Connecticut Sun vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction, 7/19/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Connecticut Sun vs Phoenix Mercury

Date: Sunday, July 19, 2026

Location: Mortgage Matchup Center in Phoenix, AZ

TV: ESPN

Mortgage Matchup Center is the site where and the Phoenix Mercury (8-17) will take on the Connecticut Sun (6-18) on Sunday.

The Connecticut Sun faced off with the Portland Fire and notched a win by a score of 90-87 in their last game. Connecticut ended having earned a 52.2% field goal percentage (35 out of 67) and knocked down 3 of 14 shots from beyond the arc. From the free throw line, the Sun converted 17 of 20 tries for a percentage of 85.0%. When discussing rebounding, they collected 31 with 11 of them being on the offensive end. They also distributed 28 assists for the contest as well as forcing the other team into 15 turnovers and getting 11 steals. In regard to the defense, Connecticut allowed the other team to go 48.3% from the floor on 29 of 60 shooting. Portland earned 19 dimes and had 10 steals in this matchup. Moreover, Portland grabbed 24 rebounds (4 offensive, 20 defensive) and had 3 rejections. Portland walked away from this one shooting 95.2% from the free throw line by burying 20 of 21 attempts. They also made 9 of 26 tries from beyond the arc.

Aaliyah Edwards is one player who was a contributor in this contest. She finished with 21 points on 9 of 13 shooting. She saw the court for 24 mins and also totaled 8 rebounds. Edwards ended up going 69.2% from the field and also earned 3 assists.

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Connecticut comes into this contest with a mark of 6-18 so far this year. They are turning it over 13.8 times per contest and as a team are committing 22.8 fouls per contest. As a team, Connecticut is grabbing 33.2 boards per game and has tallied 461 assists on the season, which ranks 13th in the league in terms of passing the rock. The Sun are shooting 27.6% from downtown (120 of 435) and 69.1% from the charity stripe. They have an average of 79.7 pts per game (15th in the league) on 43.5% from the field. When they are on defense, the Sun have forced 14.9 turnovers per contest and they draw 21.0 personal fouls. They rank 6th in basketball in giving up assists with 470 relinquished for the year. The Sun defensively are giving up a FG percentage of 45.9% (357 of 504) and they concede 32.7 rebounds per game as a squad. They are giving up 35.8% from beyond the arc and they are 9th in the league in points per game allowed (86.4).

When they last stepped on the court, the Phoenix Mercury took a defeat with a final score of 104-100 when they faced the Minnesota Lynx. The Mercury were able to collect 22 defensive boards and 4 offensive boards for a total of 26 for the contest. They also gave up possession 14 times, while recording 5 steals for the game. The Lynx earned 21 fouls in the game which took the Mercury to the charity stripe for a total of 21 shots. They were able to make 19 of the free throw tries for a clip of 90.5%. In relation to 3-pointers, Phoenix made 11 of 25 attempts (44.0%). Overall, the Mercury walked away from this one shooting 35 for 63 from the field which had them shooting 55.6%. The Mercury allowed the Lynx to make 34 out of 61 tries from the floor which gave them a percentage of 55.7% in the matchup. They wrapped up this game 41.4% from beyond the arc by hitting 12 of 29 and finished the contest at 24 of 26 from the charity stripe (92.3%). In relation to cleaning up the glass, Phoenix permitted Minnesota to snag 24 in total (4 on the offensive side).

Kahleah Copper ended up having an impact for the Mercury in this contest. She knocked down 9 of 14 in the game giving her a rate of 64.3%, and had 3 rebounds. Copper accumulated 26 points in her 32 mins on the court and accounted for 1 assist for the contest.

Phoenix has a mark of 8-17 so far this year. Phoenix has scored 2,082 pts this year (83.3 per game) and they pull in 31.6 rebounds per game. The Mercury commit 18.1 personal fouls per game and they connect on 79.1% from the free throw line. When it comes to offense, the Mercury are shooting 43.8% from the field, which is ranked 9th in the WNBA. They are dishing out assists 19.3 times per contest (11th in the WNBA) and they lose possession via turnover 13.2 times per contest. The Mercury on defense are ranked 10th in the league in points allowed per game with 87.3. They are able to force 12.9 turnovers on a nightly basis and have let teams shoot 46.6% from the floor (13th in basketball). The Phoenix defense surrenders 37.5% on shots from distance (256 of 682) and opponents are converting on 80.4% of their shots from the free throw line. They have surrendered 21.0 assists and 33.4 rebounds per game, which has them ranked 13th and 9th in the WNBA.

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Connecticut

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