Phoenix Mercury vs Atlanta Dream Prediction, 8/5/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Phoenix Mercury vs Atlanta Dream

Date: Wednesday, August 5, 2026

Location: Gateway Center in College Park, GA

TV: WNBA League Pass

The Atlanta Dream (18-11) play the Phoenix Mercury (12-19) at Gateway Center on Wednesday.

The Phoenix Mercury took the court against the Chicago Sky and took home the win by a score of 106-101 in their last contest. Phoenix walked away from the contest having earned a 50.8% field goal percentage (32 out of 63) and buried 11 of their 26 3-point shots. When they shot from the free throw line, the Mercury converted 31 of their 40 tries for a rate of 77.5%. In regard to rebounding, they collected 36 with 6 of them being of the offensive variety. They also dished out 26 assists for this contest in addition to creating 8 turnovers and getting 5 steals. In reference to defense, Phoenix allowed the other team to go 48.7% from the field on 37 of 76 shooting. Chicago doled out 9 dimes and had 5 steals for this game. In addition, Chicago snagged 36 rebounds (9 offensive, 27 defensive) and had 1 block. Chicago finished the game shooting 68.0% at the charity stripe by converting 17 of 25 attempts. They made 10 of 26 attempts from distance.

Kahleah Copper is one player who was a major factor in this matchup. She ended up finishing with 31 points on 10 of 19 shooting. She played 34 mins played and grabbed 4 rebounds. Copper finished the contest at 52.6% from the field and recorded 1 assist.

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Phoenix heads into this contest with a mark of 12-19 this year. They are averaging 84.3 points per outing (11th in the league) while connecting on 44.5% from the field. The Mercury are hitting 32.5% on three-point shots (240 of 739) and 78.6% from the free throw line. As a unit, Phoenix is pulling in 31.5 rebounds per contest and has 613 dimes on the campaign, which is 8th in basketball in terms of passing. They turn the ball over 12.9 times per game and as a unit they commit 18.5 fouls per game. On defense, the Mercury are able to force 13.0 turnovers on a nightly basis while drawing 21.7 personal fouls. The Mercury defensively are giving up a field goal percentage of 46.3% (402 of 673) and they surrender 33.8 rebounds per game as a team. They rank 13th in the league in allowing assists to the opposition with 660 surrendered for the year. They are surrendering 36.8% on 3-point shots and they are ranked 7th in the league in points per game allowed (87.3).

The last time they took the hardwood, the Atlanta Dream walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 109-87 when they faced the Las Vegas Aces. The Dream were able to pull down 22 defensive boards and 11 offensive boards totaling 33 for this contest. They also turned the ball over 17 times, while earning 14 steals for the game. The Aces committed 26 personal fouls for the contest which got the Dream to the free throw line for a total of 20 shots. They were able to make 17 of the free throws for a percentage of 85.0%. In reference to shots from beyond the arc, Atlanta converted 4 out of 24 tries (16.7%). When the final whistle blew, the Dream went 33 out of 75 from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 44.0%. The Dream permitted the Aces to bury 44 out of 71 attempts from the floor which had them sitting at 62.0% in the game. They shot 52.6% from beyond the perimeter by shooting 10 out of 19 and walked away from this one shooting 11 of 14 at the free throw line (78.6%). In relation to how they attacked the glass, Atlanta allowed Las Vegas to pull down 30 in all (8 offensive).

Angel Reese pitched in for the Dream for this game. She converted 10 out of 19 for the contest giving her a field goal percentage of 52.6%, and had 16 rebounds. Reese tallied 23 points in her 27 minutes on the hardwood and added 2 assists for this contest.

Atlanta has a win-loss mark of 18-11 so far this year. In terms of offensive execution, the Dream are hitting on 43.7% from the floor, which is 11th in the league. Atlanta has accounted for 2,590 points on the campaign (89.3 per game) and they snag 34.6 rebounds per contest. Their rate of earning assists is at 20.5 times per game (9th in the league) and they lose possession by turning the ball over 13.0 times per contest. The Dream have committed 19.3 fouls per game and they hit 77.5% from the charity stripe. The Dream on defense are ranked 5th in the league in points given up per game with 86.1. They are forcing 16.3 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 48.8% from the field (15th in the WNBA). The Atlanta defense gives up 36.8% on shots from 3-point land (246 of 668) and their opposition makes 76.7% of their free throw shots. They have allowed 19.7 dimes and 29.8 boards on a nightly basis, which is 4th and 1st in the league.

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Phoenix

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