Phoenix Mercury vs Indiana Fever Prediction, 6/24/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Phoenix Mercury vs Indiana Fever

Date: Wednesday, June 24, 2026

Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, IN

TV: USA Net

Odds/Point Spread: Phoenix (+8.5)

The Indiana Fever (10-7) host the Phoenix Mercury (5-13) at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Wednesday. The spread on this matchup has Indiana as 8.5 point favorites. The O/U is set at 175.5.

The Phoenix Mercury faced off with the Indiana Fever and took a loss by a score of 86-77 in their last contest. Phoenix walked away from the game with a 41.2% FG percentage (28 out of 68) and made 5 out of their 25 3-point attempts. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Mercury knocked down 16 of 21 attempts for a percentage of 76.2%. When talking about rebounding, they collected 29 with 8 of them being on the offensive end. They also dished out 19 dimes for this contest while creating 14 turnovers and having 5 steals. When discussing the defense, Phoenix allowed the other team to go 42.2% from the floor on 27 out of 64 shooting. Indiana distributed 12 dimes and had 6 steals in the matchup. On top of that, Indiana grabbed 39 rebounds (12 offensive, 27 defensive) and added 2 blocked shots. Indiana ended up going 75.9% from the charity stripe by knocking down 22 of their 29 tries. They buried 10 of 34 attempts from 3-point range.

Kahleah Copper is one player who came through for this game. She scored 20 points on 6 out of 14 shooting. She was on the hardwood for 31 mins and pulled down 3 boards. Copper went 42.9% from the field but wasn't able to get a dime.

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Phoenix heads into this contest with a mark of 5-13 this season. They cough up possession 13.3 times per contest and as a unit they are committing 18.7 fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, Phoenix is grabbing 32.2 boards per game and is sitting with 348 assists this year, which has them ranked 6th in basketball in terms of passing. The Mercury are connecting on 32.0% on three-point attempts (141 of 441) and 79.8% from the charity stripe. They have an average of 82.2 points per outing (13th in the league) while going 42.7% from the field. When they are on defense, the Mercury have forced 13.1 turnovers per contest and they draw 21.0 personal fouls. The Mercury are giving up a FG percentage of 45.5% (235 of 378) and they surrender 33.9 boards per contest as a basketball team. They are ranked 11th in basketball in giving up assists to their opponents with 359 surrendered on the season. They give up 36.1% on three-point shots and they rank 9th in the WNBA in PPG allowed (85.9).

When they last stepped on the court, the Indiana Fever took home the win by a final score of 86-77 when they played the Phoenix Mercury. The Fever recorded 27 defensive boards and 12 offensive boards for a total of 39 for this contest. They turned it over 14 times, while earning 6 steals for this contest. The Mercury had 25 personal fouls in this game which took the Fever to the charity stripe for 29 attempts. They were able to make 22 of the free throw attempts for a percentage of 75.9%. When talking about shots from distance, Indiana converted 10 of their 34 tries (29.4%). When the game finished, the Fever finished the game shooting 27 for 64 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 42.2%. The Fever permitted the Mercury to make 28 of 68 attempts from the floor which had them shooting 41.2% in this game. They finished 20.0% from distance by connecting on 5 of 25 and walked away from this one shooting 16 out of 21 from the free throw line (76.2%). In reference to cleaning up the glass, Indiana permitted Phoenix to pull down 29 overall (8 on the offensive glass).

Caitlin Clark ended up being a factor for the Fever in the matchup. She knocked down 8 out of 17 in the matchup giving her a field goal percentage of 47.1%, and had 3 rebounds. Clark scored 24 points in her 29 minutes on the court and had 9 assists in this contest.

Indiana has a mark of 10-7 on the season. The Fever commit 23.9 fouls per contest and they hit 81.8% from the free throw line. Their rate of dishing out assists is at 20.5 times per contest (5th in basketball) and they are losing possession via turnover 15.4 times per contest. Indiana has totaled 1,565 pts on the season (92.1 per game) and they pull in 34.3 rebounds per contest. As an offense, the Fever are shooting 46.0% from the field, which has them ranked 5th in the WNBA. The Fever defensively are ranked 13th in the WNBA in points per game surrendered with 88.9. The Indiana defense gives up 33.3% on shots from beyond the perimeter (117 of 351) and their opponents are knocking down 78.0% of their free throw attempts. They have allowed 19.4 dimes and 30.9 boards per contest, which is 5th and 4th in basketball. They are forcing their opponents into 12.7 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 45.2% from the field (8th in the league).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Phoenix (+8.5)

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