Phoenix Mercury vs Golden State Valkyries Prediction, 6/9/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Phoenix Mercury vs Golden State Valkyries

Date: Tuesday, June 9, 2026

Location: Chase Center in San Francisco, CA

TV: WNBA League Pass

Odds/Point Spread: Phoenix (+8.5)

The Phoenix Mercury (4-8) travel to Chase Center on Tuesday where they'll take on the Golden State Valkyries (6-5). The spread on this matchup has Golden State as 8.5 point favorites. The over/under has been set at 161.5.

The Phoenix Mercury stepped onto the hardwood against the Portland Fire and notched a win by a score of 78-72 in their last game. Phoenix walked away from the game with a 41.9% field goal percentage (26 of 62) and made 7 of their 21 shots from beyond the perimeter. At the charity stripe, the Mercury converted 19 of their 22 tries for a rate of 86.4%. With respect to getting rebounds, they earned a total of 24 with 7 of them being of the offensive variety. They also distributed 21 assists for this game while forcing the other team into 20 turnovers and having 10 steals. When talking about the defense, Phoenix allowed their opponent to shoot 42.1% from the field on 24 of 57 shooting. Portland doled out 8 assists and had 3 steals in this matchup. Additionally, Portland collected 32 rebounds (8 offensive, 24 defensive) and earned 2 rejections. Portland ended up shooting 82.4% from the free throw line by knocking down 14 of 17 attempts. They also made 10 out of their 26 shots from 3-point range.

DeWanna Bonner is a player who had an impact for this game. She left the arena with 19 points on 6 out of 15 shooting. She was on the court for 34 mins played and snagged 5 boards. Bonner finished shooting 40.0% from the floor and also distributed 5 assists.

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Phoenix heads into this contest with a record of 4-8 so far this year. They average 81.7 points per contest (11th in basketball) while hitting 41.3% from the field. The Mercury are shooting 30.9% on three-point attempts (89 of 288) and 81.3% from the free throw line. As a unit, Phoenix is pulling in 31.7 rebounds per game and has accounted for 215 assists for the campaign, which ranks 7th in the league in terms of passing the ball. They are giving up possession 12.6 times per contest and as a squad are committing 18.5 personal fouls per contest. When they are on defense, the Mercury are forcing 13.8 turnovers per contest while drawing 21.8 fouls. They currently rank 11th in basketball in giving up assists to their opponents with 239 relinquished so far this season. The Mercury defensively are giving up a field goal percentage of 45.9% (166 of 261) and they concede 34.3 rebounds per contest as a squad. They are conceding 38.4% from 3-point land and they are ranked 8th in the league in opponents points per game (84.9).

When they last stepped on the court, the Golden State Valkyries took a loss by a final score of 84-79 when they faced the Las Vegas Aces. The Valkyries corralled 28 defensive rebounds and 10 offensive boards totaling 38 for the matchup. They gave up possession of the ball 9 times, while recording 4 steals for the matchup. The Aces were called for 19 personal fouls in the matchup which got the Valkyries to the free throw line for a total of 17 shots. They were able to make 12 of them for a percentage of 70.6%. In the matter of shots from beyond the arc, Golden State buried 11 of 35 attempts (31.4%). When all was said and done, the Valkyries finished the game shooting 28 out of 72 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 38.9%. The Valkyries permitted the Aces to make 27 of 63 tries from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 42.9% for the matchup. They shot 43.3% from beyond the arc by connecting on 13 of 30 and finished the game at 17 out of 22 from the free throw line (77.3%). When talking about rebounding, Golden State allowed Las Vegas to collect 36 in total (6 on the offensive glass).

Gabby Williams ended up being a factor for the Valkyries in the game. She converted 10 of 17 for the matchup giving her a rate of 58.8%, and earned 6 rebounds. Williams had 27 points in her 28 minutes on the hardwood and had 1 assist for the matchup.

Golden State has a win-loss mark of 6-5 this year. The Valkyries are responsible for committing 20.4 fouls per game and they connect on 76.5% from the free throw line. They are assisting teammates 19.1 times per game (8th in the WNBA) and they are turning it over 9.6 times per game. Golden State has accumulated 944 points this year (85.8 per game) and they snag 33.9 rebounds per game. When it comes to executing on offense, the Valkyries are shooting 40.6% from the field, which has them ranked 14th in the league. The Valkyries on the defensive end are ranked 3rd in the league in points per game surrendered with 80.5. They have conceded 19.7 assists and 35.7 rebounds per game, which is 9th and 13th in the league. The Golden State defense surrenders 37.6% on shots from 3-point land (100 of 266) and opponents are converting on 76.6% of their free throw attempts. They are forcing 13.9 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 42.6% from the field (7th in basketball).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Phoenix (+8.5)

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