New York Liberty vs Minnesota Lynx Prediction, 7/11/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New York Liberty vs Minnesota Lynx

Date: Saturday, July 11, 2026

Location: Target Center in Minneapolis, MN

TV: ABC

Odds/Point Spread: New York (+5.5)

The Minnesota Lynx (16-6) play the New York Liberty (13-9) at Target Center on Saturday. The odds on this matchup have Minnesota as 5.5 point favorites. The total has been set at 175.5.

The New York Liberty stepped onto the hardwood against the Dallas Wings and ended up losing by a score of 88-77 in their last contest. New York ended the game with a 40.0% FG percentage (26 out of 65) and buried 5 of their 26 3-point attempts. When they shot from the free throw line, the Liberty knocked down 20 of 22 attempts for a percentage of 90.9%. Concerning getting rebounds, they earned a total of 34 with 7 of them being offensive. They also doled out 16 assists for the matchup in addition to creating 9 turnovers and having 3 steals. When it comes to defense, New York allowed the other team to shoot 46.1% from the field on 35 out of 76 shooting. Dallas distributed 10 assists and had 3 steals for this game. Additionally, Dallas snagged 38 rebounds (10 offensive, 28 defensive) and got 5 blocks. Dallas walked away from this one shooting 100.0% from the charity stripe by converting 12 of 12 shots. They also buried 6 out of their 23 attempts from downtown.

Breanna Stewart is a player who was a contributor for the game. She accumulated 29 points on 10 out of 16 shooting. She saw the court for 33 mins and grabbed 9 boards. Stewart finished shooting 62.5% from the floor and dished out 4 dimes.

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New York steps onto the court with a record of 13-9 for the year. They are averaging 87.8 points per game (7th in the WNBA) while connecting on 46.2% from the floor. The Liberty are connecting on 35.2% on three-point shots (219 of 622) and 85.3% from the free throw line. As a team, New York is pulling in 34.5 rebounds per game and has 455 assists for the season, which is 5th in the league in terms of passing. They turn it over 14.2 times per game and as a group they commit 19.2 fouls on a nightly basis. On defense, the Liberty are forcing their opponents into 10.7 turnovers per game and they draw 20.9 fouls. The Liberty defense is giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 43.7% (236 of 459) and they surrender 31.6 rebounds per game as a basketball team. They are ranked 12th in the league in allowing assists to the opposition with 453 surrendered so far this year. They relinquish 31.8% on three-point shots and they are 4th in the WNBA in points per game allowed (83.8).

For their last game, the Minnesota Lynx took home the win by a final score of 86-80 against the Connecticut Sun. The Lynx earned 24 defensive boards and 9 offensive rebounds totaling 33 in this matchup. They turned it over 14 times, while recording 8 steals for the game. The Sun were called for 20 personal fouls for the matchup which got the Lynx to the charity stripe for 27 attempts. They were able to bury 20 of the free throw attempts for a clip of 74.1%. When talking about 3-point shots, Minnesota made 10 of their 22 tries (45.5%). In all, the Lynx went 28 for 60 from the field which gave them a percentage of 46.7%. The Lynx permitted the Sun to bury 26 of 65 tries from the field which gave them a rate of 40.0% in this matchup. They shot 26.1% from beyond the perimeter by going 6 of 23 and ended up shooting 22 out of 27 at the free throw line (81.5%). Concerning rebounding, Minnesota allowed Connecticut to snag 36 overall (10 on the offensive glass).

Kayla McBride pitched in for the Lynx for the game. She buried 6 out of 10 in this contest for a field goal percentage of 60.0%, and accounted for 4 rebounds. McBride recorded 23 points in her 38 mins on the hardwood and totaled 4 dimes for this game.

Minnesota has a win-loss record of 16-6 this season. The Lynx are responsible for committing 19.4 personal fouls per contest and they go 79.4% from the free throw line. Their rate of earning assists is at 21.4 times per game (3rd in the WNBA) and they turn the ball over 13.4 times per game. Minnesota has scored 1,980 points on the campaign (90.0 per game) and they average 36.3 rebounds per game. When it comes to offense, the Lynx are connecting on 48.0% from the floor, which is ranked 2nd in the league. The Lynx are ranked 2nd in the WNBA in points per game surrendered with 80.7. They have forced 14.7 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 40.7% from the field (1st in the WNBA). The Minnesota defense gives up 31.2% on shots from beyond the arc (186 of 596) and their opposition knocks down 78.3% of their shots from the charity stripe. They have conceded 19.3 dimes and 32.8 total boards per game, which ranks them 4th and 5th in the WNBA.

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take New York (+5.5)

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