Phoenix Mercury vs Golden State Valkyries Prediction, 5/10/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Phoenix Mercury vs Golden State Valkyries

Date: Sunday, May 10, 2026

Location: Chase Center in San Francisco, CA

TV: WNBA League Pass

The Golden State Valkyries (23-21 last year) play the Phoenix Mercury (27-17 last season) at Chase Center on Sunday.

The Phoenix Mercury took the court against the Las Vegas Aces and went home with a loss by a final score of 97-86 in their last contest. Phoenix ended the game having earned a 49.2% field goal percentage (32 of 65) and buried 5 out of their 18 shots from distance. From the free throw line, the Mercury knocked down 17 of their 19 shots for a rate of 89.5%. In regard to grabbing rebounds, they earned a total of 33 with 10 of them being on the offensive end. They also recorded 17 assists in this matchup as well as creating 8 turnovers and earning 5 steals. When talking about defense, Phoenix allowed their opponent to shoot 38.9% from the field on 28 of 72 shooting. Las Vegas dished out 12 assists and had 8 steals in this matchup. Additionally, Las Vegas grabbed 36 rebounds (12 offensive, 24 defensive) and added 8 blocked shots. Las Vegas went 82.9% from the free throw line by knocking down 29 of their 35 tries. They also buried 12 of 31 attempts from beyond the arc.

Kahleah Copper is someone who was a factor in this contest. She notched 30 points on 12 out of 22 shooting. She was on the court for 36 minutes and also collected 6 rebounds. Copper shot 54.5% from the field and also earned 1 assist.

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Phoenix comes into this game after finishing with a win-loss mark of 27-17 last year. The Mercury shot 34.0% from downtown (414 of 1,217) and 78.4% from the charity stripe. They averaged 82.8 points per game (7th in basketball) while going 43.3% from the floor. They lost possession by turning the ball over 12.5 times per game and as a squad committed 17.8 fouls per game. As a team, Phoenix snagged 34.7 boards per contest and totaled 922 assists last year, which had them ranked 5th in the WNBA in terms of passing the ball. On defense, the Mercury forced 13.8 turnovers per game and they drew 16.4 fouls. The Mercury defense gave up a FG percentage of 42.7% (1,257 of 2,945) and they relinquished 35.3 rebounds per contest as a basketball team. They were 6th in the WNBA in allowing assists to their opponents with 868 surrendered last season. They relinquished 32.1% on shots from distance while they were 5th in the league in opponents PPG (80.1).

In their last game, the Golden State Valkyries took a defeat with a final score of 75-74 against the Minnesota Lynx. The Valkyries were able to pull down 22 defensive rebounds and 6 offensive rebounds totaling 28 in the matchup. They coughed up the ball 12 times, while earning 8 steals in the game. The Lynx committed 16 personal fouls for this game which got the Valkyries to the free throw line for a total of 9 tries. They were able to convert 7 of them for a percentage of 77.8%. When it comes to shots from beyond the perimeter, Golden State converted 11 out of their 22 attempts (50.0%). When the final whistle blew, the Valkyries shot 28 out of 64 from the floor which had them shooting 43.8%. The Valkyries permitted the Lynx to make 31 out of 67 tries from the floor which had them sitting at 46.3% in the matchup. They finished shooting 28.6% from beyond the perimeter by connecting on 8 of 28 and ended up shooting 5 out of 10 from the charity stripe (50.0%). Regarding how they cleaned up the glass, Golden State permitted Minnesota to snag 29 in total (7 on the offensive glass).

Monique Billings ended up being a major contributor for the Valkyries for this game. She converted 7 of 12 for the contest for a rate of 58.3%, and tallied 4 rebounds. Billings earned 15 points in her 25 mins on the court, but didn't get an assist.

Golden State had a win-loss mark of 23-21 last season. The Valkyries were responsible for committing 17.5 fouls per contest and they hit 81.5% from the charity stripe. They dished out assists 18.5 times per contest (12th in basketball) and they coughed up possession 12.9 times per game. Golden State earned 3,420 pts last year (77.7 per contest) and they pulled down 35.3 rebounds per contest. In terms of offensive execution, the Valkyries connected on 40.7% from the field, which was ranked 13th in the league. The Valkyries defensively were ranked 1st in the WNBA in PPG allowed with 76.3. The Golden State defense conceded 31.7% on shots from beyond the perimeter (389 of 1,226) and opponents connected on 78.6% of their free throw attempts. They forced 11.9 TO's per game and let teams shoot 40.5% from the floor (1st in basketball). They relinquished 19.2 dimes and 33.3 boards per game, which had them ranked 3rd and 5th in the league.

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Golden State

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