Minnesota Lynx vs New York Liberty Prediction, 9/29/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Minnesota Lynx vs New York Liberty

Date: Tuesday, September 29, 2026

Location: Barclays Center in Brooklyn, NY

TV: USA Net

Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (-2.5)

Barclays Center is the venue where and the New York Liberty (26-18) will play the Minnesota Lynx (33-11) on Tuesday in Game 2 of their first round series. New York leads the series 1-0. New York opens this matchup as 2.5 point underdogs. The total is set at 173.5.

The Minnesota Lynx faced the New York Liberty and ended up losing by a score of 91-75 in Game 1. Minnesota finished the contest having earned a 41.8% FG percentage (28 of 67) and converted 9 out of their 26 shots from 3-point land. At the free throw line, the Lynx knocked down 10 of their 13 shots for a rate of 76.9%. With respect to hauling in boards, they collected a total of 23 with 5 of them being of the offensive variety. They also recorded 20 dimes for the contest while forcing the opposition into 19 turnovers and having 4 steals. With respect to the defense, Minnesota allowed their opponent to shoot 50.8% from the field on 31 of 61 shooting. New York earned 5 dimes and had 10 steals in this game. Additionally, New York snagged 38 rebounds (5 offensive, 33 defensive) and had 6 blocked shots. New York finished shooting 88.9% when shooting free throws by knocking down 16 of 18 tries. They made 13 of their 25 attempts from distance.

Nia Coffey is a player who was a contributor in this game. She finished with 16 points on 6 out of 7 shooting. She was on the court for 19 minutes played and also grabbed 1 board. Coffey went 85.7% from the floor but had no assists when the time ran out.

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Minnesota comes into this game with a record of 33-11 for the season. The Lynx are hitting 38.2% on shots from beyond the arc (406 of 1,063) and 81.5% from the charity stripe. They currently have an average of 90.8 points per game (4th in the league) while connecting on 47.7% from the field. They are losing possession via turnover 12.6 times per contest and as a group are committing 18.3 fouls per game. As a unit, Minnesota is pulling in 34.5 boards per contest and is sitting with 961 dimes on the year, which is 3rd in basketball in terms of passing. When they are on defense, the Lynx have forced 14.5 turnovers per contest and they draw 16.5 personal fouls. They give up 32.9% on 3-point shots and they are 3rd in the league in PPG allowed (83.7). The Lynx defensively are allowing a shooting percentage of 43.5% (639 of 728) and they relinquish 33.2 rebounds per contest as a group. They are 7th in the WNBA in allowing assists to the opposition with 900 surrendered on the season.

In Game 1, the Liberty were able to pull down 33 defensive boards and 5 offensive rebounds for a total of 38 for the game. They gave up possession 19 times, while recording 10 steals for this game. The Lynx earned 23 fouls in this matchup which got the Liberty to the charity stripe for a total of 18 attempts. They were able to knock down 16 of the free throws for a clip of 88.9%. In regard to shots from 3-point land, New York knocked down 13 out of 25 tries (52.0%). Overall, the Liberty walked away from this one shooting 31 out of 61 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 50.8%. The Liberty permitted the Lynx to make 28 out of 67 tries from the floor which left them with a shooting percentage of 41.8% in this matchup. They finished the game shooting 34.6% from three-point range by going 9 out of 26 and finished the contest at 10 of 13 from the free throw line (76.9%). When talking about rebounds, New York allowed Minnesota to snag 23 in total (5 offensive).

Breanna Stewart ended up having an impact for the Liberty for the contest. She buried 11 out of 18 in this matchup giving her a rate of 61.1%, and accounted for 12 rebounds. Stewart had 34 points in her 38 mins of playing time and added 6 assists for this contest.

New York has a win-loss record of 26-18 this year. New York has 3,941 pts this season (89.6 per contest) and they pull in 35.5 boards per game. The Liberty are responsible for committing 18.7 fouls per game and they connect on 84.5% from the free throw line. On the offensive side of the court, the Liberty are hitting on 46.0% from the field, which is ranked 6th in the WNBA. Their rate of dishing out assists is at 20.8 times per game (7th in the league) and they are turning it over 13.7 times per game. The Liberty on the defensive end are ranked 7th in the WNBA in PPG given up with 86.4. The New York defense surrenders 34.2% on shots from beyond the perimeter (395 of 1,154) and their opposition knocks down 75.1% of their free throw attempts. They allow 21.4 dimes and 31.5 rebounds per game, which has them ranked 11th and 3rd in the league. They are forcing 11.0 TO's per game and have allowed teams to shoot 44.8% from the field (7th in basketball).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York (+2.5)

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