Las Vegas Aces vs Golden State Valkyries Prediction, 10/7/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Las Vegas Aces vs Golden State Valkyries

Date: Wednesday, October 7, 2026

Location: Chase Center in San Francisco, CA

TV: Peacock

Odds/Point Spread: Las Vegas (+1.5)

The Las Vegas Aces (31-13) go to Chase Center on Wednesday where they'll meet the Golden State Valkyries (32-12) in Game 2 of the WNBA Semifinals. Golden State leads 1-0. The line on this game has Golden State as 1.5 point favorites. The over/under opens at 158.5.

The Las Vegas Aces walked away from Game 1 with a loss by a score of 71-60. Las Vegas wrapped up the game having earned a 33.9% field goal percentage (21 out of 62) and buried 7 out of their 21 shots from 3-point land. From the charity stripe, the Aces made 11 of 15 attempts for a percentage of 73.3%. In relation to hauling in boards, they compiled 25 with 2 of them being offensive. They also distributed 12 assists for this game while forcing the other team into 13 turnovers and having 9 steals. In relation to the defense, Las Vegas allowed 37.7% from the field on 26 of 69 shooting. Golden State earned 17 assists and had 5 steals in this contest. On top of that, Golden State snagged 52 rebounds (17 offensive, 35 defensive) and added 6 blocks. Golden State ended up going 75.0% when shooting free throws by burying 12 of 16 shots. They knocked down 7 out of their 24 shots from beyond the arc.

A'ja Wilson is someone who was a major factor for the game. She walked away with 24 points on 8 out of 21 shooting. She was on the hardwood for 35 mins and also collected 4 rebounds. Wilson shot 38.1% from the floor but wasn't able to get an assist.

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Las Vegas heads into this matchup with a record of 31-13 on the campaign. They are turning it over 12.0 times per contest and as a squad they commit 17.3 personal fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, Las Vegas is snagging 33.4 rebounds per contest and has racked up 970 assists this season, which ranks 2nd in basketball in terms of passing the rock. The Aces are shooting 36.2% on shots from downtown (382 of 1,054) and 81.4% from the free throw line. They average 91.5 pts per game (2nd in basketball) while going 48.6% from the floor. On the defensive end, the Aces have forced 13.2 turnovers per contest while drawing 19.4 personal fouls. They are relinquishing 34.9% on 3-point attempts and they rank 6th in the WNBA in points per game allowed (85.8). The Aces defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 44.4% (580 of 854) and they surrender 33.4 rebounds per contest as a squad. They are ranked 2nd in the WNBA in giving up assists to their opponents with 833 conceded so far this season.

In Game 1, the Valkyries snagged 26 defensive boards and 14 offensive rebounds for a total of 40 in the game. They also turned the ball over 6 times, while getting 5 steals for the contest. The Aces committed 23 personal fouls for the matchup which got the Valkyries to the free throw line for 16 shots. They were able to knock down 12 of the free throw tries for a percentage of 75.0%. In regard to shots from beyond the perimeter, Golden State made 7 of their 24 attempts (29.2%). When the final whistle was blown, the Valkyries went 26 out of 69 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 37.7%. The Valkyries allowed the Aces to convert 21 out of 62 tries from the field which gave them a rate of 33.9% in this contest. They went 33.3% from downtown by shooting 7 out of 21 and finished the game at 11 out of 15 at the free throw line (73.3%). In reference to rebounding, Golden State allowed Las Vegas to get 36 in all (6 offensive).

Gabby Williams ended up having an impact for the Valkyries for the game. She converted 9 of 18 for the game giving her a rate of 50.0%, and tallied 11 rebounds. Williams racked up 25 points in her 34 minutes of playing time and accumulated 5 assists in the game.

Golden State has a win-loss record of 32-12 for the campaign. On the offensive side of the court, the Valkyries are hitting on 42.2% from the field, which is ranked 15th in the league. Golden State has totaled 3,615 pts this season (82.2 per game) and they collect 33.3 boards per game. They are dishing out assists 19.3 times per contest (13th in the league) and they turn it over 10.4 times per game. The Valkyries commit 19.2 fouls per game and they hit 77.4% from the free throw line. The Valkyries on the defensive side of the court are 1st in basketball in PPG given up with 75.1. The Golden State defense concedes 32.6% on shots from beyond the arc (353 of 1,082) and opponents are knocking down 75.9% of their shots from the charity stripe. They have allowed 18.2 assists and 32.7 boards on a nightly basis, which ranks 1st and 5th in the WNBA. They are able to force 13.7 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 41.4% from the field (1st in the WNBA).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Golden State (-1.5)

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