Los Angeles Sparks vs Minnesota Lynx Prediction, 7/15/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Los Angeles Sparks vs Minnesota Lynx

Date: Wednesday, July 15, 2026

Location: Target Center in Minneapolis, MN

TV: WNBA League Pass

Odds/Point Spread: Los Angeles (+12.5)

The Los Angeles Sparks (10-12) head to Target Center on Wednesday where they'll meet the Minnesota Lynx (18-6). Los Angeles opens this game as 12.5 point dogs. The O/U opens at 182.5.

The Los Angeles Sparks faced off with the Atlanta Dream and took a loss by a score of 101-92 in their last game. Los Angeles finished having earned a 52.2% FG percentage (35 out of 67) and made 9 out of their 24 shots from 3-point land. From the free throw line, the Sparks converted 13 of their 16 tries for a percentage of 81.3%. With respect to hauling in rebounds, they collected a total of 32 with 5 of them being on the offensive end. They also distributed 32 dimes in this contest in addition to creating 15 turnovers and getting 11 steals. In the matter of defense, Los Angeles allowed their opponent to shoot 49.3% from the field on 36 out of 73 shooting. Atlanta doled out 8 dimes and had 5 steals in the matchup. Moreover, Atlanta had 36 rebounds (8 offensive, 28 defensive) and had 3 blocks. Atlanta went 87.0% at the free throw line by knocking down 20 of 23 attempts. They also made 9 out of their 28 shots from downtown.

Erica Wheeler is a player who came through for the contest. She left the arena with 20 points on 8 of 16 shooting. She was on the court for 32 mins and snagged 3 boards. Wheeler went 50.0% from the floor and also distributed 4 assists.

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Los Angeles heads into this game with a win-loss record of 10-12 on the season. They are losing possession via turnover 14.0 times per game and as a basketball team they are committing 20.6 fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, Los Angeles is grabbing 30.9 boards per contest and has earned 458 assists so far this year, which has them ranked 12th in basketball in terms of passing. The Sparks are shooting 32.3% on shots from distance (188 of 582) and 78.8% from the charity stripe. They currently have an average of 89.2 pts per contest (6th in the league) while connecting on 45.9% from the floor. On defense, the Sparks are forcing 14.0 turnovers per contest while drawing 22.3 personal fouls. They are currently ranked 11th in the WNBA in allowing assists with 488 relinquished on the year. The Sparks defense is giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 47.5% (308 of 491) and they relinquish 36.3 rebounds per game as a unit. They concede 33.7% on shots from distance and they are 15th in the league in points per game allowed (93.6).

The last time they took the court, the Minnesota Lynx got the victory with a final of 104-100 when they faced the Phoenix Mercury. The Lynx snagged 20 defensive boards and 4 offensive rebounds for a total of 24 for the game. They turned it over 12 times, while earning 9 steals for the game. The Mercury committed 18 fouls for the game which took the Lynx to the charity stripe for a total of 26 attempts. They were able to make 24 of the free throws for a clip of 92.3%. Regarding 3-point attempts, Minnesota made 12 out of their 29 tries (41.4%). When the final whistle was blown, the Lynx walked away from this one shooting 34 out of 61 from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 55.7%. The Lynx allowed the Mercury to bury 35 of their 63 attempts from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 55.6% for the game. They finished the game shooting 44.0% from three-point range by connecting on 11 of 25 and walked away from this one shooting 19 of 21 from the free throw line (90.5%). When it comes to rebounding, Minnesota allowed Phoenix to pull down 26 overall (4 on the offensive side).

Kayla McBride ended up having an impact for the Lynx in this matchup. She made 11 of 17 in this contest for a field goal percentage of 64.7%, and had 6 rebounds. McBride accumulated 37 points in her 35 mins of playing time and totaled 1 assist for the matchup.

Minnesota has a record of 18-6 so far this year. Minnesota has accumulated 2,174 pts so far this season (90.6 per game) and they average 35.9 boards per game. The Lynx are committing 19.4 fouls per game and they hit 80.1% from the free throw line. When it comes to executing on offense, the Lynx are connecting on 48.0% from the floor, which has them ranked 2nd in the WNBA. They are getting an assist 21.2 times per game (3rd in basketball) and they turn it over 13.3 times per game. The Lynx on the defensive side of the court are 2nd in the league in PPG given up with 81.7. The Minnesota defense concedes 31.9% on 3-pointers (210 of 659) and their opponents are making 79.0% of their shots from the free throw line. They have conceded 19.7 assists and 32.5 boards per contest, which is 7th and 5th in the league. They are able to force 14.6 turnovers per game and have let teams shoot 41.4% from the field (1st in the WNBA).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Minnesota (-12.5)

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