Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction, 6/17/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury

Date: Wednesday, June 17, 2026

Location: Mortgage Matchup Center in Phoenix, AZ

TV: USA Net

Odds/Point Spread: Las Vegas (-7.5)

The Las Vegas Aces (10-4) head to Mortgage Matchup Center on Wednesday where they'll meet the Phoenix Mercury (4-11). Las Vegas opens this matchup as 7.5 point favorites. The O/U has been set at 172.5.

The Las Vegas Aces faced the Dallas Wings and took a loss by a score of 96-66 in their last contest. Las Vegas finished with a 39.7% FG percentage (27 out of 68) and made 5 out of their 21 shots from 3-point land. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Aces converted 7 of 9 shots for a rate of 77.8%. When discussing pulling down boards, they earned 31 with 7 of them being offensive. They also recorded 24 assists for the matchup as well as forcing the opposition into 7 turnovers and earning 5 steals. When discussing the defense, Las Vegas allowed 49.3% from the field on 35 of 71 shooting. Dallas earned 8 assists and had 10 steals for this contest. On top of that, Dallas pulled down 41 boards (8 offensive, 33 defensive) and had 3 blocks. Dallas finished shooting 76.2% when shooting free throws by burying 16 of their 21 attempts. They knocked down 10 of their 28 attempts from downtown.

Jewell Loyd is someone who had an impact for this contest. She was able to score 21 points on 8 out of 14 shooting. She played for 31 mins played and also grabbed 2 rebounds. Loyd finished 57.1% from the floor but had no assists when the time ran out.

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Las Vegas comes into this game with a record of 10-4 for the season. They lose possession by turning the ball over 13.0 times per contest and as a unit they commit 17.6 fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, Las Vegas is grabbing 36.9 rebounds per game and has accounted for 327 dimes so far this year, which is 1st in the league in terms of passing the rock. The Aces are hitting 37.0% on 3-pointers (119 of 322) and 74.6% from the charity stripe. They average 90.2 points per game (2nd in the WNBA) while going 48.2% from the field. Defensively, the Aces have forced 11.4 turnovers per game while drawing 19.4 fouls. They are 7th in the league in allowing assists to the opposition with 271 conceded on the year. The Aces defense is giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 43.1% (159 of 272) and they surrender 33.6 boards per game as a group. They are giving up 36.7% from 3-point land and they are 10th in the league in points per game allowed (87.3).

The last time they took the court, the Phoenix Mercury took a loss by a score of 111-102 against the Los Angeles Sparks. The Mercury earned 29 defensive rebounds and 9 offensive boards totaling 38 in this matchup. They coughed it up 15 times, while getting 6 steals in the game. The Sparks committed 19 fouls for this game which got the Mercury to the free throw line for a total of 15 shots. They were able to knock down 9 of the free throw attempts for a rate of 60.0%. Regarding 3-point attempts, Phoenix knocked down 13 of their 35 tries (37.1%). When all was said and done, the Mercury shot 40 for 80 from the field which had them at 50.0%. The Mercury permitted the Sparks to knock down 38 of 79 tries from the floor which left them shooting 48.1% in this matchup. They went 44.1% from three-point range by shooting 15 out of 34 and finished the contest at 20 out of 23 at the free throw line (87.0%). In reference to how they rebounded, Phoenix permitted Los Angeles to pull down 37 in total (10 on the offensive side).

Kahleah Copper was important for the Mercury for the matchup. She made 16 out of 30 for the matchup for a rate of 53.3%, and totaled 10 rebounds. Copper earned 41 points in her 38 mins on the hardwood and had 1 assist in this matchup.

Phoenix has a record of 4-11 on the year. The Mercury are responsible for committing 18.7 personal fouls per contest and they connect on 79.4% from the free throw line. They are getting an assist 19.0 times per game (10th in the league) and they are turning it over 12.9 times per contest. Phoenix has accumulated 1,233 points so far this season (82.2 per game) and they pull down 32.1 rebounds per game. When it comes to offense, the Mercury are shooting 42.2% from the floor, which has them ranked 11th in basketball. The Mercury defensively are ranked 9th in the league in points per game surrendered with 86.8. The Phoenix defense concedes 37.8% on 3-pointers (151 of 399) and opponents are converting on 80.5% of their foul shots. They have surrendered 20.1 assists and 34.2 rebounds per contest, which is ranked 10th and 11th in the WNBA. They are able to force 13.5 turnovers on a nightly basis and allow teams to shoot 46.4% from the field (12th in the league).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Las Vegas (-7.5)

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