Connecticut Sun vs Portland Fire Prediction, 5/18/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Connecticut Sun vs Portland Fire

Date: Monday, May 18, 2026

Location: Moda Center in Portland, OR

TV: WNBA League Pass

Odds/Point Spread: Connecticut (+3.5)

The Portland Fire (1-2) host the Connecticut Sun (0-4) at Moda Center on Monday. Portland opens this game as 3.5 point favorites. The O/U opens at 174.5.

The Connecticut Sun took the court against the Las Vegas Aces and went home with a loss by a final score of 101-94 in their last contest. Connecticut ended the contest having earned a 44.4% FG percentage (36 out of 81) and made 9 of their 25 shots from distance. At the free throw line, the Sun converted 13 of their 15 shots for a percentage of 86.7%. When discussing grabbing rebounds, they collected 29 with 8 of them being on the offensive end. They also doled out 16 dimes in the game while forcing the other team into 15 turnovers and earning 6 steals. In reference to defending, Connecticut allowed the other team to go 60.3% from the floor on 35 of 58 shooting. Las Vegas doled out 21 dimes and had 9 steals in this contest. Furthermore, Las Vegas pulled down 46 rebounds (12 offensive, 34 defensive) and had 6 rejections. Las Vegas walked away from this one shooting 78.1% from the charity stripe by converting 25 of 32 tries. They converted 6 of 13 tries from beyond the arc.

Hailey Van Lith is one player who played a role in the game. She accumulated 17 points on 7 of 11 shooting. She played 22 minutes played and also grabbed 1 rebound. Van Lith finished the game shooting 63.6% from the field and distributed 4 assists.

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Connecticut enters this contest with a mark of 0-4 so far this year. The Sun are connecting on 28.9% on shots from 3-point land (24 of 83) and 73.7% from the charity stripe. They average 80.0 points per outing (15th in the league) while hitting 39.1% from the floor. They turn it over 14.5 times per contest and as a unit they commit 24.5 personal fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, Connecticut is pulling down 33.5 boards per game and has accounted for 79 dimes for the season, which is 3rd in the league in terms of passing. Defensively, the Sun are able to force 15.5 turnovers per contest while drawing 20.5 fouls. They give up 37.8% on 3-point attempts and they are ranked 15th in basketball in points per game allowed (98.5). The Sun defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 52.7% (62 of 82) and they concede 35.8 rebounds per game as a unit. They are currently ranked 15th in the WNBA in allowing assists to the opposition with 85 conceded for the year.

When they last stepped on the court, the Portland Fire walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 100-82 when they faced the New York Liberty. The Fire were able to corral 23 defensive rebounds and 7 offensive rebounds for a total of 30 for the contest. They also gave up possession 15 times, while recording 7 steals in this contest. The Liberty were called for 19 personal fouls for this contest which took the Fire to the charity stripe for 20 attempts. They were able to convert 13 of those for a clip of 65.0%. When discussing three-point attempts, Portland knocked down 9 out of their 31 attempts (29.0%). Overall, the Fire ended up shooting 30 for 68 from the floor which gave them a rate of 44.1%. The Fire allowed the Liberty to convert 34 of their 67 tries from the field which had them sitting at 50.7% in this matchup. They wrapped up this game 39.5% from distance by going 15 of 38 and finished the game at 17 of 20 from the free throw line (85.0%). Regarding team rebounding, Portland permitted New York to snag 32 in all (4 on the offensive glass).

Megan Gustafson ended up being a major contributor for the Fire for this contest. She converted 5 out of 6 for the matchup for a rate of 83.3%, and accounted for 3 rebounds. Gustafson accumulated 14 points in her 14 minutes on the court, but wasn't able to tally an assist.

Portland has a mark of 1-2 on the campaign. When it comes to offensive execution, the Fire are connecting on 44.9% from the floor, which is 8th in basketball. Portland has scored 263 points on the year (87.7 per contest) and they average 26.7 boards per contest. They are assisting teammates 19.0 times per game (7th in the league) and they turn the ball over 12.0 times per contest. The Fire are committing 22.3 fouls per game and they go 80.0% from the charity stripe. The Fire defensively are ranked 14th in the league in points allowed per game with 98.0. They have conceded 25.7 dimes and 36.3 boards on a nightly basis, which ranks 15th and 15th in basketball. The Portland defense allows 41.0% on 3-pointers (34 of 83) and their opponents are knocking down 83.3% of their shots from the free throw line. They are forcing 13.0 turnovers per game and have let teams shoot 50.5% from the floor (12th in the league).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Portland (-3.5)

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