New York Liberty vs Washington Mystics Prediction, 5/10/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: New York Liberty vs Washington Mystics

Date: Sunday, May 10, 2026

Location: CareFirst Arena in Washington, DC

TV: WNBA League Pass

The Washington Mystics (16-28 last year) play the New York Liberty (27-17 last season) at CareFirst Arena on Sunday.

The New York Liberty played the Phoenix Mercury and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 79-73 in their last game. New York finished with a 33.8% field goal percentage (23 of 68) and buried 7 out of their 32 three-point attempts. When they shot from the free throw line, the Liberty converted 20 of their 26 attempts for a rate of 76.9%. In relation to rebounding, they compiled a total of 33 with 2 of them being of the offensive sort. They also dished out 18 dimes in this contest while forcing the other team into 12 turnovers and earning 7 steals. In regard to defense, New York allowed 36.6% from the floor on 26 out of 71 shooting. Phoenix distributed 8 assists and had 8 steals in this contest. Moreover, Phoenix collected 49 boards (8 offensive, 41 defensive) and had 3 blocked shots. Phoenix finished the contest at 81.8% from the free throw line by knocking down 18 of their 22 shots. They also knocked down 9 of their 24 attempts from beyond the perimeter.

Breanna Stewart is someone who came through in this contest. She ended up walking away with 30 points on 8 of 17 shooting. She saw the court for 35 minutes played and also collected 9 boards. Stewart finished the game at 47.1% from the field and earned 3 dimes.

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New York comes into this one after finishing with a mark of 27-17 last season. They turned it over 12.9 times per contest and as a group committed 16.2 fouls per game. As a unit, New York pulled down 33.7 boards per contest and totaled 960 assists last year, which ranked 2nd in the league in terms of passing. The Liberty shot 35.5% on shots from downtown (419 of 1,180) and 83.7% from the free throw line. They averaged 84.4 points per game (4th in the league) while connecting on 45.3% from the field. On the defensive end of the court, the Liberty forced 12.6 turnovers per contest while drawing 16.8 fouls. The Liberty allowed a FG percentage of 42.4% (1,305 of 3,078) and they relinquished 35.3 rebounds per contest as a unit. They were ranked 7th in the league in allowing assists to the opposition with 873 surrendered last season. They surrendered 31.5% on shots from beyond the perimeter and they were 6th in the league in PPG allowed (80.3).

In their last game, the Washington Mystics took a loss by a final score of 75-66 against the New York Liberty. The Mystics corralled 27 defensive boards and 2 offensive rebounds totaling 29 in the matchup. They also coughed up the ball 8 times, while recording 4 steals for the contest. The Liberty earned 15 personal fouls for this game which took the Mystics to the free throw line for a total of 13 tries. They were able to bury 7 of the free throws for a rate of 53.8%. Concerning shots from distance, Washington buried 5 of their 16 tries (31.3%). When the game finished, the Mystics finished shooting 27 for 62 from the field which gave them a rate of 43.5%. The Mystics permitted the Liberty to convert 27 of 64 attempts from the floor which gave them a rate of 42.2% for this game. They finished the game shooting 28.6% from beyond the arc by going 6 out of 21 and ended up shooting 15 of 16 from the free throw line (93.8%). Regarding rebounding, Washington permitted New York to pull down 36 in total (5 offensive).

Kiki Iriafen ended up being a major contributor for the Mystics in this contest. She converted 6 of 16 for this contest for a rate of 37.5%, and accumulated 6 rebounds. Iriafen accumulated 16 points in her 30 mins on the hardwood and accumulated 2 assists for the matchup.

Washington had a record of 16-28 last year. Washington earned 3,394 pts last season (77.1 per game) and they collected 33.0 rebounds per game. As an offensive unit, the Mystics connected on 43.9% from the floor, which ranked 7th in basketball. The Mystics were responsible for committing 18.2 fouls per game while shooting 75.4% from the charity stripe. They assisted teammates 19.2 times per contest (11th in the WNBA) and they lost possession by turning the ball over 14.2 times per contest. The Mystics on defense were ranked 9th in the league in points allowed per game with 81.6. They conceded 20.0 assists and 32.3 total rebounds per game, which was ranked 8th and 2nd in basketball. The Washington defense conceded 33.0% on shots from beyond the arc (352 of 1,067) and opponents made 79.6% of their free throw attempts. They forced their opponents into 12.4 turnovers on a nightly basis and let teams shoot 44.4% from the floor (8th in the WNBA).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Washington

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