Minnesota Lynx vs Toronto Tempo Prediction, 7/30/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Minnesota Lynx vs Toronto Tempo

Date: Thursday, July 30, 2026

Location: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON

TV: WNBA League Pass

Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (-11.5)

The Toronto Tempo (10-17) host the Minnesota Lynx (23-6) at Scotiabank Arena on Thursday. Toronto opens this matchup as 11.5 point dogs. The over/under has been set at 185.5.

The Minnesota Lynx faced the Toronto Tempo and walked away with a win by a score of 100-93 in their last game. Minnesota finished with a 51.4% FG percentage (37 of 72) and converted 14 out of their 25 three-point attempts. From the free throw line, the Lynx knocked down 12 of their 16 attempts for a percentage of 75.0%. When discussing grabbing rebounds, they collected a total of 31 with 7 of them being on the offensive end. They also recorded 26 assists in this contest as well as forcing 15 turnovers and getting 8 steals. With respect to the defense, Minnesota allowed the other team to shoot 45.2% from the field on 33 of 73 shooting. Toronto doled out 10 dimes and had 7 steals for the contest. Furthermore, Toronto snagged 36 boards (10 offensive, 26 defensive) and added 4 rejections. Toronto finished shooting 82.4% when shooting free throws by converting 14 of their 17 shots. They also knocked down 13 of their 35 attempts from 3-point land.

Olivia Miles is one player who was a major factor in this game. She ended up scoring 24 points on 9 out of 17 shooting. She was on the court for 32 minutes played and also pulled down 6 boards. Miles ended up going 52.9% from the field and also recorded 8 dimes.

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Minnesota steps onto the court with a record of 23-6 so far this season. They average 91.8 points per outing (2nd in the WNBA) while going 48.1% from the field. The Lynx are connecting on 38.6% from downtown (253 of 655) and 80.9% from the free throw line. As a team, Minnesota is pulling in 35.3 boards per game and has accumulated 628 dimes for the campaign, which ranks 1st in basketball in terms of passing the ball. They lose possession by turning the ball over 12.8 times per contest and as a unit they commit 18.7 personal fouls per game. On defense, the Lynx are forcing 14.7 turnovers per game and they draw 17.2 fouls. The Lynx defense is giving up a FG percentage of 42.2% (426 of 499) and they relinquish 32.9 boards per contest as a basketball team. They rank 10th in the league in giving up assists to the opposition with 583 surrendered on the season. They are conceding 32.4% from 3-point land and they rank 3rd in the WNBA in PPG allowed (83.2).

In their last game, the Toronto Tempo took a loss by a final score of 100-93 when they played the Minnesota Lynx. The Tempo collected 26 defensive boards and 10 offensive rebounds for a total of 36 for the game. They coughed it up 15 times, while earning 7 steals in this contest. The Lynx committed 20 fouls for the matchup which got the Tempo to the charity stripe for 17 attempts. They were able to knock down 14 of the free throws for a rate of 82.4%. In the matter of shots from downtown, Toronto knocked down 13 out of their 35 attempts (37.1%). When all was said and done, the Tempo shot 33 out of 73 from the field which had them shooting 45.2%. The Tempo permitted the Lynx to convert 37 out of their 72 tries from the field which had them shooting 51.4% in the matchup. They went 56.0% from beyond the arc by going 14 out of 25 and ended up shooting 12 of 16 from the charity stripe (75.0%). In reference to how they attacked the glass, Toronto permitted Minnesota to collect 31 in all (7 on the offensive glass).

Marina Mabrey ended up being important for the Tempo for the game. She buried 7 of 17 for the contest giving her a field goal percentage of 41.2%, and had 8 rebounds. Mabrey racked up 25 points in her 32 minutes on the hardwood and totaled 6 assists in the matchup.

Toronto has a win-loss record of 10-17 on the campaign. The Tempo are responsible for committing 22.0 fouls per game and they go 83.3% from the free throw line. They are earning an assist 20.0 times per contest (10th in the WNBA) and they turn it over 13.6 times per game. Toronto has 2,394 points this season (88.7 per game) and they grab 31.3 boards per game. When it comes to offensive execution, the Tempo are connecting on 44.8% from the field, which ranks them 7th in the league. The Tempo on the defensive side of the court are 14th in the WNBA in PPG allowed with 93.2. They are able to force 12.6 turnovers per game and have allowed teams to shoot 47.2% from the field (13th in the league). The Toronto defense allows 33.2% on shots from 3-point land (239 of 720) and opponents are knocking down 78.7% of their free throw attempts. They have surrendered 21.7 assists and 34.9 boards on a nightly basis, which is 13th and 12th in the WNBA.

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Minnesota (-11.5)

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