Phoenix Mercury vs Atlanta Dream Prediction, 5/24/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Phoenix Mercury vs Atlanta Dream

Date: Sunday, May 24, 2026

Location: Gateway Center in College Park, GA

TV: WNBA League Pass

The Atlanta Dream (2-1) host the Phoenix Mercury (2-4) at Gateway Center on Sunday.

The Phoenix Mercury played the Los Angeles Sparks and ended up losing by a score of 97-88 in their last game. Phoenix wrapped up the game having earned a 42.0% field goal percentage (29 out of 69) and converted 8 of 25 3-point shots. From the free throw line, the Mercury converted 22 of 29 tries for a percentage of 75.9%. In the matter of grabbing rebounds, they compiled 33 with 11 of them being offensive. They also recorded 17 assists for this game in addition to forcing 17 turnovers and getting 9 steals. In reference to defending, Phoenix allowed their opponent to shoot 48.4% from the floor on 31 of 64 shooting. Los Angeles doled out 7 assists and had 8 steals in the game. Additionally, Los Angeles grabbed 31 boards (7 offensive, 24 defensive) and had 4 blocks. Los Angeles ended up shooting 90.9% from the charity stripe by making 20 of 22 tries. They also buried 15 of 32 tries from beyond the perimeter.

Alyssa Thomas is one player who came through in the game. She ended up with 23 points on 7 out of 13 shooting. She was on the court for 35 minutes played and pulled down 7 boards. Thomas walked away from this one shooting 53.8% from the floor and dished out 7 assists.

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Phoenix comes into this matchup with a mark of 2-4 for the campaign. The Mercury are hitting 34.3% from downtown (49 of 143) and 80.0% from the charity stripe. They have an average of 88.5 points per contest (7th in the WNBA) on 43.4% from the floor. They are turning it over 12.0 times per contest and as a team they are committing 19.3 personal fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, Phoenix is pulling down 32.8 boards per game and is sitting with 112 dimes for the campaign, which ranks 5th in the league in terms of passing. When they are on the defensive end, the Mercury are able to force 13.3 turnovers per contest while drawing 24.2 fouls. They are ranked 12th in the league in allowing assists to the opposition with 118 relinquished for the campaign. The Mercury defense is giving up a FG percentage of 46.1% (80 of 145) and they surrender 33.5 boards per game as a group. They are giving up 37.3% on 3-pointers and they are 10th in basketball in opponents PPG (87.8).

For their last game, the Atlanta Dream took a defeat with a final score of 85-84 when they played the Las Vegas Aces. The Dream were able to collect 34 defensive rebounds and 11 offensive rebounds for a total of 45 in the game. They also coughed up the ball 13 times, while earning 9 steals in this matchup. The Aces had 23 fouls for the matchup which took the Dream to the charity stripe for 37 attempts. They were able to convert 25 of the free throw attempts for a percentage of 67.6%. When discussing 3-point shots, Atlanta converted 5 of their 23 tries (21.7%). In all, the Dream finished shooting 27 for 73 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 37.0%. The Dream permitted the Aces to make 31 of 73 attempts from the floor which had them shooting 42.5% in this contest. They finished 37.0% from distance by shooting 10 out of 27 and finished the game at 13 out of 17 at the free throw line (76.5%). Concerning attacking the glass, Atlanta permitted Las Vegas to pull down 38 overall (6 offensive).

Allisha Gray was important for the Dream for this game. She converted 8 out of 18 for this contest for a field goal rate of 44.4%, and had 9 rebounds. Gray scored 25 points in her 37 minutes on the court and tallied 1 assist in the game.

Atlanta has a mark of 2-1 on the season. Atlanta has scored 252 points on the season (84.0 per contest) and they average 45.0 rebounds per game. The Dream are responsible for committing 19.7 personal fouls per game and they connect on 75.0% from the free throw line. As an offensive unit, the Dream are shooting 39.1% from the field, which has them ranked 15th in the league. Their rate of assisting teammates is at 16.7 times per contest (14th in the league) and they lose possession via turnover 14.0 times per contest. The Dream on the defensive side of the court are 2nd in basketball in PPG given up with 82.3. The Atlanta defense allows 26.8% on shots from distance (19 of 71) and their opponents are making 75.5% of their free throw shots. They have allowed 18.7 assists and 32.3 boards per contest, which ranks 5th and 4th in the league. They are forcing their opponents into 12.0 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 43.5% from the floor (8th in the WNBA).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Phoenix

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