Las Vegas Aces vs Portland Fire Prediction, 7/9/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Las Vegas Aces vs Portland Fire

Date: Thursday, July 9, 2026

Location: Moda Center in Portland, OR

TV: WNBA League Pass

Odds/Point Spread: Las Vegas (-8.5)

The Portland Fire (9-12) host the Las Vegas Aces (15-6) at Moda Center on Thursday. Portland opens this contest as 8.5 point dogs. The total opens at 174.5.

The Las Vegas Aces took the court against the Indiana Fever and took a loss by a score of 84-68 in their last game. Las Vegas ended the contest with a 40.0% FG percentage (22 out of 55) and knocked down 4 out of their 19 shots from beyond the perimeter. From the charity stripe, the Aces converted 20 of their 25 shots for a percentage of 80.0%. With respect to rebounding, they collected 30 with 6 of them being offensive. They also doled out 14 assists in this matchup as well as forcing 7 turnovers and getting 5 steals. When talking about defending, Las Vegas allowed the other team to shoot 42.9% from the field on 30 of 70 shooting. Indiana earned 13 assists and had 5 steals in this contest. Moreover, Indiana had 39 boards (13 offensive, 26 defensive) and added 3 blocks. Indiana finished shooting 75.0% at the charity stripe by making 15 of 20 shots. They also made 9 of their 23 attempts from beyond the perimeter.

Jackie Young is one player who came through for the contest. She ended up finishing with 15 points on 6 of 13 shooting. She was on the hardwood for 33 mins played and grabbed 2 boards. Young finished 46.2% from the floor and also distributed 4 assists.

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Las Vegas steps onto the court with a record of 15-6 for the season. They lose possession via turnover 12.4 times per game and as a basketball team are committing 17.6 fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, Las Vegas is collecting 35.0 boards per game and has totaled 467 dimes on the season, which has them ranked 2nd in the WNBA in terms of passing the rock. The Aces are connecting on 35.4% on three-point attempts (169 of 478) and 77.1% from the charity stripe. They have an average of 90.0 points per outing (4th in basketball) while connecting on 48.6% from the floor. When they are on the defensive end, the Aces have forced 11.8 turnovers per contest while drawing 19.9 fouls. The Aces defense is giving up a FG percentage of 43.8% (248 of 418) and they relinquish 33.2 boards per contest as a team. They rank 4th in the league in allowing assists to the opposition with 401 conceded on the season. They are giving up 35.2% on shots from downtown and they are 9th in the league in points per game allowed (86.4).

In their last game, the Portland Fire took home the win by a final score of 77-72 when they played the Seattle Storm. The Fire corralled 37 defensive boards and 10 offensive boards for a total of 47 in this matchup. They also coughed it up 19 times, while recording 9 steals in this contest. The Storm were called for 22 fouls in this game which took the Fire to the charity stripe for a total of 25 shots. They were able to bury 23 of those for a percentage of 92.0%. In reference to shots from beyond the perimeter, Portland made 4 of 25 attempts (16.0%). When this game wrapped up, the Fire went 25 for 68 from the field which had them shooting 36.8%. The Fire permitted the Storm to convert 24 out of their 71 tries from the floor which gave them a percentage of 33.8% in this matchup. They wrapped up this game 27.6% from 3-point land by going 8 of 29 and ended up going 16 out of 18 from the charity stripe (88.9%). Regarding cleaning up the glass, Portland permitted Seattle to pull down 31 in all (6 offensive).

Carla Leite ended up being a major contributor for the Fire for this contest. She made 4 of 8 for the contest giving her a rate of 50.0%, and accounted for 3 rebounds. Leite earned 20 points in her 22 mins of playing time and had 4 assists for the contest.

Portland has a record of 9-12 for the season. On the offensive side of the ball, the Fire are hitting on 43.6% from the floor, which ranks 9th in the league. Portland has tallied 1,770 points this year (84.3 per contest) and they average 29.9 boards per game. They are dishing out assists 20.0 times per game (9th in the WNBA) and they turn it over 14.9 times per game. The Fire are responsible for committing 23.0 personal fouls per contest and they hit 81.3% from the free throw line. The Fire on defense are ranked 13th in the WNBA in PPG allowed with 91.3. The Portland defense concedes 34.6% on shots from distance (191 of 552) and their opponents are knocking down 77.5% of their foul shots. They have relinquished 23.3 dimes and 34.0 boards on a nightly basis, ranking them 15th and 10th in the league. They have forced 13.9 turnovers per game and have allowed teams to shoot 46.5% from the field (13th in the league).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Las Vegas (-8.5)

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