New York Liberty vs Minnesota Lynx Prediction, 9/18/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New York Liberty vs Minnesota Lynx

Date: Friday, September 18, 2026

Location: Target Center in Minneapolis, MN

TV: ION

Target Center is the site where and the Minnesota Lynx (31-9) will play the New York Liberty (24-16) on Friday.

The New York Liberty stepped onto the hardwood against the Chicago Sky and went home with a win by a final score of 85-66 in their last game. New York ended with a 38.6% field goal percentage (27 out of 70) and made 11 of their 27 3-point attempts. At the charity stripe, the Liberty converted 20 of 22 shots for a percentage of 90.9%. When talking about rebounding, they earned 44 with 8 of them being of the offensive sort. They also recorded 17 assists in this contest as well as forcing the other team into 11 turnovers and earning 5 steals. In regard to the defense, New York allowed their opponent to shoot 37.9% from the floor on 25 of 66 shooting. Chicago totaled 3 assists and had 4 steals for the contest. On top of that, Chicago grabbed 29 rebounds (3 offensive, 26 defensive) and earned 5 rejections. Chicago walked away from this one shooting 66.7% from the free throw line by knocking down 12 of their 18 shots. They converted 4 of their 18 shots from long range.

Han Xu is one player who was a factor in this contest. She ended up with 19 points on 6 out of 8 shooting. She saw the court for 17 minutes and snagged 5 boards. Xu finished the game at 75.0% from the field and also distributed 1 assist.

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New York comes into this matchup with a record of 24-16 on the year. They are averaging 89.8 points per game (5th in basketball) while shooting 46.0% from the field. The Liberty are connecting on 35.0% on shots beyond the perimeter (408 of 1,166) and 85.0% from the free throw line. As a unit, New York is grabbing 35.3 rebounds per game and has tallied 832 dimes so far this year, which has them ranked 7th in the WNBA in terms of passing. They lose possession via turnover 13.5 times per contest and as a unit are committing 18.6 personal fouls on a nightly basis. Defensively, the Liberty have forced 11.1 turnovers per contest while drawing 20.5 fouls. They currently rank 12th in the league in allowing assists with 862 surrendered on the season. The Liberty defensively are allowing and opponent field goal percentage of 45.2% (443 of 820) and they concede 31.4 rebounds per contest as a team. They are relinquishing 35.2% from 3-point land and they are ranked 7th in basketball in opponents PPG (86.9).

When they last stepped on the hardwood, the Minnesota Lynx went home defeated by a final of 89-81 against the Atlanta Dream. The Lynx collected 26 defensive rebounds and 6 offensive rebounds for a total of 32 for the game. They coughed up the ball 11 times, while recording 14 steals in the matchup. The Dream were called for 14 personal fouls in this game which took the Lynx to the charity stripe for a total of 19 tries. They were able to bury 15 of the free throw tries for a clip of 78.9%. In the matter of shots from beyond the perimeter, Minnesota made 6 out of their 19 tries (31.6%). When this game wrapped up, the Lynx shot 30 for 70 from the field which gave them a rate of 42.9%. The Lynx allowed the Dream to knock down 33 of 71 tries from the floor which gave them a rate of 46.5% in the matchup. They finished shooting 36.1% from 3-point land by shooting 13 of 36 and walked away from this one shooting 10 of 14 at the free throw line (71.4%). Concerning cleaning the glass, Minnesota allowed Atlanta to pull down 37 in total (8 on the offensive side).

Olivia Miles was important for the Lynx for the game. She converted 7 out of 14 in the game giving her a rate of 50.0%, and had 5 rebounds. Miles earned 21 points in her 30 mins of playing time, but wasn't able to get an assist.

Minnesota has a win-loss mark of 31-9 on the campaign. As an offensive unit, the Lynx are connecting on 48.2% from the field, which ranks them 2nd in the league. Minnesota has accounted for 3,652 pts for the campaign (91.3 per contest) and they collect 34.3 boards per contest. They are dishing out assists 21.7 times per game (4th in basketball) and they are losing possession via turnover 12.4 times per contest. The Lynx are responsible for committing 18.1 fouls per game and they shoot 80.9% from the free throw line. The Lynx on the defensive side of the court are 3rd in basketball in points given up per game with 83.4. They are forcing 14.5 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 43.3% from the field (3rd in the WNBA). The Minnesota defense gives up 32.6% on shots from beyond the perimeter (365 of 1,121) and opponents are knocking down 78.8% of their shots from the charity stripe. They relinquish 20.5 assists and 32.9 boards on a nightly basis, which is 8th and 6th in basketball.

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Minnesota

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