Golden State Valkyries vs Atlanta Dream Prediction, 10/24/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Golden State Valkyries vs Atlanta Dream

Date: Saturday, October 24, 2026

Location: State Farm Arena in Atlanta, GA

TV: NBC

Odds/Point Spread: Golden State (+5.0)

State Farm Arena is the venue where and the Atlanta Dream (30-14) will play the Golden State Valkyries (32-12) on Saturday in Game 4 of the WNBA Finals. Atlanta leads 2-1. The line on this game has Atlanta as 5 point favorites. The total is set at 154.5.

The Golden State Valkyries took a loss by a final of 97-71 in Game 3. Golden State ended the contest with a 34.8% FG percentage (24 out of 69) and made 12 out of their 30 3-pointers. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Valkyries buried 11 of their 17 shots for a rate of 64.7%. In the matter of grabbing rebounds, they collected 32 with 6 of them being on the offensive end. They also recorded 10 assists in this matchup as well as forcing the opposition into 14 turnovers and earning 8 steals. When it comes to the defense, Golden State allowed 49.3% from the floor on 34 of 69 shooting. Atlanta earned 8 dimes and had 14 steals for the contest. Moreover, Atlanta grabbed 36 boards (8 offensive, 28 defensive) and earned 4 rejections. Atlanta finished the game shooting 69.0% at the free throw line by making 20 of their 29 shots. They knocked down 9 out of their 22 attempts from downtown.

Gabby Williams is one player who played a role in this game. She ended up walking away with 15 points on 5 out of 18 shooting. She was on the court for 34 mins and snagged 2 boards. Williams shot 27.8% from the field and also dished out 8 assists.

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Golden State comes into this contest with a record of 32-12 on the campaign. They currently have an average of 82.2 points per game (14th in the league) while going 42.2% from the field. The Valkyries are connecting on 34.4% from downtown (459 of 1,335) and 77.4% from the charity stripe. As a unit, Golden State is pulling in 33.3 boards per game and has totaled 851 assists for the year, which has them ranked 13th in basketball in terms of passing. They lose possession by turning the ball over 10.4 times per contest and as a team they commit 19.2 fouls per contest. On defense, the Valkyries are forcing 13.7 turnovers per contest while drawing 18.9 personal fouls. The Valkyries defensively are giving up and opponent field goal percentage of 41.4% (1,146 of 2,769) and they surrender 32.7 boards per game as a team. They currently rank 1st in the WNBA in giving up assists to their opponents with 802 conceded so far this season. They are giving up 32.6% on 3-point shots while they are 1st in basketball in points per game allowed (75.1).

In Game 3, the Dream recorded 28 defensive boards and 8 offensive boards totaling 36 for this contest. They gave up possession 14 times, while recording 14 steals for this contest. The Valkyries had 23 fouls for this contest which took the Dream to the charity stripe for a total of 29 tries. They were able to make 20 of them for a rate of 69.0%. In relation to shots from 3-point land, Atlanta converted 9 out of their 22 attempts (40.9%). When all was said and done, the Dream finished 34 out of 69 from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 49.3%. The Dream permitted the Valkyries to bury 24 of 69 tries from the field which left them shooting 34.8% in this matchup. They went 40.0% from 3-point land by shooting 12 out of 30 and finished the contest at 11 of 17 from the free throw line (64.7%). In regard to rebounding, Atlanta allowed Golden State to grab 32 in total (6 on the offensive side).

Angel Reese was important for the Dream in this game. She made 7 of 12 for the matchup giving her a rate of 58.3%, and had 12 rebounds. Reese earned 21 points in her 34 mins of playing time and totaled 3 dimes for the game.

Atlanta has a win-loss mark of 30-14 so far this season. The Dream have committed 19.6 fouls per contest while shooting 78.6% from the free throw line. They are getting an assist 21.5 times per game (6th in the league) and they lose possession by turning the ball over 12.6 times per contest. Atlanta has scored 4,019 points this season (91.3 per contest) and they grab 35.6 rebounds per game. As an offensive team, the Dream are hitting on 44.2% from the field, which ranks them 11th in the league. The Dream are ranked 4th in basketball in PPG surrendered with 84.5. They surrender 19.2 dimes and 31.0 boards per game, which is ranked 3rd and 2nd in basketball. The Atlanta defense allows 34.8% on shots from distance (355 of 1,019) and their opposition knocks down 76.9% of their shots from the charity stripe. They have forced 15.4 turnovers per game and have let teams shoot 46.9% from the floor (13th in basketball).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Golden State (+5.0)

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