Dallas Wings vs Golden State Valkyries Prediction, 9/27/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Dallas Wings vs Golden State Valkyries

Date: Sunday, September 27, 2026

Location: Chase Center in San Francisco, CA

TV: USA Net

Odds/Point Spread: Dallas (+7.5)

The Golden State Valkyries (32-12) play the Dallas Wings (27-17) at Chase Center on Sunday in Game 1 of their first round series. The odds on this game have Golden State as 7.5 point favorites. The O/U is set at 156.5.

The Dallas Wings faced off with the Seattle Storm and notched a win by a score of 103-91 in their last game. Dallas finished with a 56.5% FG percentage (39 out of 69) and made 9 of their 18 3-point attempts. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Wings made 16 of 19 tries for a rate of 84.2%. When it comes to grabbing rebounds, they compiled a total of 33 with 8 of them being of the offensive sort. They also dished out 32 assists in this contest as well as forcing the opposition into 13 turnovers and earning 9 steals. Regarding defense, Dallas allowed the other team to go 50.0% from the field on 34 out of 68 shooting. Seattle recorded 9 dimes and had 8 steals for this game. In addition, Seattle had 30 rebounds (9 offensive, 21 defensive) and got 2 rejections. Seattle finished the contest at 65.2% from the free throw line by making 15 of their 23 attempts. They knocked down 8 out of their 23 shots from beyond the perimeter.

Paige Bueckers is one player who was a factor for this contest. She walked away with 25 points on 9 of 15 shooting. She was on the court for 30 mins played and also grabbed 5 boards. Bueckers finished the contest at 60.0% from the field and also dished out 7 dimes.

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Dallas heads into this matchup with a mark of 27-17 this season. The Wings are shooting 34.6% on three-point shots (363 of 1,048) and 78.7% from the charity stripe. They are averaging 89.4 pts per game (6th in the league) while connecting on 46.8% from the field. They lose possession via turnover 11.0 times per contest and as a basketball team are committing 18.3 fouls per game. As a unit, Dallas is pulling in 34.6 rebounds per contest and has accounted for 979 dimes so far this year, which ranks 1st in basketball in terms of passing the ball. On the defensive end, the Wings have forced 12.0 turnovers per contest and they draw 18.4 personal fouls. They are relinquishing 33.1% on 3-point shots while they are 5th in basketball in opponents points per game (85.3). The Wings defense is allowing a FG percentage of 44.8% (526 of 808) and they relinquish 33.3 rebounds per contest as a unit. They rank 5th in the league in giving up assists with 877 conceded on the season.

The last time they took the court, the Golden State Valkyries walked away with a victory by a final of 76-75 against the Los Angeles Sparks. The Valkyries were able to collect 26 defensive rebounds and 9 offensive boards for a total of 35 in the game. They also gave up possession of the ball 9 times, while recording 5 steals in the game. The Sparks had 18 fouls for this contest which got the Valkyries to the free throw line for 21 shots. They were able to knock down 17 of the free throw tries for a rate of 81.0%. When talking about three-point attempts, Golden State converted 5 of 18 attempts (27.8%). When the final whistle blew, the Valkyries ended up going 27 for 69 from the field which gave them a percentage of 39.1%. The Valkyries permitted the Sparks to make 28 of 68 tries from the floor which had them sitting at 41.2% in this matchup. They shot 36.0% from distance by connecting on 9 out of 25 and finished the contest at 10 of 15 from the charity stripe (66.7%). In regard to cleaning up the glass, Golden State allowed Los Angeles to pull down 33 in total (6 on the offensive glass).

Kaitlyn Chen ended up being a major contributor for the Valkyries for the game. She knocked down 8 out of 12 for the matchup for a field goal percentage of 66.7%, and earned 3 rebounds. Chen totaled 18 points in her 21 minutes on the hardwood and had 2 dimes for the matchup.

Golden State has a mark of 32-12 on the campaign. Golden State has totaled 3,615 pts this year (82.2 per game) and they snag 33.3 rebounds per contest. The Valkyries commit 19.2 fouls per game and they go 77.4% from the charity stripe. On the offensive side of the ball, the Valkyries are connecting on 42.2% from the floor, which ranks them 15th in the WNBA. They are dishing out assists 19.3 times per contest (13th in the WNBA) and they lose possession by turning the ball over 10.4 times per game. The Valkyries defensively are ranked 1st in the league in PPG given up with 75.1. The Golden State defense surrenders 32.6% on 3-pointers (353 of 1,082) and opponents are making 75.9% of their shots from the charity stripe. They have conceded 18.2 dimes and 32.7 boards per contest, which is ranked 1st and 5th in the WNBA. They are able to force 13.7 turnovers on a nightly basis and have allowed teams to shoot 41.4% from the field (1st in the WNBA).

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Golden State (-7.5)

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