Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction, 9/24/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury

Date: Thursday, September 24, 2026

Location: Mortgage Matchup Center in Phoenix, AZ

TV: USA Net

Mortgage Matchup Center is the site where and the Phoenix Mercury (16-27) will take on the Las Vegas Aces (30-13) on Thursday.

The Las Vegas Aces faced the Los Angeles Sparks and notched a win by a score of 89-79 in their last game. Las Vegas ended the game having earned a 48.6% FG percentage (34 out of 70) and converted 11 of their 28 three-point attempts. At the charity stripe, the Aces buried 10 of 14 tries for a percentage of 71.4%. In reference to grabbing rebounds, they earned a total of 29 with 5 of them being on the offensive end. They also distributed 21 dimes in this matchup while forcing 13 turnovers and earning 8 steals. Regarding defense, Las Vegas allowed the other team to shoot 47.8% from the floor on 32 of 67 shooting. Los Angeles recorded 6 dimes and had 8 steals in the matchup. Furthermore, Los Angeles snagged 30 boards (6 offensive, 24 defensive) and added 3 rejections. Los Angeles went 72.7% at the charity stripe by knocking down 8 of 11 tries. They also made 7 of 21 tries from beyond the arc.

A'ja Wilson is a player who was a major contributor for the matchup. She notched 18 points on 7 of 15 shooting. She saw the court for 32 minutes and also totaled 10 rebounds. Wilson walked away from this one shooting 46.7% from the floor and recorded 2 dimes.

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Las Vegas enters this contest with a win-loss record of 30-13 this year. The Aces are shooting 36.0% on 3-pointers (373 of 1,035) and 81.3% from the free throw line. They are averaging 91.3 pts per game (3rd in the league) while shooting 48.4% from the field. They cough up possession 12.0 times per contest and as a squad they commit 17.5 fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, Las Vegas is snagging 33.4 rebounds per game and is sitting with 943 dimes so far this season, which is 2nd in basketball in terms of passing the ball. On the defensive end of the court, the Aces have forced 13.1 turnovers on a nightly basis while drawing 19.6 personal fouls. They are ranked 2nd in the WNBA in giving up assists with 812 surrendered for the season. The Aces defense is giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 44.4% (562 of 841) and they relinquish 33.4 boards per game as a basketball team. They are conceding 35.0% on 3-point attempts and they are 6th in the league in opponents points per game (85.9).

The last time they took the court, the Phoenix Mercury got the victory with a final of 87-86 against the Dallas Wings. The Mercury earned 26 defensive rebounds and 6 offensive rebounds for a total of 32 in this contest. They turned the ball over 5 times, while earning 4 steals in this contest. The Wings earned 21 fouls in this contest which got the Mercury to the free throw line for a total of 30 tries. They were able to knock down 26 of the free throw tries for a clip of 86.7%. In the matter of shots from 3-point land, Phoenix converted 5 of their 21 attempts (23.8%). When the final whistle was blown, the Mercury finished shooting 28 out of 67 from the floor which had them sitting at 41.8%. The Mercury permitted the Wings to convert 31 out of their 74 tries from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 41.9% for this contest. They finished 43.5% from beyond the perimeter by connecting on 10 of 23 and ended up shooting 14 of 21 from the free throw line (66.7%). With respect to how they cleaned up the glass, Phoenix allowed Dallas to pull down 42 in all (11 on the offensive glass).

Kahleah Copper ended up having an impact for the Mercury for this game. She knocked down 10 of 17 for the game for a rate of 58.8%, and had 5 rebounds. Copper racked up 31 points in her 34 mins on the hardwood and totaled 1 assist for this game.

Phoenix has a record of 16-27 for the season. Phoenix has 3,630 pts on the year (84.4 per game) and they pull down 31.6 rebounds per contest. The Mercury are committing 18.9 fouls per contest and they connect on 79.0% from the charity stripe. As an offense, the Mercury are shooting 44.5% from the field, which is ranked 9th in basketball. Their rate of earning assists is at 20.3 times per contest (10th in the WNBA) and they cough up possession 12.9 times per game. The Mercury defensively are ranked 8th in basketball in points given up per game with 87.4. They are forcing their opponents into 12.9 turnovers on a nightly basis and have allowed teams to shoot 46.1% from the floor (10th in the league). The Phoenix defense surrenders 35.9% on 3-point attempts (416 of 1,158) and their opponents are knocking down 78.7% of their free throw shots. They have given up 21.4 assists and 34.0 boards per game, ranking them 12th and 11th in the league.

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Las Vegas

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