Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces Prediction, 5/9/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Phoenix Mercury vs Las Vegas Aces

Date: Saturday, May 9, 2026

Location: T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, NV

TV: ABC

The Las Vegas Aces (30-14 last year) host the Phoenix Mercury (27-17 last season) at T-Mobile Arena on Saturday.

The Phoenix Mercury faced off with the Las Vegas Aces and went home with a loss by a final score of 97-86 in their last game. Phoenix ended the contest having earned a 49.2% field goal percentage (32 of 65) and made 5 of 18 three-point attempts. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Mercury buried 17 of their 19 attempts for a percentage of 89.5%. With respect to grabbing rebounds, they earned 33 with 10 of them being offensive. They also doled out 17 assists in this matchup as well as creating 8 turnovers and earning 5 steals. In relation to the defense, Phoenix allowed the other team to go 38.9% from the field on 28 out of 72 shooting. Las Vegas recorded 12 dimes and had 8 steals in the game. Additionally, Las Vegas pulled down 36 rebounds (12 offensive, 24 defensive) and got 8 rejections. Las Vegas went 82.9% from the charity stripe by knocking down 29 of 35 shots. They also knocked down 12 of 31 shots from three-point range.

Kahleah Copper is a player who was a major contributor in the matchup. She accumulated 30 points on 12 of 22 shooting. She was on the court for 36 minutes and also totaled 6 rebounds. Copper finished the contest at 54.5% from the field and also totaled 1 assist.

Get all of our WNBA Parlay Picks

Phoenix comes into this game after finishing with a mark of 27-17 last year. The Mercury hit on 34.0% on 3-point shots (414 of 1,217) and 78.4% from the free throw line. They had an average of 82.8 pts per game (7th in the league) while shooting 43.3% from the field. They turned the ball over 12.5 times per contest and as a team committed 17.8 fouls on a nightly basis. As a squad, Phoenix grabbed 34.7 rebounds per game and tallied 922 dimes over the course of last season, which was 5th in basketball in terms of passing the ball. On the defensive end, the Mercury were able to force 13.8 turnovers per game while drawing 16.4 personal fouls. They conceded 32.1% on shots from beyond the arc while they were 5th in the league in points per game allowed (80.1). The Mercury defense gave up a FG percentage of 42.7% (1,257 of 2,945) and they relinquished 35.3 rebounds per game as a unit. They were 6th in the WNBA in giving up assists with 868 conceded last year.

When they last played, the Las Vegas Aces got the win with a final of 97-86 when they played the Phoenix Mercury. The Aces pulled down 24 defensive boards and 12 offensive rebounds totaling 36 for the contest. They also gave up possession of the ball 8 times, while getting 8 steals in this game. The Mercury had 21 fouls for this contest which got the Aces to the free throw line for 35 shots. They were able to make 29 of the free throws for a percentage of 82.9%. In reference to shots from 3-point land, Las Vegas converted 12 of their 31 tries (38.7%). Overall, the Aces ended up shooting 28 out of 72 from the field which had them sitting at 38.9%. The Aces permitted the Mercury to convert 32 of their 65 attempts from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 49.2% for the game. They went 27.8% from beyond the perimeter by shooting 5 out of 18 and ended up shooting 17 out of 19 at the free throw line (89.5%). With respect to attacking the glass, Las Vegas allowed Phoenix to get 33 in all (10 on the offensive side).

A'ja Wilson pitched in for the Aces in the matchup. She made 7 of 21 in this game for a rate of 33.3%, and totaled 9 rebounds. Wilson accumulated 31 points in her 36 mins of playing time and tallied 4 dimes for the contest.

Las Vegas had a mark of 30-14 last year. The Aces were responsible for committing 16.6 personal fouls per contest and they connected on 82.4% from the charity stripe. They got an assist 19.6 times per game (9th in basketball) and they turned it over 11.9 times per contest. Las Vegas accumulated 3,680 pts throughout last year (83.6 per contest) and they collected 33.5 rebounds per game. When it comes to executing on offense, the Aces shot 43.9% from the floor, which was ranked 8th in the league. The Aces on defense were ranked 7th in the league in points allowed per game with 80.7. They conceded 20.4 assists and 35.0 boards on a nightly basis, ranking them 9th and 9th in those categories on the defensive end. The Las Vegas defense gave up 31.6% on shots from behind the 3-point line (318 of 1,007) and their opposition made 81.5% of their shots from the free throw line. They were able to force 12.5 turnovers on a nightly basis and let teams shoot 43.6% from the field (6th in basketball).

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Las Vegas

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get WNBA picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bets by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.