Dallas Wings vs Connecticut Sun Prediction, 7/2/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Dallas Wings vs Connecticut Sun

Date: Thursday, July 2, 2026

Location: PeoplesBank Arena in Hartford, CT

TV: Prime Video

Odds/Point Spread: Dallas (-8.5)

The Dallas Wings (11-8) go to PeoplesBank Arena on Thursday where they'll take on the Connecticut Sun (4-15). The line on this contest has Dallas as 8.5 point favorites. The over/under opens at 170.5.

The Dallas Wings stepped onto the hardwood against the Minnesota Lynx and took a loss by a score of 85-77 in their last contest. Dallas finished having earned a 37.8% field goal percentage (28 of 74) and buried 7 of 23 shots from beyond the perimeter. From the free throw line, the Wings converted 14 of their 15 attempts for a rate of 93.3%. When talking about grabbing rebounds, they earned 38 with 11 of them being offensive. They also distributed 13 dimes for this game as well as forcing the other team into 10 turnovers and having 7 steals. In regard to defending, Dallas allowed the other team to go 43.1% from the floor on 31 out of 72 shooting. Minnesota distributed 9 assists and had 9 steals in this game. Additionally, Minnesota grabbed 36 rebounds (9 offensive, 27 defensive) and had 5 blocked shots. Minnesota went 82.4% from the free throw line by converting 14 of their 17 attempts. They also made 9 out of their 23 shots from long range.

Paige Bueckers is a player who came through for the game. She finished with 25 points on 10 out of 17 shooting. She was on the hardwood for 36 mins and pulled down 3 rebounds. Bueckers went 58.8% from the field and also earned 4 dimes.

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Dallas comes into this matchup with a win-loss mark of 11-8 this year. They average 88.4 pts per contest (6th in the league) while hitting 45.9% from the floor. The Wings are connecting on 33.3% on 3-point shots (154 of 463) and 78.3% from the charity stripe. As a unit, Dallas is collecting 33.7 rebounds per game and has totaled 424 dimes so far this year, which is 2nd in the WNBA in terms of passing the ball. They lose possession by turning the ball over 10.7 times per game and as a unit are committing 18.3 fouls on a nightly basis. On the defensive end of the court, the Wings are forcing 13.2 turnovers per game and they draw 17.8 personal fouls. They currently rank 9th in the league in allowing assists to their opponents with 394 surrendered so far this year. The Wings are allowing an opponent FG percentage of 46.6% (251 of 338) and they concede 34.1 boards per game as a unit. They concede 35.8% on three-point shots and they rank 5th in the league in points per game allowed (85.6).

The last time they took the hardwood, the Connecticut Sun went home victorious with a score of 68-57 when they faced the Washington Mystics. The Sun recorded 22 defensive rebounds and 5 offensive boards for a total of 27 in the game. They turned it over 9 times, while recording 12 steals in this matchup. The Mystics were called for 15 personal fouls for this contest which got the Sun to the charity stripe for a total of 10 tries. They were able to bury 7 of the free throws for a clip of 70.0%. In reference to three-point attempts, Connecticut converted 5 out of 12 attempts (41.7%). When the final whistle was blown, the Sun went 28 out of 68 from the floor which gave them a rate of 41.2%. The Sun allowed the Mystics to bury 19 of 55 attempts from the floor which left them with a shooting percentage of 34.5% for the matchup. They finished 27.8% from three-point range by shooting 5 out of 18 and ended up shooting 14 out of 25 at the free throw line (56.0%). With respect to team rebounding, Connecticut permitted Washington to collect 45 in total (12 offensive).

Leila Lacan ended up being a major contributor for the Sun for the game. She knocked down 4 out of 10 in this matchup for a rate of 40.0%, but finished without a board. Lacan racked up 12 points in her 29 minutes of playing time and had 5 dimes in the matchup.

Connecticut has a win-loss mark of 4-15 for the campaign. Connecticut has scored 1,506 points on the season (79.3 per game) and they collect 33.7 rebounds per game. The Sun are committing 23.3 personal fouls per contest and they go 68.7% from the free throw line. On the offensive side of the court, the Sun are shooting 42.8% from the floor, which is ranked 13th in the league. They are earning an assist 18.8 times per game (14th in the league) and they turn the ball over 13.3 times per game. The Sun on the defensive side of the court are 9th in the league in PPG given up with 86.6. The Connecticut defense gives up 35.3% on three-point shots (161 of 456) and their opponents are knocking down 77.7% of their free throw attempts. They have allowed 19.4 dimes and 33.4 total rebounds per game, which ranks them 6th and 8th in the WNBA. They are forcing 15.1 turnovers per game and have let teams shoot 45.4% from the field (8th in basketball).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Connecticut (+8.5)

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