Golden State Valkyries vs Atlanta Dream Prediction, 10/21/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Golden State Valkyries vs Atlanta Dream

Date: Wednesday, October 21, 2026

Location: State Farm Arena in Atlanta, GA

TV: USA Net

Odds/Point Spread: Golden State (+3.5)

The Atlanta Dream (30-14) host the Golden State Valkyries (32-12) at State Farm Arena on Wednesday in Game 3 of the WNBA Finals. The series is tied 1-1. Atlanta opens this contest as 3.5 point favorites. The total is set at 152.5.

The Golden State Valkyries walked away from Game 2 with a loss by a score of 79-65. Golden State walked away from the game having earned a 34.4% FG percentage (21 of 61) and knocked down 7 of their 24 shots from downtown. From the charity stripe, the Valkyries made 16 of their 19 tries for a percentage of 84.2%. Regarding pulling down rebounds, they compiled 41 with 12 of them being of the offensive sort. They also recorded 15 dimes in this game in addition to forcing the other team into 12 turnovers and getting 7 steals. In the matter of defense, Golden State let their opponent shoot 33.9% from the field on 21 of 62 shooting. Atlanta totaled 7 assists and had 5 steals for the game. Moreover, Atlanta snagged 35 rebounds (7 offensive, 28 defensive) and earned 5 blocked shots. Atlanta went 85.7% from the free throw line by burying 30 of 35 tries. They made 7 out of their 25 attempts from 3-point land.

Tiffany Hayes is someone who came through in this contest. She scored 14 points on 5 out of 11 shooting. She played 25 minutes played and also grabbed 2 rebounds. Hayes finished 45.5% from the floor and dished out 3 assists.

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Golden State steps onto the hardwood with a win-loss record of 32-12 so far this year. They turn it over 10.4 times per game and as a group they commit 19.2 fouls per game. As a team, Golden State is collecting 33.3 rebounds per contest and has racked up 851 dimes this year, which ranks 13th in basketball in terms of passing. The Valkyries are shooting 34.4% on three-point shots (459 of 1,335) and 77.4% from the free throw line. They have an average of 82.2 pts per contest (14th in the WNBA) while connecting on 42.2% from the floor. On defense, the Valkyries are forcing 13.7 turnovers per contest while drawing 18.9 personal fouls. They concede 32.6% on shots from distance and they are 1st in basketball in points per game allowed (75.1). The Valkyries defensively are giving up an opponent FG percentage of 41.4% (1,146 of 2,769) and they relinquish 32.7 boards per game as a unit. They are 1st in basketball in giving up assists to the opposition with 802 surrendered for the campaign.

In Game 2, the Dream pulled down 28 defensive boards and 7 offensive boards totaling 35 in the matchup. They also turned the ball over 12 times, while earning 5 steals for this game. The Valkyries had 13 fouls in the game which took the Dream to the charity stripe for a total of 35 tries. They were able to knock down 30 of the free throw attempts for a rate of 85.7%. When discussing shots from 3-point land, Atlanta knocked down 7 of their 25 attempts (28.0%). When the final whistle was blown, the Dream shot 21 out of 62 from the field which gave them a rate of 33.9%. The Dream allowed the Valkyries to knock down 21 of their 61 attempts from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 34.4% in this matchup. They went 29.2% from downtown by shooting 7 out of 24 and ended up going 16 out of 19 from the free throw line (84.2%). When it comes to rebounding, Atlanta permitted Golden State to get 41 overall (12 offensive).

Angel Reese ended up being a major contributor for the Dream for the game. She converted 10 of 16 in the matchup for a field goal percentage of 62.5%, and had 16 rebounds. Reese scored 30 points in her 34 minutes on the court and accumulated 3 assists in the matchup.

Atlanta has a record of 30-14 so far this year. The Dream have committed 19.6 fouls per game and they go 78.6% from the free throw line. They are dishing out assists 21.5 times per game (6th in the WNBA) and they turn it over 12.6 times per game. Atlanta has accounted for 4,019 points this season (91.3 per contest) and they pull in 35.6 rebounds per game. As an offense, the Dream are shooting 44.2% from the floor, which is ranked 11th in the WNBA. The Dream defensively are ranked 4th in the league in points per game surrendered with 84.5. They have forced 15.4 TO's per game and have allowed teams to shoot 46.9% from the floor (13th in the WNBA). The Atlanta defense surrenders 34.8% on 3-pointers (355 of 1,019) and their opposition knocks down 76.9% of their foul shots. They have surrendered 19.2 assists and 31.0 rebounds on a nightly basis, which is ranked 3rd and 2nd in the WNBA.

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Atlanta (-3.5)

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