Las Vegas Aces vs Indiana Fever Prediction, 9/29/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Las Vegas Aces vs Indiana Fever

Date: Tuesday, September 29, 2026

Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, IN

TV: Prime Video

Odds/Point Spread: Las Vegas (+1.5)

The Indiana Fever (28-16) host the Las Vegas Aces (31-13) at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Tuesday in Game 2 of their 1st round series. Vegas leads 1-0. The line on this matchup has Indiana as 1.5 point favorites. The total opens at 184.5.

The Las Vegas Aces faced off with the Indiana Fever and took home the win by a score of 102-85 in Game 1. Las Vegas finished the game with a 59.4% FG percentage (38 of 64) and knocked down 9 of their 19 3-pointers. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Aces knocked down 17 of 20 attempts for a rate of 85.0%. When talking about grabbing rebounds, they compiled 31 with 5 of them being of the offensive variety. They also recorded 24 dimes in this contest in addition to forcing the opposition into 16 turnovers and having 8 steals. In relation to defense, Las Vegas let their opponent shoot 44.8% from the field on 30 out of 67 shooting. Indiana totaled 8 dimes and had 8 steals for the contest. On top of that, Indiana snagged 24 boards (8 offensive, 16 defensive), but wrapped up the game with no rejections. Indiana finished 92.9% at the charity stripe by knocking down 13 of their 14 tries. They converted 12 out of their 31 shots from beyond the arc.

A'ja Wilson is a player who played a role in this contest. She accumulated 38 points on 15 of 19 shooting. She played 35 mins and also pulled down 16 rebounds. Wilson shot 78.9% from the field and totaled 2 dimes.

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Las Vegas comes into this one with a win-loss mark of 31-13 on the year. They currently have an average of 91.5 pts per contest (2nd in basketball) while going 48.6% from the floor. The Aces are shooting 36.2% from downtown (382 of 1,054) and 81.4% from the free throw line. As a team, Las Vegas is grabbing 33.4 rebounds per game and has 970 assists so far this year, which is 2nd in the league in terms of passing the rock. They turn the ball over 12.0 times per game and as a basketball team they are committing 17.3 fouls on a nightly basis. On the defensive end of the court, the Aces are forcing their opponents into 13.2 turnovers per contest and they draw 19.4 fouls. They are 2nd in the league in allowing assists to their opponents with 833 conceded so far this season. The Aces defensively are allowing a field goal percentage of 44.4% (580 of 854) and they surrender 33.4 rebounds per contest as a squad. They are surrendering 34.9% on shots from distance while they are 6th in basketball in points per game allowed (85.8).

In Game 1, the Fever were able to corral 16 defensive boards and 8 offensive rebounds for a total of 24 for the game. They coughed it up 16 times, while earning 8 steals for the contest. The Aces committed 18 personal fouls for this game which took the Fever to the free throw line for 14 attempts. They were able to make 13 of them for a percentage of 92.9%. Regarding shots from downtown, Indiana made 12 of 31 tries (38.7%). In all, the Fever walked away from this one shooting 30 for 67 from the floor which gave them a rate of 44.8%. The Fever allowed the Aces to convert 38 of their 64 attempts from the field which gave them a percentage of 59.4% for this game. They finished the game shooting 47.4% from distance by connecting on 9 out of 19 and finished the contest at 17 of 20 from the free throw line (85.0%). In the matter of rebounds, Indiana permitted Las Vegas to collect 31 in total (5 offensive).

Aliyah Boston was important for the Fever in this game. She converted 7 out of 12 in this game giving her a rate of 58.3%, and earned 8 rebounds. Boston totaled 18 points in her 25 mins on the hardwood and accumulated 4 dimes in the matchup.

Indiana has a win-loss record of 28-16 for the year. The Fever are committing 21.3 personal fouls per game and they shoot 80.7% from the free throw line. They are earning an assist 20.7 times per game (8th in basketball) and they are giving up possession 13.3 times per game. Indiana has accounted for 4,222 points this year (96.0 per contest) and they snag 33.4 boards per game. As an offense, the Fever are shooting 48.7% from the field, which is ranked 1st in basketball. The Fever are ranked 11th in the league in points allowed per game with 90.4. The Indiana defense concedes 33.7% on 3-point attempts (353 of 1,047) and their opposition makes 78.3% of their foul shots. They have surrendered 21.0 assists and 32.0 boards on a nightly basis, which is ranked 9th and 4th in the WNBA. They are able to force 12.7 turnovers per game and have let teams shoot 46.0% from the field (9th in the league).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Las Vegas (+1.5)

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