Minnesota Lynx vs Golden State Valkyries Prediction, 8/19/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Minnesota Lynx vs Golden State Valkyries

Date: Wednesday, August 19, 2026

Location: Chase Center in San Francisco, CA

TV: USA Net

Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (-2.5)

The Golden State Valkyries (25-9) play the Minnesota Lynx (29-7) at Chase Center on Wednesday. Minnesota opens this matchup as 2.5 point favorites. The over/under is set at 166.5.

The Minnesota Lynx faced off with the Las Vegas Aces and notched a win by a score of 92-87 in their last contest. Minnesota finished with a 50.0% FG percentage (32 of 64) and buried 11 of their 26 3-point shots. When they shot from the free throw line, the Lynx converted 17 of 18 tries for a percentage of 94.4%. When it comes to rebounding, they collected 32 with 7 of them being offensive. They also doled out 14 assists for the game while forcing 13 turnovers and getting 9 steals. With respect to defense, Minnesota allowed 44.9% from the field on 31 of 69 shooting. Las Vegas recorded 12 dimes and had 7 steals for the game. Additionally, Las Vegas collected 29 boards (12 offensive, 17 defensive) and had 2 blocked shots. Las Vegas finished the contest at 88.9% at the free throw line by converting 16 of their 18 attempts. They converted 9 out of their 28 attempts from beyond the perimeter.

Olivia Miles is a player who was a major contributor in the matchup. She ended up scoring 23 points on 8 of 15 shooting. She saw the court for 34 mins played and also collected 4 rebounds. Miles finished the contest at 53.3% from the floor and also earned 8 assists.

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Minnesota steps onto the hardwood with a mark of 29-7 for the year. The Lynx are hitting 39.4% on 3-point shots (336 of 852) and 80.8% from the free throw line. They have an average of 92.6 pts per game (2nd in the league) while connecting on 48.4% from the floor. They lose possession via turnover 12.5 times per game and as a group are committing 18.4 personal fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, Minnesota is pulling down 34.8 rebounds per contest and has racked up 788 assists on the campaign, which ranks 2nd in the league in terms of passing the ball. When they are on the defensive end, the Lynx are able to force 14.8 turnovers per game while drawing 16.4 personal fouls. They rank 10th in basketball in allowing assists to the opposition with 738 conceded on the season. The Lynx defensively are allowing and opponent field goal percentage of 43.5% (534 of 591) and they surrender 32.7 boards per game as a basketball team. They are conceding 32.8% on 3-point shots and they are 3rd in the WNBA in points per game from their opponents (83.8).

When they last stepped on the court, the Golden State Valkyries went home victorious with a score of 78-70 when they played the Dallas Wings. The Valkyries were able to corral 22 defensive rebounds and 8 offensive boards totaling 30 for this game. They also turned the ball over 13 times, while earning 16 steals for this game. The Wings committed 18 fouls in this contest which got the Valkyries to the charity stripe for a total of 14 tries. They were able to knock down 12 of them for a rate of 85.7%. When it comes to 3-point shots, Golden State knocked down 12 out of their 36 attempts (33.3%). When the final whistle blew, the Valkyries walked away from this one shooting 27 for 72 from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 37.5%. The Valkyries permitted the Wings to convert 26 out of 58 attempts from the field which gave them a percentage of 44.8% for the game. They wrapped up this game 22.7% from beyond the perimeter by shooting 5 out of 22 and finished the game at 13 out of 15 from the charity stripe (86.7%). When it comes to how they cleaned up the glass, Golden State permitted Dallas to get 29 in total (7 offensive).

Gabby Williams pitched in for the Valkyries for this contest. She converted 8 out of 20 for this contest giving her a rate of 40.0%, and accumulated 7 rebounds. Williams had 23 points in her 32 minutes on the court and tallied 3 dimes for the contest.

Golden State has a record of 25-9 on the season. Golden State has earned 2,835 points this year (83.4 per game) and they pull down 32.4 boards per contest. The Valkyries commit 19.5 fouls per contest while shooting 77.9% from the charity stripe. When it comes to offense, the Valkyries are connecting on 42.6% from the field, which ranks 15th in the WNBA. They are assisting teammates 19.1 times per game (15th in the WNBA) and they turn the ball over 10.6 times per game. The Valkyries on the defensive side of the court are 1st in the WNBA in points per game surrendered with 76.7. They have forced 13.7 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 42.6% from the field (2nd in the WNBA). The Golden State defense gives up 33.6% on three-point shots (264 of 786) and their opponents are knocking down 75.5% of their foul shots. They allow 18.2 dimes and 32.7 rebounds per contest, which ranks them 1st and 6th in the WNBA.

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Golden State (+2.5)

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