New York Liberty vs Indiana Fever Prediction, 7/18/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New York Liberty vs Indiana Fever

Date: Saturday, July 18, 2026

Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, IN

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-1.5)

Gainbridge Fieldhouse is the site where and the Indiana Fever (14-10) will play the New York Liberty (13-11) on Saturday. Indiana opens this contest as 1.5 point dogs. The O/U opens at 173.5.

The New York Liberty played the Toronto Tempo and took a loss by a score of 93-91 in their last contest. New York ended the contest having earned a 43.4% field goal percentage (33 of 76) and knocked down 5 of their 26 shots from 3-point land. From the charity stripe, the Liberty converted 20 of their 22 shots for a rate of 90.9%. With respect to hauling in boards, they compiled a total of 33 with 10 of them being offensive. They also distributed 16 assists in the game in addition to forcing the other team into 23 turnovers and having 11 steals. With respect to the defense, New York allowed 51.5% from the floor on 34 of 66 shooting. Toronto doled out 5 assists and had 10 steals in this game. On top of that, Toronto collected 30 boards (5 offensive, 25 defensive) and added 3 blocks. Toronto finished shooting 88.9% at the charity stripe by knocking down 16 of 18 shots. They made 9 out of their 24 tries from distance.

Sabrina Ionescu is a player who was a major factor in the matchup. She scored 28 points on 9 of 18 shooting. She was on the hardwood for 33 mins and snagged 4 rebounds. Ionescu finished the game shooting 50.0% from the floor and also totaled 8 dimes.

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New York steps onto the court with a mark of 13-11 for the season. They average 87.8 points per outing (8th in the WNBA) while connecting on 45.9% from the field. The Liberty are connecting on 34.5% on three-point attempts (237 of 686) and 85.6% from the charity stripe. As a team, New York is collecting 34.4 rebounds per contest and has accounted for 491 assists for the season, which is 6th in the league in terms of passing the rock. They are giving up possession 14.3 times per game and as a team they are committing 19.0 fouls per contest. Defensively, the Liberty have forced 11.3 turnovers per game while drawing 21.0 fouls. They are currently ranked 9th in basketball in giving up assists with 493 conceded on the campaign. The Liberty defense is allowing and opponent field goal percentage of 43.9% (271 of 505) and they relinquish 31.9 boards per game as a unit. They are surrendering 32.9% on shots from distance while they are 4th in basketball in opponents points per game (84.5).

For their last game, the Indiana Fever walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 88-75 against the Golden State Valkyries. The Fever recorded 16 defensive boards and 10 offensive boards totaling 26 for this game. They also coughed it up 15 times, while getting 8 steals in the matchup. The Valkyries were called for 16 fouls for this contest which took the Fever to the charity stripe for a total of 16 shots. They were able to bury 12 of them for a rate of 75.0%. In relation to 3-pointers, Indiana buried 9 of their 25 attempts (36.0%). When the final whistle blew, the Fever went 27 for 67 from the floor which gave them a rate of 40.3%. The Fever allowed the Valkyries to knock down 30 of 58 attempts from the field which gave them a percentage of 51.7% for this game. They finished 33.3% from beyond the perimeter by connecting on 8 out of 24 and finished the game at 20 out of 23 at the free throw line (87.0%). With respect to rebounding, Indiana allowed Golden State to pull down 30 in all (6 on the offensive side).

Kelsey Mitchell ended up having an impact for the Fever in this contest. She buried 7 of 16 in this matchup for a field goal percentage of 43.8%, and totaled 1 rebound. Mitchell earned 20 points in her 35 minutes on the court and added 4 dimes for this game.

Indiana has a mark of 14-10 this season. Indiana has totaled 2,237 points this year (93.2 per contest) and they pull in 34.2 boards per game. The Fever are committing 23.1 fouls per contest and they shoot 82.2% from the charity stripe. As an offense, the Fever are hitting on 47.0% from the floor, which is ranked 3rd in the league. They are dishing out assists 20.3 times per contest (7th in basketball) and they are turning it over 14.4 times per contest. The Fever on the defensive side of the court are 11th in the league in points allowed per contest with 89.0. The Indiana defense concedes 32.9% on three-point shots (164 of 498) and their opponents are connecting on 79.1% of their shots from the free throw line. They allow 19.4 dimes and 30.4 rebounds on a nightly basis, which is 4th and 2nd in the WNBA. They are forcing their opponents into 12.3 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 45.9% from the floor (8th in the league).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take New York (-1.5)

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