Connecticut Sun vs New York Liberty Prediction, 5/8/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Connecticut Sun vs New York Liberty

Date: Friday, May 8, 2026

Location: Barclays Center in Brooklyn, NY

TV: ION

Odds/Point Spread: Connecticut (+12.5)

The Connecticut Sun (11-33 last year) are headed to Barclays Center on Friday where they'll meet the New York Liberty (27-17 last season). New York opens this contest as 12.5 point favorites. The O/U opens at 163.5.

The Connecticut Sun played the Atlanta Dream and took a loss by a final of 88-72 in their last game. Connecticut finished with a 35.6% field goal percentage (26 of 73) and knocked down 3 of 20 three-point shots. At the charity stripe, the Sun knocked down 17 of their 21 shots for a percentage of 81.0%. With respect to grabbing rebounds, they compiled 35 with 14 of them being on the offensive end. They also recorded 14 dimes in the matchup in addition to forcing 13 turnovers and getting 10 steals. When talking about defense, Connecticut allowed their opponent to shoot 54.1% from the floor on 33 of 61 shooting. Atlanta doled out 26 assists and had 7 steals for the contest. In addition, Atlanta collected 31 rebounds (5 offensive, 26 defensive) and had 9 rejections. Atlanta shot 85.7% at the charity stripe by knocking down 12 of 14 tries. They buried 10 out of their 27 attempts from long range.

Marina Mabrey is one player who was a major factor in the game. She accumulated 22 points on 8 out of 15 shooting. She was on the hardwood for 36 mins played and also grabbed 1 rebound. Mabrey ended up shooting 53.3% from the field and also totaled 5 dimes.

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Connecticut heads into this matchup after finishing with a win-loss mark of 11-33 last year. The Sun connected on 30.2% on 3-point shots (271 of 896) and 79.3% from the free throw line. They averaged 75.8 points per game (12th in the WNBA) while shooting 41.2% from the floor. They lost possession by turning the ball over 13.1 times per game and as a squad committed 19.6 personal fouls per game. As a team, Connecticut pulled down 31.9 rebounds per contest and tallied 765 assists last season, which ranked 13th in the league in terms of passing. On defense, the Sun were able to force 13.6 turnovers on a nightly basis while drawing 17.5 fouls. They were ranked 11th in the WNBA in giving up assists to their opponents with 954 conceded throughout last year. The Sun defensively gave up an opponent shooting percentage of 46.6% (1,340 of 2,878) and they surrendered 35.3 boards per game as a group. They relinquished 34.9% on shots from beyond the arc while they were 11th in basketball in opponents PPG (86.0).

The last time they took the court, the New York Liberty took a defeat with a final score of 79-73 when they faced the Phoenix Mercury. The Liberty pulled down 31 defensive rebounds and 2 offensive rebounds for a total of 33 for the game. They also gave up possession of the ball 10 times, while recording 7 steals in this contest. The Mercury committed 20 fouls in the game which took the Liberty to the charity stripe for 26 attempts. They were able to bury 20 of the free throw attempts for a clip of 76.9%. In reference to 3-point attempts, New York buried 7 out of their 32 attempts (21.9%). In all, the Liberty finished 23 out of 68 from the field which gave them a rate of 33.8%. The Liberty allowed the Mercury to bury 26 out of their 71 tries from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 36.6% for the contest. They finished shooting 37.5% from three-point range by shooting 9 of 24 and ended up shooting 18 out of 22 from the free throw line (81.8%). In relation to cleaning up the glass, New York permitted Phoenix to collect 49 overall (8 on the offensive glass).

Breanna Stewart ended up being important for the Liberty in this contest. She converted 8 of 17 in this contest giving her a field goal percentage of 47.1%, and totaled 9 rebounds. Stewart earned 30 points in her 35 minutes of playing time and accounted for 3 assists for the matchup.

New York had a record of 27-17 last year. New York accounted for 3,713 points over the course of last season (84.4 per game) and they averaged 33.7 boards per contest. As an offensive unit, the Liberty hit 45.3% from the floor, which ranked 4th in the WNBA. The Liberty were responsible for committing 16.2 fouls per contest and they shot 83.7% from the charity stripe. They earned an assist 21.8 times per game (2nd in the WNBA) and they coughed up possession 12.9 times per contest. The Liberty on the defensive end were ranked 6th in the WNBA in points allowed per contest with 80.3. They were able to force 12.6 turnovers per game and let teams shoot 42.4% from the floor (3rd in basketball). The New York defense gave up 31.5% on 3-point attempts (361 of 1,145) and their opposition knocked down 74.0% of their shots from the charity stripe. They relinquished 19.8 dimes and 35.3 total rebounds per game, ranking them 7th and 11th in those categories on the defensive end.

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Connecticut (+12.5)

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