Golden State Valkyries vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction, 7/29/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Golden State Valkyries vs Phoenix Mercury

Date: Wednesday, July 29, 2026

Location: Mortgage Matchup Center in Phoenix, AZ

TV: USA Net

The Golden State Valkyries (19-8) go to Mortgage Matchup Center on Wednesday where they'll take on the Phoenix Mercury (10-18).

The Golden State Valkyries faced the Washington Mystics and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 90-82 in their last game. Golden State wrapped up the game with a 43.1% field goal percentage (31 of 72) and knocked down 12 out of their 33 3-pointers. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Valkyries made 8 of their 11 tries for a percentage of 72.7%. With respect to getting rebounds, they earned 23 with 7 of them being on the offensive end. They also distributed 21 assists in the game in addition to forcing the other team into 16 turnovers and earning 10 steals. In regard to defense, Golden State allowed the other team to shoot 52.5% from the floor on 32 out of 61 shooting. Washington recorded 6 assists and had 4 steals in the matchup. Furthermore, Washington collected 35 rebounds (6 offensive, 29 defensive) and had 5 rejections. Washington shot 81.0% at the free throw line by knocking down 17 of their 21 attempts. They knocked down 9 out of their 21 attempts from distance.

Kaitlyn Chen is one player who was a major contributor for the contest. She ended up walking away with 20 points on 8 of 13 shooting. She saw the court for 24 minutes played and pulled down 2 rebounds. Chen ended up shooting 61.5% from the floor and dished out 6 dimes.

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Golden State heads into this contest with a mark of 19-8 for the season. They are averaging 81.9 pts per game (13th in the WNBA) while hitting 41.9% from the floor. The Valkyries are hitting 34.7% on 3-point shots (286 of 824) and 76.6% from the charity stripe. As a unit, Golden State is snagging 32.2 rebounds per contest and has accounted for 494 assists this year, which ranks 15th in basketball in terms of passing the rock. They turn it over 10.7 times per contest and as a squad they commit 19.5 personal fouls on a nightly basis. When they are on the defensive end, the Valkyries are forcing 13.8 turnovers per contest and they draw 19.6 fouls. The Valkyries defense is giving up an opponent FG percentage of 42.3% (718 of 1,697) and they relinquish 32.9 boards per game as a squad. They rank 2nd in basketball in allowing assists to their opponents with 498 relinquished for the year. They give up 34.5% from 3-point land and they are 1st in the WNBA in PPG allowed (76.4).

In their last game, the Phoenix Mercury got the victory with a final of 86-82 when they played the Los Angeles Sparks. The Mercury were able to snag 26 defensive boards and 7 offensive rebounds for a total of 33 in this matchup. They also turned the ball over 12 times, while earning 10 steals in the matchup. The Sparks were called for 21 personal fouls for the contest which got the Mercury to the free throw line for a total of 13 attempts. They were able to knock down 9 of the free throw tries for a rate of 69.2%. In relation to 3-point shots, Phoenix buried 7 of 27 tries (25.9%). In all, the Mercury finished 35 for 74 from the field which had them sitting at 47.3%. The Mercury allowed the Sparks to make 28 of their 70 tries from the field which had them at 40.0% in the matchup. They finished 32.1% from downtown by going 9 out of 28 and ended up going 17 out of 21 at the charity stripe (81.0%). In relation to how they cleaned up the glass, Phoenix permitted Los Angeles to snag 37 in all (10 on the offensive side).

Kahleah Copper pitched in for the Mercury for this contest. She knocked down 10 out of 16 in this game giving her a field goal percentage of 62.5%, and tallied 2 rebounds. Copper earned 21 points in her 30 minutes of playing time and accumulated 3 dimes for the matchup.

Phoenix has a win-loss record of 10-18 this season. The Mercury commit 18.2 fouls per contest and they shoot 79.0% from the charity stripe. They are assisting teammates 19.5 times per game (11th in basketball) and they turn it over 13.2 times per game. Phoenix has 2,323 points for the campaign (83.0 per contest) and they pull in 31.5 rebounds per contest. When it comes to offensive execution, the Mercury are connecting on 43.9% from the floor, which is 10th in the league. The Mercury on defense are ranked 8th in basketball in points given up per game with 86.5. The Phoenix defense concedes 37.0% on 3-pointers (275 of 744) and opponents are connecting on 80.2% of their foul shots. They give up 20.8 assists and 33.6 rebounds per contest, which is 11th and 9th in the league. They are able to force 13.3 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 46.3% from the field (9th in the league).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Phoenix

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