Minnesota Lynx vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction, 6/1/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Minnesota Lynx vs Phoenix Mercury

Date: Monday, June 1, 2026

Location: Mortgage Matchup Center in Phoenix, AZ

TV: Peacock

Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (-1.5)

The Phoenix Mercury (2-7) play the Minnesota Lynx (6-2) at Mortgage Matchup Center on Monday. The line on this contest has Minnesota as 1.5 point favorites. The over/under opens at 168.5.

The Minnesota Lynx faced off with the Chicago Sky and walked away with a win by a score of 79-58 in their last game. Minnesota ended the contest with a 39.4% FG percentage (28 of 71) and made 8 of 28 three-point attempts. When they shot from the free throw line, the Lynx made 15 of their 18 attempts for a rate of 83.3%. In relation to hauling in rebounds, they earned 43 with 6 of them being on the offensive end. They also doled out 20 assists for this contest while forcing the other team into 17 turnovers and getting 13 steals. With respect to the defense, Minnesota allowed the other team to shoot 28.6% from the field on 20 of 70 shooting. Chicago distributed 9 assists and had 6 steals in the game. On top of that, Chicago collected 41 rebounds (9 offensive, 32 defensive) and added 6 blocked shots. Chicago finished the game shooting 72.2% from the charity stripe by making 13 of their 18 tries. They buried 5 of 30 attempts from 3-point land.

Nia Coffey is a player who was a major factor for the game. She accumulated 20 points on 7 of 12 shooting. She played for 26 mins played and also grabbed 8 rebounds. Coffey ended up shooting 58.3% from the field and also recorded 2 assists.

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Minnesota heads into this contest with a win-loss record of 6-2 for the season. The Lynx are shooting 34.0% on three-point shots (54 of 159) and 74.7% from the free throw line. They currently have an average of 88.4 pts per contest (6th in the league) while going 49.8% from the field. They lose possession by turning the ball over 15.3 times per game and as a group are committing 20.4 personal fouls per contest. As a team, Minnesota is snagging 37.6 rebounds per game and has accounted for 169 assists for the season, which is 3rd in the WNBA in terms of passing the ball. When they are on defense, the Lynx are forcing 14.1 turnovers per game while drawing 18.5 personal fouls. They are ranked 8th in the league in allowing assists to the opposition with 152 surrendered for the season. The Lynx are allowing and opponent field goal percentage of 38.4% (113 of 148) and they surrender 32.9 boards per game as a unit. They surrender 27.0% on 3-point shots and they are ranked 2nd in the league in PPG allowed (79.1).

When they last stepped on the court, the Phoenix Mercury took a loss by a score of 75-68 against the New York Liberty. The Mercury were able to snag 20 defensive rebounds and 3 offensive rebounds totaling 23 in the matchup. They also gave up possession of the ball 9 times, while earning 11 steals for this contest. The Liberty had 21 personal fouls for this contest which took the Mercury to the charity stripe for a total of 22 shots. They were able to bury 20 of the free throw attempts for a percentage of 90.9%. In regard to shots from downtown, Phoenix knocked down 6 out of 24 tries (25.0%). Overall, the Mercury ended up going 21 for 62 from the field which had them at 33.9%. The Mercury allowed the Liberty to bury 26 out of their 60 attempts from the floor which gave them a percentage of 43.3% in the game. They finished 32.0% from distance by shooting 8 out of 25 and walked away from this one shooting 15 of 17 at the free throw line (88.2%). When it comes to how they rebounded, Phoenix permitted New York to collect 40 overall (7 on the offensive glass).

Kahleah Copper ended up being a factor for the Mercury in this matchup. She knocked down 4 out of 16 for the matchup for a field goal rate of 25.0%, and had 3 rebounds. Copper totaled 16 points in her 37 minutes of playing time and tallied 1 assist in the game.

Phoenix has a mark of 2-7 on the campaign. Phoenix has tallied 753 points for the campaign (83.7 per game) and they snag 32.0 rebounds per game. The Mercury commit 19.6 fouls per game and they shoot 80.7% from the charity stripe. As an offensive unit, the Mercury are hitting on 42.4% from the field, which has them ranked 11th in the league. Their rate of dishing out assists is at 17.7 times per game (14th in the WNBA) and they are losing possession via turnover 12.4 times per game. The Mercury defensively are ranked 8th in basketball in PPG given up with 85.3. They surrender 19.7 assists and 34.6 boards on a nightly basis, ranking them 9th and 12th in basketball. The Phoenix defense allows 38.4% on 3-point shots (93 of 242) and their opponents are knocking down 78.0% of their free throw shots. They are forcing 13.4 TO's per game and have let teams shoot 45.1% from the field (9th in basketball).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Phoenix (+1.5)

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