Indiana Fever vs Seattle Storm Prediction, 7/28/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Indiana Fever vs Seattle Storm

Date: Tuesday, July 28, 2026

Location: Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle, WA

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Indiana (-8.5)

The Indiana Fever (17-10) head to Climate Pledge Arena on Tuesday where they'll take on the Seattle Storm (6-23). Seattle opens this matchup as 8.5 point underdogs. The total is set at 184.5.

The Indiana Fever took the court against the Connecticut Sun and earned the victory with a final of 123-88 in their last contest. Indiana ended having earned a 61.6% FG percentage (45 out of 73) and converted 11 out of their 22 shots from distance. From the free throw line, the Fever buried 22 of 27 tries for a rate of 81.5%. When discussing rebounding, they collected 35 with 8 of them being on the offensive end. They also recorded 29 assists in this game while forcing the opposition into 14 turnovers and getting 7 steals. Regarding defending, Indiana allowed the other team to shoot 44.3% from the field on 35 of 79 shooting. Connecticut recorded 11 assists and had 8 steals for the contest. Additionally, Connecticut had 28 boards (11 offensive, 17 defensive) and got 4 rejections. Connecticut finished the contest at 66.7% from the charity stripe by making 10 of 15 attempts. They also buried 8 of their 20 attempts from beyond the arc.

Caitlin Clark is a player who was a major contributor for the contest. She notched 27 points on 8 of 13 shooting. She saw the court for 27 mins played and also collected 2 boards. Clark shot 61.5% from the field and totaled 11 assists.

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Indiana heads into this contest with a record of 17-10 on the year. They are giving up possession 14.3 times per game and as a unit are committing 22.7 personal fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, Indiana is pulling down 33.9 boards per game and has tallied 560 dimes so far this season, which is 5th in the league in terms of passing. The Fever are shooting 38.1% on shots beyond the perimeter (277 of 727) and 82.2% from the charity stripe. They have an average of 95.5 points per outing (1st in the league) on 47.9% from the floor. On the defensive end of the court, the Fever are able to force 12.6 turnovers per contest and they draw 22.6 personal fouls. They are 6th in the league in giving up assists to the opposition with 533 surrendered for the campaign. The Fever are giving up a FG percentage of 46.2% (341 of 609) and they relinquish 30.3 boards per contest as a squad. They give up 33.8% from beyond the arc and they are 11th in the league in PPG from their opponents (89.6).

For their last game, the Seattle Storm took a loss by a final score of 86-76 when they faced the Minnesota Lynx. The Storm were able to snag 30 defensive boards and 11 offensive boards totaling 41 in this matchup. They coughed it up 18 times, while getting 7 steals for the matchup. The Lynx committed 13 fouls in this contest which got the Storm to the charity stripe for a total of 15 attempts. They were able to make 11 of the free throw tries for a rate of 73.3%. In reference to 3-pointers, Seattle buried 5 of 32 attempts (15.6%). When the final whistle was blown, the Storm finished shooting 30 out of 74 from the field which gave them a rate of 40.5%. The Storm allowed the Lynx to bury 31 out of their 79 attempts from the field which gave them a rate of 39.2% in this contest. They finished 39.1% from 3-point land by connecting on 9 out of 23 and finished the game at 15 out of 17 at the free throw line (88.2%). In the matter of attacking the glass, Seattle allowed Minnesota to grab 36 in total (15 offensive).

Dominique Malonga pitched in for the Storm in this contest. She converted 9 out of 13 in this matchup for a rate of 69.2%, and totaled 9 rebounds. Malonga tallied 21 points in her 26 mins on the court and had 2 dimes for this contest.

Seattle has a record of 6-23 on the campaign. The Storm are responsible for committing 19.9 personal fouls per contest and they connect on 79.3% from the free throw line. Their rate of dishing out assists is at 19.2 times per game (14th in the WNBA) and they are giving up possession 14.7 times per game. Seattle has accounted for 2,375 pts this year (81.9 per game) and they pull in 33.7 boards per contest. When it comes to offensive execution, the Storm are hitting on 43.4% from the field, which is 14th in the league. The Storm are ranked 9th in basketball in points given up per game with 87.0. They have forced 12.5 TO's per game and have allowed teams to shoot 43.0% from the field (4th in the WNBA). The Seattle defense allows 30.3% from downtown (236 of 778) and their opposition knocks down 82.0% of their free throw attempts. They allow 20.6 assists and 35.6 boards on a nightly basis, which ranks them 10th and 14th in the WNBA.

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Indiana (-8.5)

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