Dallas Wings vs Washington Mystics Prediction, 7/31/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Dallas Wings vs Washington Mystics

Date: Friday, July 31, 2026

Location: CareFirst Arena in Washington, DC

TV: ION

Odds/Point Spread: Dallas (-3.5)

The Washington Mystics (15-12) host the Dallas Wings (18-10) at CareFirst Arena on Friday. The line on this game has Dallas as 3.5 point favorites. The total is set at 168.5.

The Dallas Wings played the Atlanta Dream and took a loss by a final of 82-81 in their last game. Dallas finished the game with a 49.3% field goal percentage (34 out of 69) and converted 4 of 15 shots from beyond the perimeter. From the free throw line, the Wings made 9 of their 14 attempts for a rate of 64.3%. When it comes to pulling down rebounds, they compiled a total of 32 with 8 of them being of the offensive variety. They also doled out 19 dimes in this matchup as well as forcing 15 turnovers and having 9 steals. In relation to defense, Dallas allowed 44.3% from the field on 31 of 70 shooting. Atlanta recorded 12 dimes and had 11 steals for the contest. On top of that, Atlanta collected 37 boards (12 offensive, 25 defensive) and had 4 rejections. Atlanta ended up going 76.0% at the free throw line by burying 19 of 25 shots. They converted 1 of their 16 attempts from long range.

Arike Ogunbowale is someone who came through for the contest. She finished with 24 points on 9 of 16 shooting. She played 38 minutes played and also snagged 6 rebounds. Ogunbowale finished 56.3% from the field and also dished out 5 assists.

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Dallas comes into this matchup with a win-loss record of 18-10 this year. The Wings are hitting 34.5% on shots beyond the perimeter (233 of 675) and 79.2% from the charity stripe. They have an average of 89.9 points per game (4th in the league) while hitting 46.6% from the floor. They are turning it over 10.7 times per game and as a group they commit 18.8 fouls per contest. As a team, Dallas is collecting 34.0 boards per contest and has earned 627 assists so far this season, which has them ranked 2nd in the WNBA in terms of passing the ball. On the defensive end, the Wings are able to force 12.7 turnovers per game while drawing 18.2 fouls. The Wings defensively are giving up a FG percentage of 46.5% (355 of 509) and they surrender 33.9 boards per game as a basketball team. They are currently ranked 8th in the league in giving up assists to the opposition with 568 conceded on the season. They surrender 34.1% on 3-point attempts and they rank 5th in basketball in opponents points per game (86.0).

The last time they took the court, the Washington Mystics went home victorious with a score of 92-84 against the Connecticut Sun. The Mystics were able to collect 27 defensive boards and 14 offensive rebounds totaling 41 for the contest. They gave up possession of the ball 14 times, while getting 5 steals for the contest. The Sun committed 26 fouls in this matchup which took the Mystics to the free throw line for a total of 33 tries. They were able to knock down 28 of those for a rate of 84.8%. When it comes to 3-point attempts, Washington buried 6 of 12 tries (50.0%). When this game wrapped up, the Mystics ended up shooting 29 out of 67 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 43.3%. The Mystics allowed the Sun to knock down 31 of their 75 attempts from the field which gave them a percentage of 41.3% for the contest. They wrapped up this game 44.0% from three-point range by going 11 out of 25 and finished the game at 11 out of 18 at the charity stripe (61.1%). Concerning attacking the glass, Washington allowed Connecticut to grab 29 in total (8 offensive).

Sonia Citron ended up being a major contributor for the Mystics for the contest. She made 6 of 9 in this game for a rate of 66.7%, and earned 3 rebounds. Citron tallied 22 points in her 34 mins on the court and had 4 assists for this contest.

Washington has a win-loss mark of 15-12 on the year. The Mystics are committing 20.2 fouls per game and they connect on 73.9% from the free throw line. They are assisting teammates 19.3 times per contest (13th in the league) and they are turning it over 16.0 times per game. Washington has tallied 2,192 points for the campaign (81.2 per game) and they collect 37.1 boards per game. When it comes to offense, the Mystics are hitting on 43.7% from the field, which is 12th in basketball. The Mystics are ranked 2nd in the WNBA in PPG surrendered with 83.1. They are forcing 12.5 TO's per game and have allowed teams to shoot 42.6% from the field (3rd in the league). The Washington defense gives up 32.6% on shots from 3-point land (233 of 714) and opponents are knocking down 78.1% of their shots from the charity stripe. They give up 19.5 assists and 30.4 rebounds per game, which is ranked 3rd and 2nd in the WNBA.

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Washington (+3.5)

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