Minnesota Lynx vs Connecticut Sun Prediction, 7/8/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Minnesota Lynx vs Connecticut Sun

Date: Wednesday, July 8, 2026

Location: Mohegan Sun Arena in Uncasville, CT

TV: USA Net

Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (-7.5)

Mohegan Sun Arena is the venue where and the Connecticut Sun (5-16) will take on the Minnesota Lynx (15-6) on Wednesday. Connecticut opens this game as 7.5 point dogs. The O/U is set at 167.5.

The Minnesota Lynx stepped onto the hardwood against the Connecticut Sun and ended up losing by a score of 90-89 in their last game. Minnesota ended the game with a 43.7% field goal percentage (31 out of 71) and converted 10 of their 30 shots from 3-point land. When they shot from the free throw line, the Lynx knocked down 17 of 19 attempts for a rate of 89.5%. In relation to hauling in boards, they compiled a total of 32 with 8 of them being of the offensive sort. They also recorded 24 dimes for the game while forcing the other team into 12 turnovers and having 5 steals. With respect to the defense, Minnesota allowed their opponent to shoot 50.0% from the floor on 33 out of 66 shooting. Connecticut recorded 7 dimes and had 11 steals for this game. Furthermore, Connecticut had 32 rebounds (7 offensive, 25 defensive) and earned 6 blocks. Connecticut ended up shooting 58.6% from the charity stripe by making 17 of 29 attempts. They converted 7 of 15 attempts from beyond the perimeter.

Kayla McBride is a player who had an impact in this game. She notched 28 points on 10 out of 19 shooting. She played for 38 mins played and grabbed 3 rebounds. McBride went 52.6% from the field and also totaled 2 dimes.

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Minnesota steps onto the hardwood with a record of 15-6 this year. They currently have an average of 90.2 pts per game (2nd in the league) while hitting 48.0% from the field. The Lynx are shooting 36.6% on shots beyond the perimeter (167 of 456) and 79.8% from the charity stripe. As a unit, Minnesota is pulling down 36.4 rebounds per contest and has accounted for 450 dimes this season, which is 3rd in basketball in terms of passing the ball. They are turning it over 13.3 times per game and as a squad they commit 19.4 fouls per contest. Defensively, the Lynx are forcing their opponents into 14.5 turnovers on a nightly basis while drawing 17.5 personal fouls. They are giving up 31.4% on shots from distance and they rank 2nd in basketball in points per game allowed (80.8). The Lynx defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 40.7% (305 of 367) and they surrender 32.6 rebounds per game as a basketball team. They are ranked 6th in the WNBA in giving up assists to the opposition with 405 surrendered so far this year.

When they last played, the Connecticut Sun walked away with a victory by a final of 90-89 against the Minnesota Lynx. The Sun were able to corral 23 defensive boards and 11 offensive boards totaling 34 in the matchup. They turned it over 14 times, while recording 7 steals for this game. The Lynx had 25 fouls for the contest which took the Sun to the charity stripe for 29 attempts. They were able to convert 17 of the free throws for a rate of 58.6%. In regard to 3-point shots, Connecticut made 7 of their 15 attempts (46.7%). When the final whistle blew, the Sun shot 33 out of 66 from the floor which had them shooting 50.0%. The Sun allowed the Lynx to convert 31 out of their 71 attempts from the field which left them with a shooting percentage of 43.7% for this contest. They finished 33.3% from three-point range by hitting 10 of 30 and walked away from this one shooting 17 out of 19 from the charity stripe (89.5%). In the matter of rebounding, Connecticut allowed Minnesota to collect 31 in total (5 on the offensive glass).

Brittney Griner ended up being a factor for the Sun in this matchup. She converted 11 of 14 in this game for a field goal rate of 78.6%, and added 10 rebounds. Griner scored 29 points in her 34 minutes of playing time and had 3 dimes in this game.

Connecticut has a mark of 5-16 for the season. The Sun are responsible for committing 23.1 personal fouls per contest and they shoot 67.6% from the charity stripe. They are assisting teammates 18.8 times per contest (14th in the league) and they lose possession via turnover 13.3 times per contest. Connecticut has accounted for 1,679 pts so far this season (80.0 per contest) and they average 33.6 rebounds per contest. As an offense, the Sun are hitting on 43.3% from the field, which ranks them 12th in the league. The Sun on the defensive side of the court are 10th in the WNBA in PPG given up with 86.7. They have relinquished 19.6 dimes and 33.2 rebounds on a nightly basis, which ranks them 7th and 7th in the league. The Connecticut defense allows 35.2% on shots from beyond the perimeter (180 of 512) and opponents are connecting on 77.9% of their shots from the free throw line. They are able to force 14.9 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 45.5% from the field (9th in basketball).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Connecticut (+7.5)

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