Indiana Fever vs Atlanta Dream Prediction, 8/16/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Indiana Fever vs Atlanta Dream

Date: Sunday, August 16, 2026

Location: State Farm Arena in Atlanta, GA

TV: ESPN

The Atlanta Dream (21-12) play the Indiana Fever (21-12) at State Farm Arena on Sunday.

The Indiana Fever stepped onto the hardwood against the New York Liberty and went home with a win by a final score of 106-92 in their last game. Indiana wrapped up the game with a 53.6% FG percentage (37 of 69) and made 16 out of their 25 shots from distance. When they shot from the free throw line, the Fever converted 16 of 19 attempts for a percentage of 84.2%. In relation to pulling down rebounds, they collected a total of 27 with 4 of them being on the offensive end. They also recorded 22 dimes for the contest as well as forcing 13 turnovers and earning 7 steals. In reference to defense, Indiana let their opponent shoot 46.1% from the floor on 35 out of 76 shooting. New York distributed 13 dimes and had 7 steals for the game. In addition, New York collected 39 boards (13 offensive, 26 defensive) and had 5 blocks. New York shot 84.6% from the charity stripe by knocking down 11 of 13 tries. They made 11 out of their 36 shots from beyond the arc.

Kelsey Mitchell is someone who was a major contributor in the matchup. She ended up walking away with 28 points on 11 of 16 shooting. She saw the court for 31 minutes and also collected 3 rebounds. Mitchell finished the contest at 68.8% from the floor and earned 3 dimes.

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Indiana steps onto the hardwood with a win-loss mark of 21-12 on the year. The Fever are connecting on 39.4% from downtown (343 of 871) and 82.5% from the free throw line. They average 96.2 points per outing (1st in the WNBA) on 48.7% from the field. They are giving up possession 14.2 times per game and as a basketball team they commit 21.8 personal fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, Indiana is collecting 33.4 boards per contest and is sitting with 688 dimes on the season, which ranks 8th in the league in terms of passing the ball. On the defensive end, the Fever are forcing 12.5 turnovers per contest and they draw 22.3 personal fouls. The Fever defense is allowing an opponent shooting percentage of 46.3% (412 of 735) and they concede 30.9 boards per game as a team. They currently rank 6th in the league in allowing assists to the opposition with 676 conceded on the season. They are relinquishing 34.3% on 3-point attempts and they rank 12th in the league in opponents points per game (90.4).

In their last game, the Atlanta Dream took home the win by a final score of 104-69 against the Connecticut Sun. The Dream corralled 27 defensive rebounds and 12 offensive rebounds totaling 39 in this matchup. They gave up possession 12 times, while recording 7 steals in this contest. The Sun were called for 22 personal fouls in the game which took the Dream to the free throw line for 36 attempts. They were able to bury 32 of those for a percentage of 88.9%. In regard to shots from beyond the perimeter, Atlanta converted 14 out of 26 attempts (53.8%). Overall, the Dream went 29 out of 67 from the field which gave them a rate of 43.3%. The Dream allowed the Sun to make 21 of their 70 attempts from the floor which gave them a rate of 30.0% in the matchup. They finished 40.0% from beyond the arc by going 8 of 20 and finished the contest at 19 out of 25 at the free throw line (76.0%). In relation to attacking the glass, Atlanta allowed Connecticut to snag 25 in total (5 on the offensive glass).

Allisha Gray ended up being a factor for the Dream in this game. She made 8 of 13 in this game for a rate of 61.5%, and had 3 rebounds. Gray had 29 points in her 28 mins on the court and had 3 assists for the game.

Atlanta has a win-loss record of 21-12 for the campaign. Atlanta has scored 2,971 points so far this year (90.0 per game) and they pull down 35.3 rebounds per contest. The Dream are responsible for committing 19.8 fouls per game and they connect on 77.7% from the charity stripe. When it comes to offense, the Dream are shooting 43.7% from the floor, which is ranked 12th in the league. Their rate of assisting teammates is at 20.8 times per contest (9th in the WNBA) and they turn the ball over 12.9 times per contest. The Dream on the defensive side of the court are 4th in basketball in points allowed per game with 85.5. They allow 19.5 dimes and 30.2 boards on a nightly basis, ranking them 3rd and 1st in the league. The Atlanta defense gives up 36.8% on shots from beyond the perimeter (277 of 752) and opponents are converting on 75.3% of their shots from the free throw line. They are able to force 15.8 TO's per game and have allowed teams to shoot 48.0% from the field (15th in the league).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Atlanta

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