Indiana Fever vs Las Vegas Aces Prediction, 10/1/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Indiana Fever vs Las Vegas Aces

Date: Thursday, October 1, 2026

Location: Michelob ULTRA Arena in Las Vegas, NV

TV: USA Net

Odds/Point Spread: Indiana (+4.5)

The Las Vegas Aces (31-13) play the Indiana Fever (28-16) at Michelob ULTRA Arena on Thursday in Game 3 of their 1st round series. The series is tied 1-1. The spread on this contest has Las Vegas as 4.5 point favorites. The total is set at 181.5.

The Indiana Fever notched a win by a score of 99-89 in Game 2. Indiana finished the game having earned a 52.1% field goal percentage (37 of 71) and knocked down 8 of their 21 3-pointers. From the free throw line, the Fever converted 17 of their 24 shots for a percentage of 70.8%. When discussing rebounding, they earned 24 with 8 of them being of the offensive variety. They also recorded 20 dimes in this game as well as forcing the opposition into 16 turnovers and getting 8 steals. When discussing defense, Indiana allowed the other team to go 42.4% from the floor on 25 out of 59 shooting. Las Vegas distributed 5 dimes and had 8 steals for the game. On top of that, Las Vegas grabbed 31 boards (5 offensive, 26 defensive) and had 6 blocks. Las Vegas ended up going 88.2% from the free throw line by knocking down 30 of their 34 tries. They also converted 9 out of their 28 tries from long range.

Caitlin Clark is one player who was a major contributor in this game. She was able to score 27 points on 9 out of 18 shooting. She was on the hardwood for 33 mins and also pulled down 7 boards. Clark went 50.0% from the field and totaled 15 dimes.

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Indiana heads into this contest with a win-loss record of 28-16 so far this year. They turn it over 13.3 times per game and as a unit they are committing 21.3 fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, Indiana is grabbing 33.4 rebounds per contest and has earned 910 dimes on the campaign, which has them ranked 8th in basketball in terms of passing. The Fever are hitting 38.6% on shots from distance (452 of 1,170) and 80.7% from the charity stripe. They are averaging 96.0 points per game (1st in the league) while hitting 48.7% from the field. On the defensive end, the Fever are forcing their opponents into 12.7 turnovers per game while drawing 22.1 fouls. They are conceding 33.7% on 3-point attempts and they are 11th in the league in PPG allowed (90.4). The Fever are giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 46.0% (557 of 971) and they concede 32.0 rebounds per contest as a basketball team. They rank 9th in the league in giving up assists to their opponents with 922 conceded on the campaign.

In Gsme 2, the Aces were able to collect 23 defensive boards and 7 offensive boards for a total of 30 in this contest. They coughed up the ball 11 times, while recording 9 steals in this matchup. The Fever earned 24 fouls for this game which took the Aces to the free throw line for a total of 34 attempts. They were able to knock down 30 of the free throw attempts for a rate of 88.2%. Regarding shots from beyond the perimeter, Las Vegas knocked down 9 of 28 attempts (32.1%). When this game wrapped up, the Aces finished the game shooting 25 for 59 from the field which gave them a rate of 42.4%. The Aces permitted the Fever to make 37 of 71 tries from the field which gave them a percentage of 52.1% for the game. They finished the game shooting 38.1% from beyond the arc by shooting 8 of 21 and finished the game at 17 of 24 from the free throw line (70.8%). Concerning how they cleaned up the glass, Las Vegas allowed Indiana to grab 34 in all (11 on the offensive glass).

Jackie Young ended up being a factor for the Aces for the game. She knocked down 7 of 19 in this game giving her a field goal percentage of 36.8%, and accumulated 4 rebounds. Young earned 31 points in her 36 minutes on the court and accounted for 5 dimes for the matchup.

Las Vegas has a record of 31-13 so far this year. Las Vegas has tallied 4,025 points this season (91.5 per game) and they grab 33.4 boards per game. The Aces have committed 17.3 fouls per game and they hit 81.4% from the charity stripe. On the offensive side of the court, the Aces are connecting on 48.6% from the field, which is ranked 2nd in the WNBA. They are earning an assist 22.0 times per game (2nd in the league) and they are giving up possession 12.0 times per game. The Aces defensively are ranked 6th in the league in points given up per game with 85.8. They give up 18.9 dimes and 33.4 rebounds per contest, which ranks them 2nd and 8th in the WNBA. The Las Vegas defense allows 34.9% on shots from 3-point land (386 of 1,107) and opponents are converting on 79.3% of their free throw shots. They are forcing their opponents into 13.2 turnovers on a nightly basis and allow teams to shoot 44.4% from the field (5th in the WNBA).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Indiana (+4.5)

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