Connecticut Sun vs Indiana Fever Prediction, 8/28/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Connecticut Sun vs Indiana Fever

Date: Friday, August 28, 2026

Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, IN

TV: ION

Odds/Point Spread: Connecticut (+16.5)

Gainbridge Fieldhouse is the venue where and the Indiana Fever (25-14) will play the Connecticut Sun (10-28) on Friday. The odds on this game have Indiana as 16.5 point favorites. The O/U is set at 180.5.

The Connecticut Sun played the Golden State Valkyries and took a loss by a score of 89-64 in their last contest. Connecticut walked away from the contest with a 31.0% field goal percentage (22 out of 71) and converted 6 out of their 31 3-point attempts. From the charity stripe, the Sun converted 14 of their 24 attempts for a percentage of 58.3%. In relation to grabbing rebounds, they compiled a total of 37 with 7 of them being on the offensive end. They also recorded 21 dimes in this contest while creating 9 turnovers and earning 7 steals. When talking about defending, Connecticut allowed the other team to shoot 54.0% from the field on 34 of 63 shooting. Golden State totaled 23 assists and had 5 steals in this contest. Furthermore, Golden State pulled down 34 boards (9 offensive, 25 defensive) and added 8 blocks. Golden State finished 73.3% from the charity stripe by converting 11 of their 15 shots. They also made 10 of 25 tries from beyond the arc.

Charlisse Leger-Walker is a player who was a major factor in this game. She ended up scoring 17 points on 5 of 6 shooting. She played 17 mins and also pulled down 3 boards. Leger-Walker finished the game at 83.3% from the floor and also distributed 4 dimes.

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Connecticut steps onto the court with a win-loss mark of 10-28 for the campaign. They have an average of 78.9 pts per game (15th in the league) on 42.5% from the floor. The Sun are hitting 29.2% on 3-pointers (215 of 737) and 70.4% from the charity stripe. As a unit, Connecticut is grabbing 32.8 boards per game and has racked up 724 assists this year, which has them ranked 15th in basketball in terms of passing the ball. They turn it over 13.7 times per game and as a team they are committing 22.4 personal fouls per game. Defensively, the Sun are forcing 14.3 turnovers per game and they draw 20.1 fouls. They are relinquishing 35.5% from 3-point land and they are 7th in the league in points per game from their opponents (86.9). The Sun are giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 46.3% (542 of 763) and they surrender 33.5 boards per game as a unit. They are 5th in basketball in giving up assists with 762 surrendered for the year.

The last time they took the court, the Indiana Fever got the victory with a final of 113-90 when they played the Chicago Sky. The Fever collected 24 defensive rebounds and 7 offensive rebounds for a total of 31 in this contest. They also turned it over 7 times, while earning 6 steals for the contest. The Sky were called for 21 personal fouls for the matchup which took the Fever to the charity stripe for a total of 16 attempts. They were able to knock down 11 of the free throw attempts for a clip of 68.8%. When it comes to shots from downtown, Indiana made 18 out of their 33 attempts (54.5%). When all was said and done, the Fever went 42 for 79 from the field which gave them a percentage of 53.2%. The Fever permitted the Sky to knock down 35 of 69 attempts from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 50.7% in this game. They finished the game shooting 19.0% from three-point range by hitting 4 out of 21 and ended up shooting 16 of 17 from the free throw line (94.1%). Regarding team rebounding, Indiana permitted Chicago to get 34 overall (8 offensive).

Caitlin Clark ended up being a factor for the Fever for the matchup. She converted 13 out of 24 for the contest for a field goal percentage of 54.2%, and earned 3 rebounds. Clark recorded 37 points in her 32 minutes on the court and had 10 dimes for the game.

Indiana has a win-loss mark of 25-14 for the year. Indiana has totaled 3,769 points so far this season (96.6 per game) and they collect 33.2 boards per game. The Fever commit 21.6 fouls per game and they shoot 81.6% from the charity stripe. On the offensive side of the ball, the Fever are shooting 48.9% from the field, which is ranked 1st in the league. Their rate of assisting teammates is at 20.7 times per contest (9th in the league) and they lose possession by turning the ball over 13.4 times per game. The Fever on the defensive side of the court are 12th in the WNBA in points allowed per contest with 90.9. They are able to force 12.4 TO's per game and have allowed teams to shoot 46.1% from the field (9th in the league). The Indiana defense concedes 33.3% on shots from beyond the perimeter (301 of 905) and their opponents are connecting on 78.6% of their shots from the free throw line. They have relinquished 20.7 dimes and 31.6 boards on a nightly basis, which has them ranked 10th and 4th in the league.

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Indiana (-16.5)

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