Golden State Valkyries vs Atlanta Dream Prediction, 10/29/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Golden State Valkyries vs Atlanta Dream

Date: Thursday, October 29, 2026

Location: State Farm Arena in Atlanta, GA

TV: USA Net

Odds/Point Spread: Golden State (+4.5)

The Golden State Valkyries head to State Farm Arena on Thursday where they'll meet the Atlanta Dream in Game 6 of the WNBA Finals. The Valkyries lead 3-2. Golden State opens this game as 4.5 point underdogs. The over/under has been set at 147.5.

The Golden State Valkyries notched a win by a score of 64-55 in Game 5 to take the series lead. Golden State finished the contest with a 39.3% FG percentage (24 of 61) and made 6 out of their 24 shots from distance. When they shot from the free throw line, the Valkyries converted 10 of their 13 tries for a rate of 76.9%. When it comes to pulling down rebounds, they compiled 38 with 13 of them being of the offensive variety. They also doled out 10 assists for this contest while forcing the other team into 17 turnovers and getting 8 steals. When discussing defense, Golden State allowed 29.2% from the field on 19 of 65 shooting. Atlanta distributed 12 assists and had 4 steals for this contest. Additionally, Atlanta totaled 37 rebounds (12 offensive, 25 defensive) and earned 6 blocks. Atlanta finished the contest at 78.6% at the free throw line by making 11 of 14 attempts. They converted 6 out of their 26 tries from distance.

Veronica Burton is someone who was a contributor in this matchup. She finished with 13 points on 5 out of 15 shooting. She was on the hardwood for 37 mins played and also totaled 8 rebounds. Burton ended up going 33.3% from the floor and totaled 3 assists.

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Golden State enters this game with a mark of 32-12 for the year. They are averaging 82.2 pts per contest (14th in basketball) while connecting on 42.2% from the floor. The Valkyries are shooting 34.4% on shots from 3-point land (459 of 1,335) and 77.4% from the free throw line. As a team, Golden State is pulling in 33.3 rebounds per game and has racked up 851 assists for the season, which ranks 13th in the WNBA in terms of passing. They turn the ball over 10.4 times per game and as a squad they are committing 19.2 fouls on a nightly basis. On the defensive end of the court, the Valkyries are forcing their opponents into 13.7 turnovers on a nightly basis and they draw 18.9 fouls. They give up 32.6% on 3-point attempts while they are 1st in the WNBA in points per game allowed (75.1). The Valkyries defense is allowing a FG percentage of 41.4% (1,146 of 2,769) and they relinquish 32.7 rebounds per contest as a unit. They are currently ranked 1st in the league in giving up assists to the opposition with 802 conceded this year.

In Game 5, the Dream recorded 25 defensive rebounds and 12 offensive rebounds totaling 37 in this contest. They also coughed up the ball 17 times, while earning 4 steals for the contest. The Valkyries earned 26 personal fouls in this matchup which took the Dream to the free throw line for 14 attempts. They were able to knock down 11 of the free throws for a rate of 78.6%. When it comes to 3-pointers, Atlanta knocked down 6 out of their 26 attempts (23.1%). When all was said and done, the Dream shot 19 out of 65 from the floor which had them shooting 29.2%. The Dream allowed the Valkyries to convert 24 of their 61 tries from the field which had them sitting at 39.3% for the matchup. They went 25.0% from distance by going 6 of 24 and ended up going 10 out of 13 from the free throw line (76.9%). When it comes to rebounding, Atlanta allowed Golden State to grab 38 in total (13 offensive).

Rhyne Howard ended up being a factor for the Dream for the game. She knocked down 7 out of 15 in this contest for a rate of 46.7%, and had 5 rebounds. Howard had 20 points in her 39 minutes on the court and added 2 dimes in this matchup.

Atlanta has a win-loss mark of 30-14 for the campaign. The Dream are responsible for committing 19.6 fouls per game while shooting 78.6% from the free throw line. They are dishing out assists 21.5 times per game (6th in the league) and they turn it over 12.6 times per contest. Atlanta has tallied 4,019 pts on the season (91.3 per contest) and they snag 35.6 boards per contest. When it comes to offensive execution, the Dream are hitting on 44.2% from the field, which ranks 11th in the WNBA. The Dream on the defensive end are ranked 4th in the WNBA in points given up per game with 84.5. They are forcing their opponents into 15.4 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 46.9% from the floor (13th in basketball). The Atlanta defense gives up 34.8% on shots from beyond the arc (355 of 1,019) and opponents are converting on 76.9% of their free throw shots. They give up 19.2 dimes and 31.0 rebounds per game, which ranks 3rd and 2nd in the WNBA.

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Atlanta (-4.5)

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