New York Liberty vs Los Angeles Sparks Prediction, 7/28/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New York Liberty vs Los Angeles Sparks

Date: Tuesday, July 28, 2026

Location: crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles, CA

TV: WNBA League Pass

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-4.5)

The New York Liberty (15-12) go to crypto.com Arena on Tuesday where they'll take on the Los Angeles Sparks (10-16). New York opens this contest as 4.5 point favorites. The total is set at 183.5.

The New York Liberty faced the Chicago Sky and earned the victory with a final of 95-94 in their last contest. New York wrapped up the contest having earned a 40.8% field goal percentage (29 out of 71) and made 11 of their 28 3-pointers. From the charity stripe, the Liberty converted 26 of 28 attempts for a percentage of 92.9%. Concerning rebounding, they collected 37 with 10 of them being on the offensive end. They also recorded 17 assists in the matchup in addition to forcing the other team into 9 turnovers and having 1 steal. In relation to defending, New York let their opponent shoot 47.9% from the floor on 34 of 71 shooting. Chicago distributed 4 dimes and had 8 steals in the game. On top of that, Chicago grabbed 30 rebounds (4 offensive, 26 defensive) and earned 6 blocked shots. Chicago finished the game at 90.5% from the free throw line by making 19 of their 21 attempts. They also converted 7 of 21 tries from long range.

Sabrina Ionescu is someone who played a role for the matchup. She finished with 29 points on 8 out of 11 shooting. She was on the court for 35 minutes and also collected 4 boards. Ionescu went 72.7% from the field and also recorded 4 dimes.

Get all of our WNBA Picks

New York steps onto the hardwood with a win-loss record of 15-12 on the campaign. They currently have an average of 88.5 pts per contest (6th in the league) while shooting 45.5% from the field. The Liberty are connecting on 34.7% on 3-point shots (270 of 778) and 84.9% from the free throw line. As a unit, New York is pulling in 34.7 rebounds per contest and has 544 assists for the season, which has them ranked 9th in the league in terms of passing the rock. They turn the ball over 14.0 times per contest and as a basketball team they are committing 19.0 fouls on a nightly basis. When they are on defense, the Liberty are forcing their opponents into 11.2 turnovers per contest while drawing 21.3 fouls. They are ranked 11th in basketball in giving up assists with 569 relinquished on the season. The Liberty defensively are giving up a field goal percentage of 44.6% (303 of 575) and they concede 31.9 rebounds per game as a group. They concede 34.1% on 3-pointers and they are 6th in the league in opponents points per game (86.2).

When they last stepped on the hardwood, the Los Angeles Sparks went home defeated by a final of 86-82 against the Phoenix Mercury. The Sparks corralled 27 defensive boards and 10 offensive boards for a total of 37 in this contest. They also coughed up the ball 18 times, while getting 5 steals for this contest. The Mercury had 23 personal fouls for the contest which took the Sparks to the charity stripe for a total of 21 attempts. They were able to make 17 of the free throw attempts for a percentage of 81.0%. In the matter of 3-point attempts, Los Angeles knocked down 9 of their 28 tries (32.1%). When the final whistle blew, the Sparks ended up shooting 28 for 70 from the floor which had them at 40.0%. The Sparks permitted the Mercury to convert 35 of their 74 attempts from the field which gave them a rate of 47.3% for this game. They finished shooting 25.9% from downtown by connecting on 7 of 27 and ended up shooting 9 of 13 at the free throw line (69.2%). When discussing attacking the glass, Los Angeles allowed Phoenix to collect 33 in all (7 on the offensive side).

Rae Burrell pitched in for the Sparks for the matchup. She made 7 out of 16 in this matchup for a field goal rate of 43.8%, and had 3 rebounds. Burrell recorded 20 points in her 34 minutes of playing time and totaled 2 assists for the game.

Los Angeles has a record of 10-16 on the campaign. As an offensive unit, the Sparks are shooting 45.8% from the floor, which has them ranked 5th in basketball. Los Angeles has totaled 2,295 points this year (88.3 per contest) and they snag 31.2 boards per contest. They are dishing out assists 20.9 times per game (5th in the WNBA) and they lose possession by turning the ball over 14.3 times per game. The Sparks commit 20.5 fouls per contest and they go 79.3% from the charity stripe. The Sparks defensively are ranked 15th in the WNBA in points per game surrendered with 93.3. They have relinquished 22.5 assists and 35.5 total rebounds per game, which is ranked 14th and 13th in the league. The Los Angeles defense surrenders 33.5% on 3-point shots (237 of 708) and their opponents are knocking down 78.8% of their free throw attempts. They are able to force 13.7 TO's per game and have allowed teams to shoot 47.6% from the field (14th in the league).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take New York (-4.5)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get WNBA picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bets by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.