Dallas Wings vs Las Vegas Aces Prediction, 6/25/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Dallas Wings vs Las Vegas Aces

Date: Thursday, June 25, 2026

Location: Michelob ULTRA Arena in Las Vegas, NV

TV: NBA TV

Odds/Point Spread: Dallas (+4.5)

The Dallas Wings (11-6) head to Michelob ULTRA Arena on Thursday where they'll meet the Las Vegas Aces (12-5). Dallas opens this matchup as 4.5 point underdogs. The over/under has been set at 175.5.

The Dallas Wings faced the Seattle Storm and walked away with a win by a score of 112-110 in their last game. Dallas ended the game with a 53.9% FG percentage (48 out of 89) and buried 9 out of their 24 three-point attempts. At the free throw line, the Wings converted 7 of their 9 shots for a percentage of 77.8%. In reference to pulling down boards, they compiled 34 with 9 of them being on the offensive end. They also recorded 30 assists in this game while forcing 13 turnovers and getting 9 steals. In regard to defending, Dallas allowed 50.6% from the field on 39 of 77 shooting. Seattle distributed 5 assists and had 5 steals for the matchup. On top of that, Seattle had 34 rebounds (5 offensive, 29 defensive) and had 6 blocks. Seattle ended up going 90.5% when shooting free throws by burying 19 of 21 tries. They also made 13 out of their 29 tries from 3-point range.

Paige Bueckers is someone who came through in this matchup. She ended up finishing with 27 points on 12 out of 23 shooting. She was on the court for 38 minutes and totaled 5 rebounds. Bueckers finished shooting 52.2% from the floor and distributed 5 assists.

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Dallas heads into this matchup with a mark of 11-6 this year. The Wings are hitting 34.6% on shots from 3-point land (145 of 419) and 77.1% from the charity stripe. They are averaging 89.4 points per game (5th in basketball) while shooting 46.2% from the field. They turn the ball over 10.4 times per game and as a team they are committing 18.1 fouls per contest. As a unit, Dallas is pulling down 34.0 boards per game and has accounted for 393 dimes for the campaign, which has them ranked 2nd in basketball in terms of passing the ball. When they are on the defensive end, the Wings are forcing 13.3 turnovers per contest while drawing 17.8 personal fouls. They are 9th in the WNBA in allowing assists to the opposition with 355 conceded so far this season. The Wings defensively are giving up a field goal percentage of 46.5% (226 of 303) and they surrender 33.9 rebounds per game as a group. They concede 35.2% on shots from distance and they are ranked 5th in the league in points per game allowed (84.9).

In their last game, the Las Vegas Aces took a loss by a score of 87-76 when they faced the New York Liberty. The Aces pulled down 23 defensive rebounds and 2 offensive boards for a total of 25 in this matchup. They turned it over 11 times, while recording 5 steals for the contest. The Liberty had 15 fouls in the game which got the Aces to the free throw line for a total of 8 shots. They were able to make 6 of them for a rate of 75.0%. When discussing shots from beyond the perimeter, Las Vegas knocked down 8 out of their 27 tries (29.6%). In all, the Aces finished shooting 31 out of 72 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 43.1%. The Aces allowed the Liberty to bury 30 of 65 tries from the field which left them with a shooting percentage of 46.2% in this matchup. They finished 41.9% from distance by connecting on 13 out of 31 and ended up shooting 14 out of 16 at the free throw line (87.5%). Regarding cleaning the glass, Las Vegas permitted New York to collect 31 in total (11 offensive).

Jackie Young ended up being a factor for the Aces for the contest. She knocked down 9 out of 19 for this game for a rate of 47.4%, and accumulated 4 rebounds. Young earned 19 points in her 38 minutes on the court and accounted for 7 assists in the game.

Las Vegas has a mark of 12-5 on the season. Las Vegas has totaled 1,517 points this season (89.2 per contest) and they collect 35.5 boards per game. The Aces are responsible for committing 17.2 personal fouls per game and they shoot 75.2% from the charity stripe. In terms of offensive execution, the Aces are connecting on 48.4% from the field, which ranks them 2nd in the league. They are getting an assist 23.3 times per contest (1st in basketball) and they turn the ball over 12.3 times per game. The Aces on the defensive side of the court are 7th in the WNBA in points per game surrendered with 85.8. The Las Vegas defense gives up 36.0% on three-point shots (160 of 444) and their opposition knocks down 80.3% of their foul shots. They relinquish 18.7 assists and 33.3 rebounds per contest, which is 1st and 7th in the league. They are forcing their opponents into 11.8 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 43.4% from the floor (5th in the WNBA).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Las Vegas (-4.5)

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