Dallas Wings vs Golden State Valkyries Prediction, 10/2/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Dallas Wings vs Golden State Valkyries

Date: Friday, October 2, 2026

Location: Chase Center in San Francisco, CA

TV: ESPN2

Odds/Point Spread: Dallas (+8.5)

The Dallas Wings (27-17) head to Chase Center on Friday where they'll take on the Golden State Valkyries (32-12) in Game 3 of their 1st round series. The series is tied 1-1. Dallas opens this game as 8.5 point dogs. The over/under opens at 158.5.

The Dallas Wings earned the victory by a final of 108-100 in Game 2 to keep their season alive. Dallas wrapped up the contest with a 50.0% FG percentage (32 out of 64) and made 12 of 23 3-pointers. At the charity stripe, the Wings made 32 of 37 attempts for a percentage of 86.5%. Concerning hauling in rebounds, they earned a total of 29 with 7 of them being on the offensive end. They also dished out 20 assists for this contest in addition to forcing the opposition into 10 turnovers and getting 6 steals. Concerning defense, Dallas allowed 46.6% from the field on 34 out of 73 shooting. Golden State earned 6 dimes and had 8 steals in this matchup. Furthermore, Golden State had 29 rebounds (6 offensive, 23 defensive) and got 2 blocked shots. Golden State finished the game at 87.0% at the charity stripe by converting 20 of their 23 attempts. They also made 12 of their 27 attempts from beyond the perimeter.

Arike Ogunbowale is one player who was a contributor for the game. She accumulated 45 points on 12 out of 23 shooting. She was on the hardwood for 42 mins played and grabbed 7 rebounds. Ogunbowale finished shooting 52.2% from the floor and also earned 4 dimes.

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Dallas steps onto the hardwood with a record of 27-17 for the campaign. They are turning it over 11.0 times per game and as a squad are committing 18.3 fouls per game. As a team, Dallas is pulling in 34.6 rebounds per game and has accounted for 979 dimes on the year, which is 1st in the league in terms of passing the ball. The Wings are hitting 34.6% on shots from beyond the arc (363 of 1,048) and 78.7% from the free throw line. They have an average of 89.4 points per outing (6th in the league) while connecting on 46.8% from the field. On the defensive end, the Wings are forcing their opponents into 12.0 turnovers per game and they draw 18.4 fouls. They are currently ranked 5th in the league in allowing assists with 877 relinquished so far this season. The Wings defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 44.8% (526 of 808) and they concede 33.3 rebounds per game as a group. They relinquish 33.1% on shots from beyond the arc and they are 5th in the WNBA in PPG from their opponents (85.3).

In Game 2, the Valkyries corralled 27 defensive boards and 6 offensive rebounds for a total of 33 for the matchup. They gave up possession 4 times, while earning 5 steals in this matchup. The Wings committed 15 fouls for the game which got the Valkyries to the free throw line for a total of 23 shots. They were able to make 20 of them for a rate of 87.0%. Regarding three-point attempts, Golden State converted 12 of 27 attempts (44.4%). When all was said and done, the Valkyries finished the game shooting 34 out of 73 from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 46.6%. The Valkyries allowed the Wings to knock down 32 of 64 attempts from the field which had them at 50.0% in the matchup. They finished 52.2% from beyond the arc via 12 out of 23 and ended up going 32 out of 37 from the free throw line (86.5%). With respect to attacking the glass, Golden State allowed Dallas to collect 30 in total (5 on the offensive glass).

Gabby Williams was important for the Valkyries in this matchup. She knocked down 12 out of 23 for this contest for a rate of 52.2%, and had 6 rebounds. Williams earned 36 points in her 37 minutes on the hardwood and totaled 7 dimes in the matchup.

Golden State has a mark of 32-12 so far this year. When it comes to offense, the Valkyries are connecting on 42.2% from the field, which is ranked 15th in the league. Golden State has accounted for 3,615 pts for the season (82.2 per game) and they collect 33.3 rebounds per contest. They are earning an assist 19.3 times per contest (13th in the league) and they are turning it over 10.4 times per contest. The Valkyries commit 19.2 fouls per game while shooting 77.4% from the free throw line. The Valkyries on defense are ranked 1st in the WNBA in points per game surrendered with 75.1. They concede 18.2 dimes and 32.7 rebounds on a nightly basis, which ranks them 1st and 5th in the league. The Golden State defense allows 32.6% on shots from beyond the arc (353 of 1,082) and opponents are connecting on 75.9% of their shots from the free throw line. They are able to force 13.7 turnovers per game and have let teams shoot 41.4% from the field (1st in the WNBA).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Dallas (+8.5)

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