Phoenix Mercury vs Los Angeles Sparks Prediction, 7/22/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Phoenix Mercury vs Los Angeles Sparks

Date: Wednesday, July 22, 2026

Location: crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles, CA

TV: WNBA League Pass

crypto.com Arena is the venue where and the Los Angeles Sparks (10-15) will take on the Phoenix Mercury (9-18) on Wednesday.

The Phoenix Mercury played the Connecticut Sun and went home with a win by a final score of 72-63 in their last contest. Phoenix finished the contest having earned a 41.3% FG percentage (26 of 63) and made 2 out of their 15 three-point shots. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Mercury converted 18 of 23 attempts for a rate of 78.3%. When discussing rebounding, they collected 32 with 8 of them being on the offensive end. They also distributed 19 assists for this game while forcing the other team into 21 turnovers and having 11 steals. Regarding defending, Phoenix allowed the other team to go 37.9% from the floor on 22 out of 58 shooting. Connecticut distributed 9 dimes and had 6 steals for the contest. In addition, Connecticut grabbed 35 rebounds (9 offensive, 26 defensive) and added 4 blocks. Connecticut finished shooting 78.9% at the charity stripe by knocking down 15 of their 19 shots. They made 4 out of their 14 attempts from beyond the perimeter.

DeWanna Bonner is one player who played a role for this game. She notched 21 points on 7 out of 13 shooting. She was on the court for 29 mins and collected 6 boards. Bonner ended up going 53.8% from the floor but had no assists when the game ended.

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Phoenix comes into this one with a win-loss mark of 9-18 this year. They have an average of 82.9 points per outing (11th in basketball) while shooting 43.8% from the field. The Mercury are hitting 32.4% on three-point shots (211 of 651) and 79.2% from the charity stripe. As a team, Phoenix is pulling down 31.4 boards per contest and has earned 519 assists this year, which is 12th in basketball in terms of passing the ball. They lose possession by turning the ball over 13.2 times per game and as a basketball team are committing 18.0 fouls per game. On the defensive end, the Mercury are able to force 13.1 turnovers per game while drawing 21.0 personal fouls. The Mercury are allowing an opponent shooting percentage of 46.5% (355 of 568) and they concede 33.5 boards per contest as a basketball team. They currently rank 13th in the WNBA in giving up assists with 561 surrendered so far this season. They are surrendering 37.2% on 3-pointers and they are 9th in basketball in PPG allowed (86.7).

In their last game, the Los Angeles Sparks went home defeated by a final of 90-82 when they played the Dallas Wings. The Sparks were able to collect 25 defensive boards and 5 offensive boards totaling 30 in this matchup. They gave up possession of the ball 13 times, while getting 9 steals for the matchup. The Wings earned 21 personal fouls for the game which got the Sparks to the charity stripe for a total of 11 attempts. They were able to make 10 of the free throw tries for a percentage of 90.9%. In relation to shots from downtown, Los Angeles converted 6 out of their 21 tries (28.6%). When this game wrapped up, the Sparks ended up shooting 33 for 68 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 48.5%. The Sparks permitted the Wings to convert 34 of 69 attempts from the floor which had them sitting at 49.3% for the game. They finished shooting 36.8% from behind the 3-point line by going 7 of 19 and ended up going 15 of 19 from the charity stripe (78.9%). Regarding rebounding, Los Angeles permitted Dallas to grab 34 in total (10 on the offensive glass).

Nneka Ogwumike pitched in for the Sparks in this matchup. She converted 7 out of 12 in this matchup giving her a rate of 58.3%, and added 10 rebounds. Ogwumike scored 17 points in her 33 mins of playing time and tallied 3 dimes for this game.

Los Angeles has a record of 10-15 for the year. Los Angeles has accounted for 2,213 pts for the year (88.5 per contest) and they grab 31.0 rebounds per contest. The Sparks commit 20.4 fouls per contest while shooting 79.3% from the free throw line. When it comes to executing on offense, the Sparks are hitting on 46.0% from the field, which has them ranked 5th in the league. They are getting an assist 20.9 times per game (5th in basketball) and they cough up possession 14.2 times per game. The Sparks on the defensive side of the court are 15th in the WNBA in PPG given up with 93.6. The Los Angeles defense allows 33.8% on shots from 3-point land (230 of 681) and opponents are knocking down 79.0% of their foul shots. They allow 22.3 assists and 35.6 boards on a nightly basis, which is ranked 14th and 14th in the WNBA. They are forcing their opponents into 13.8 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 47.6% from the floor (14th in the WNBA).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Phoenix

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