shooting. She played 26 minutes and pulled down 4 rebounds. Morrow finished the contest at 50.0% from the field and totaled 4 dimes.

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Connecticut heads into this game with a mark of 7-21 for the season. The Sun are shooting 29.0% on shots from 3-point land (149 of 514) and 69.4% from the charity stripe. They average 80.1 points per game (15th in the WNBA) while hitting 43.6% from the floor. They are giving up possession 13.8 times per game and as a basketball team are committing 23.0 personal fouls per contest. As a team, Connecticut is pulling down 32.9 boards per game and has accumulated 543 dimes for the campaign, which ranks 11th in the WNBA in terms of passing. On the defensive end, the Sun are forcing 14.7 turnovers on a nightly basis and they draw 20.5 fouls. They are ranked 8th in the WNBA in giving up assists to their opponents with 556 conceded on the campaign. The Sun defense is giving up a FG percentage of 46.3% (411 of 574) and they relinquish 32.8 boards per game as a unit. They are giving up 35.8% on shots from distance and they are 9th in the league in PPG allowed (87.3).

The last time they took the hardwood, the Chicago Sky went home defeated by a final of 95-94 when they faced the New York Liberty. The Sky were able to pull down 26 defensive rebounds and 4 offensive boards for a total of 30 for the contest. They also gave up possession of the ball 9 times, while recording 8 steals for the game. The Liberty had 16 fouls for the matchup which got the Sky to the charity stripe for a total of 21 attempts. They were able to bury 19 of the free throw tries for a rate of 90.5%. Regarding shots from beyond the perimeter, Chicago knocked down 7 of 21 tries (33.3%). When the final whistle was blown, the Sky finished the game shooting 34 out of 71 from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 47.9%. The Sky permitted the Liberty to bury 29 out of their 71 attempts from the field which gave them a rate of 40.8% in this matchup. They wrapped up this game 39.3% from distance by shooting 11 out of 28 and walked away from this one shooting 26 of 28 from the charity stripe (92.9%). Concerning rebounding, Chicago allowed New York to pull down 37 in total (10 offensive).

Sydney Taylor ended up being a major contributor for the Sky for the game. She made 9 out of 17 for this game for a rate of 52.9%, and had 3 rebounds. Taylor earned 31 points in her 26 mins of playing time and totaled 3 dimes in this contest.

Chicago has a win-loss record of 9-18 on the year. As an offense, the Sky are hitting on 44.3% from the floor, which is ranked 9th in the league. Chicago has earned 2,363 pts on the year (87.5 per contest) and they pull in 33.1 boards per game. They are earning an assist 21.2 times per contest (5th in basketball) and they turn it over 12.5 times per contest. The Sky have committed 21.5 fouls per game and they connect on 76.5% from the charity stripe. The Sky on defense are ranked 11th in the league in PPG surrendered with 89.7. They are forcing 13.1 turnovers per game and have let teams shoot 44.1% from the field (6th in basketball). The Chicago defense allows 31.0% from downtown (203 of 654) and their opponents are converting on 80.5% of their shots from the free throw line. They give up 19.6 dimes and 37.4 boards per game, which has them ranked 4th and 15th in the WNBA.

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Chicago (-3.5)

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