Golden State Valkyries vs Washington Mystics Prediction, 7/6/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Golden State Valkyries vs Washington Mystics

Date: Monday, July 6, 2026

Location: CareFirst Arena in Washington, DC

TV: WNBA League Pass

Odds/Point Spread: Golden State (-3.5)

The Golden State Valkyries (14-7) head to CareFirst Arena on Monday where they'll meet the Washington Mystics (10-9). Golden State opens this contest as 3.5 point favorites. The over/under is set at 158.5.

The Golden State Valkyries stepped onto the hardwood against the Atlanta Dream and went home with a win by a final score of 88-83 in their last game. Golden State walked away from the game having earned a 46.3% FG percentage (31 of 67) and made 13 of their 34 3-point shots. From the free throw line, the Valkyries made 13 of their 17 shots for a percentage of 76.5%. Regarding grabbing boards, they compiled 30 with 7 of them being offensive. They also dished out 20 assists in this game while forcing the other team into 11 turnovers and earning 5 steals. Regarding defending, Golden State allowed 39.4% from the floor on 26 out of 66 shooting. Atlanta distributed 4 assists and had 5 steals for this game. In addition, Atlanta snagged 24 rebounds (4 offensive, 20 defensive) and had 2 blocks. Atlanta ended up shooting 69.7% from the charity stripe by making 23 of their 33 tries. They knocked down 8 of their 26 attempts from 3-point land.

Veronica Burton is one player who was a major contributor in the game. She was able to score 21 points on 6 of 9 shooting. She played 31 mins and pulled down 1 board. Burton finished the contest at 66.7% from the floor and distributed 4 assists.

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Golden State enters this contest with a win-loss mark of 14-7 on the season. They turn it over 10.7 times per game and as a unit they commit 20.1 fouls per game. As a unit, Golden State is snagging 33.3 boards per contest and has tallied 385 assists on the campaign, which ranks 11th in the league in terms of passing the ball. The Valkyries are hitting 35.1% on shots from distance (229 of 652) and 76.2% from the charity stripe. They currently have an average of 83.0 points per contest (12th in the WNBA) while hitting 41.3% from the field. On defense, the Valkyries have forced 13.1 turnovers per contest and they draw 20.2 personal fouls. The Valkyries defense is allowing a FG percentage of 42.2% (276 of 425) and they surrender 33.5 rebounds per game as a team. They currently rank 7th in the league in giving up assists to the opposition with 389 relinquished this season. They are surrendering 36.2% on three-point shots and they are ranked 1st in the WNBA in opponents PPG (78.1).

When they last played, the Washington Mystics walked away with a victory by a final of 81-76 against the Atlanta Dream. The Mystics snagged 30 defensive rebounds and 8 offensive rebounds for a total of 38 in this game. They also turned the ball over 27 times, while recording 2 steals in this game. The Dream were called for 23 fouls in this game which got the Mystics to the free throw line for 19 tries. They were able to knock down 10 of the free throw attempts for a rate of 52.6%. In the matter of shots from downtown, Washington made 9 out of 16 tries (56.3%). At the conclusion of this game, the Mystics walked away from this one shooting 31 out of 56 from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 55.4%. The Mystics permitted the Dream to knock down 29 of 80 tries from the field which had them at 36.3% in this matchup. They wrapped up this game 22.6% from three-point range by shooting 7 of 31 and finished the game at 11 out of 18 at the free throw line (61.1%). When discussing how they rebounded, Washington permitted Atlanta to get 33 in total (16 on the offensive glass).

Shakira Austin ended up having an impact for the Mystics in the game. She converted 9 of 14 for the game for a rate of 64.3%, and had 9 rebounds. Austin accumulated 21 points in her 30 minutes of playing time and added 3 assists in this game.

Washington has a mark of 10-9 so far this season. The Mystics are committing 21.8 fouls per contest and they go 72.9% from the charity stripe. Their rate of dishing out assists is at 19.4 times per contest (12th in the WNBA) and they are turning it over 16.7 times per contest. Washington has accounted for 1,573 points for the campaign (82.8 per contest) and they pull in 36.3 rebounds per game. In terms of offensive execution, the Mystics are shooting 44.6% from the floor, which ranks 7th in the league. The Mystics on defense are ranked 6th in the league in PPG surrendered with 85.7. They allow 20.1 assists and 31.0 boards on a nightly basis, which is ranked 8th and 3rd in the league. The Washington defense allows 33.4% on three-point shots (165 of 494) and opponents are converting on 78.0% of their free throw attempts. They are able to force 13.6 TO's per game and have allowed teams to shoot 42.9% from the field (4th in basketball).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Golden State (-3.5)

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