Golden State Valkyries vs Dallas Wings Prediction, 9/30/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Golden State Valkyries vs Dallas Wings

Date: Wednesday, September 30, 2026

Location: College Park Center in Arlington, TX

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Golden State (-3.5)

College Park Center is the site where and the Dallas Wings (27-17) will take on the Golden State Valkyries (32-12) on Wednesday in Game 2 of their first round series. Golden State leads 1-0. Dallas opens this contest as 3.5 point dogs. The total has been set at 156.5.

The Golden State Valkyries took the court against the Dallas Wings and earned the victory with a final of 104-80 in their last contest. Golden State wrapped up the game with a 48.6% FG percentage (36 of 74) and converted 18 of 36 three-point attempts. From the charity stripe, the Valkyries converted 14 of 16 tries for a rate of 87.5%. In reference to grabbing rebounds, they earned 35 with 9 of them being on the offensive end. They also doled out 13 assists for the game while forcing 12 turnovers and having 5 steals. In reference to defense, Golden State allowed the other team to shoot 46.7% from the floor on 28 of 60 shooting. Dallas dished out 6 assists and had 2 steals in this matchup. On top of that, Dallas pulled down 33 rebounds (6 offensive, 27 defensive) and added 2 rejections. Dallas went 90.0% from the charity stripe by making 18 of their 20 attempts. They buried 6 of 20 attempts from long range.

Cecilia Zandalasini is one player who played a role for this contest. She walked away with 22 points on 7 of 11 shooting. She saw the court for 16 minutes played but did not grab any rebounds. Zandalasini walked away from this one shooting 63.6% from the field and also distributed 1 assist.

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Golden State comes into this contest with a mark of 32-12 for the campaign. They turn the ball over 10.4 times per game and as a unit they commit 19.2 fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, Golden State is snagging 33.3 boards per contest and has accumulated 851 dimes on the season, which is 13th in basketball in terms of passing the ball. The Valkyries are shooting 34.4% from downtown (459 of 1,335) and 77.4% from the free throw line. They currently have an average of 82.2 pts per contest (14th in the league) while connecting on 42.2% from the field. On defense, the Valkyries are forcing 13.7 turnovers per contest and they draw 18.9 personal fouls. The Valkyries defense is giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 41.4% (1,146 of 2,769) and they surrender 32.7 boards per game as a unit. They are 1st in the league in allowing assists to their opponents with 802 conceded for the year. They surrender 32.6% on 3-point shots while they are 1st in the WNBA in opponents points per game (75.1).

When they last stepped on the court, the Dallas Wings walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 104-80 against the Golden State Valkyries. The Wings were able to pull down 25 defensive boards and 5 offensive rebounds totaling 30 for the game. They also turned it over 10 times, while recording 3 steals in the matchup. The Valkyries were called for 19 personal fouls for the matchup which got the Wings to the charity stripe for 20 attempts. They were able to bury 18 of the free throw attempts for a percentage of 90.0%. In reference to shots from distance, Dallas converted 6 of their 20 attempts (30.0%). When the game finished, the Wings finished the game shooting 28 out of 60 from the floor which had them shooting 46.7%. The Wings permitted the Valkyries to bury 36 out of 74 attempts from the field which gave them a rate of 48.6% in this matchup. They finished shooting 50.0% from beyond the perimeter via 18 of 36 and ended up going 14 out of 16 at the free throw line (87.5%). When it comes to cleaning up the glass, Dallas permitted Golden State to pull down 33 in all (6 on the offensive glass).

Paige Bueckers was important for the Wings for this contest. She knocked down 9 of 10 in the game giving her a rate of 90.0%, and accumulated 6 rebounds. Bueckers had 21 points in her 25 mins on the court and had 2 assists for the matchup.

Dallas has a mark of 27-17 for the season. Dallas has accumulated 3,933 pts this season (89.4 per contest) and they pull in 34.6 boards per game. The Wings are committing 18.3 personal fouls per game and they go 78.7% from the free throw line. As an offense, the Wings are shooting 46.8% from the floor, which is ranked 4th in the league. Their rate of earning assists is at 22.3 times per contest (1st in the WNBA) and they cough up possession 11.0 times per game. The Wings are ranked 5th in the league in PPG given up with 85.3. They are forcing 12.0 turnovers per game and have allowed teams to shoot 44.8% from the floor (6th in the league). The Dallas defense concedes 33.1% on three-point shots (354 of 1,069) and their opponents are knocking down 79.6% of their shots from the free throw line. They have given up 19.9 dimes and 33.3 boards on a nightly basis, which is 5th and 7th in basketball.

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Dallas (+3.5)

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