Indiana Fever vs Las Vegas Aces Prediction, 7/5/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Indiana Fever vs Las Vegas Aces

Date: Sunday, July 5, 2026

Location: T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, NV

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Indiana (+5.5)

The Las Vegas Aces (14-5) play the Indiana Fever (11-8) at T-Mobile Arena on Sunday. Indiana opens this matchup as 5.5 point underdogs. The over/under opens at 183.5.

The Indiana Fever took the court against the Los Angeles Sparks and took home the win by a score of 111-87 in their last game. Indiana ended the contest with a 55.2% FG percentage (37 out of 67) and made 10 of their 19 3-point attempts. From the free throw line, the Fever converted 27 of 33 shots for a rate of 81.8%. In the matter of rebounding, they earned 41 with 9 of them being of the offensive variety. They also dished out 23 dimes for this contest in addition to forcing the other team into 9 turnovers and getting 6 steals. In the matter of defending, Indiana let their opponent shoot 42.9% from the floor on 33 out of 77 shooting. Los Angeles doled out 5 assists and had 4 steals in the game. Moreover, Los Angeles collected 25 rebounds (5 offensive, 20 defensive) and added 4 blocks. Los Angeles walked away from this one shooting 81.0% at the free throw line by knocking down 17 of their 21 shots. They knocked down 4 of their 20 attempts from beyond the arc.

Kelsey Mitchell is a player who came through for this game. She ended up finishing with 26 points on 9 out of 13 shooting. She played for 26 mins played and also totaled 3 boards. Mitchell finished the contest at 69.2% from the field and totaled 2 assists.

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Indiana steps onto the hardwood with a record of 11-8 for the campaign. They are turning it over 15.2 times per game and as a unit are committing 24.2 fouls per contest. As a unit, Indiana is pulling in 34.2 boards per game and is sitting with 402 assists on the campaign, which is 7th in the league in terms of passing the rock. The Fever are shooting 36.2% on three-point shots (186 of 514) and 82.3% from the free throw line. They currently have an average of 93.9 points per game (1st in basketball) while hitting 47.2% from the field. On the defensive end of the court, the Fever are forcing 12.4 turnovers per contest while drawing 23.8 personal fouls. They are giving up 32.7% on 3-point shots and they are 12th in the WNBA in opponents points per game (90.0). The Fever defense is allowing an opponent shooting percentage of 45.7% (235 of 452) and they surrender 30.4 boards per game as a squad. They currently rank 5th in the league in allowing assists to their opponents with 371 surrendered for the campaign.

The last time they took the court, the Las Vegas Aces walked away with a victory by a final of 107-99 when they faced the Chicago Sky. The Aces earned 26 defensive boards and 6 offensive boards for a total of 32 for the matchup. They gave up possession of the ball 11 times, while recording 9 steals in this matchup. The Sky earned 26 personal fouls for the game which got the Aces to the charity stripe for a total of 37 attempts. They were able to knock down 31 of them for a rate of 83.8%. In relation to 3-pointers, Las Vegas made 10 of 25 tries (40.0%). When the final whistle was blown, the Aces finished shooting 33 for 63 from the floor which gave them a rate of 52.4%. The Aces permitted the Sky to convert 37 of their 80 tries from the field which gave them a percentage of 46.3% in this matchup. They shot 37.5% from three-point range by connecting on 9 out of 24 and walked away from this one shooting 16 of 25 from the free throw line (64.0%). With respect to attacking the glass, Las Vegas allowed Chicago to pull down 36 in all (11 on the offensive glass).

A'ja Wilson pitched in for the Aces in the game. She knocked down 8 out of 14 for the contest giving her a rate of 57.1%, and had 15 rebounds. Wilson racked up 30 points in her 34 mins of playing time and had 1 assist for this game.

Las Vegas has a win-loss record of 14-5 so far this season. When it comes to offensive execution, the Aces are hitting on 48.8% from the field, which is ranked 1st in the WNBA. Las Vegas has 1,723 points so far this season (90.7 per game) and they grab 35.3 rebounds per contest. They are assisting teammates 22.9 times per game (1st in the league) and they turn the ball over 12.4 times per game. The Aces commit 17.5 fouls per contest and they hit 76.6% from the free throw line. The Aces on the defensive side of the court are 8th in the WNBA in PPG surrendered with 86.4. The Las Vegas defense gives up 35.0% from downtown (171 of 489) and their opponents are making 79.4% of their foul shots. They have conceded 19.1 assists and 32.9 boards per game, which is ranked 3rd and 6th in the league. They are able to force 11.7 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 43.9% from the field (7th in the WNBA).

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Las Vegas (-5.5) and over 183.5 points

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