Phoenix Mercury vs Los Angeles Sparks Prediction, 8/11/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Phoenix Mercury vs Los Angeles Sparks

Date: Tuesday, August 11, 2026

Location: Galen Center in Los Angeles, CA

TV: WNBA League Pass

The Phoenix Mercury (12-21) head to Galen Center on Tuesday where they'll meet the Los Angeles Sparks (12-18).

The Phoenix Mercury played the Connecticut Sun and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 75-72 in their last game. Phoenix walked away from the contest with a 39.7% FG percentage (27 out of 68) and buried 5 out of their 28 shots from beyond the arc. At the charity stripe, the Mercury converted 13 of their 23 shots for a rate of 56.5%. When it comes to pulling down boards, they collected a total of 29 with 6 of them being of the offensive sort. They also recorded 19 dimes for the game while creating 18 turnovers and earning 10 steals. In reference to defending, Phoenix allowed the other team to go 47.4% from the field on 27 out of 57 shooting. Connecticut dished out 3 assists and had 5 steals in this contest. Additionally, Connecticut pulled down 34 rebounds (3 offensive, 31 defensive) and had 5 blocks. Connecticut walked away from this one shooting 70.0% from the free throw line by making 14 of 20 tries. They also buried 7 out of their 20 shots from beyond the perimeter.

Kelsey Plum is one player who played a role for the game. She left the arena with 25 points on 9 out of 16 shooting. She saw the court for 28 minutes played but wasn't able to snag any boards. Plum finished the game at 56.3% from the floor and also totaled 3 dimes.

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Phoenix enters this matchup with a win-loss mark of 12-21 so far this year. The Mercury are connecting on 31.9% on shots beyond the perimeter (252 of 791) and 78.3% from the charity stripe. They currently have an average of 83.8 pts per contest (11th in basketball) while hitting 44.2% from the field. They turn it over 12.7 times per game and as a basketball team they commit 18.4 fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, Phoenix is collecting 31.3 boards per game and has accumulated 654 assists this year, which ranks 10th in the league in terms of passing the ball. Defensively, the Mercury are forcing their opponents into 13.1 turnovers on a nightly basis while drawing 21.8 personal fouls. They are surrendering 37.0% on shots from beyond the arc while they are 8th in basketball in PPG from their opponents (87.3). The Mercury defense is allowing a FG percentage of 46.3% (432 of 719) and they concede 33.9 rebounds per game as a unit. They are currently ranked 13th in the WNBA in allowing assists to the opposition with 709 conceded this season.

In their last game, the Los Angeles Sparks walked away with a victory by a final of 89-82 against the Minnesota Lynx. The Sparks recorded 25 defensive rebounds and 10 offensive boards for a total of 35 for this game. They coughed up the ball 13 times, while earning 6 steals for the contest. The Lynx earned 22 fouls for the matchup which took the Sparks to the charity stripe for a total of 16 shots. They were able to convert 12 of them for a rate of 75.0%. In relation to shots from beyond the arc, Los Angeles buried 9 out of 24 attempts (37.5%). At the conclusion of this game, the Sparks went 34 for 68 from the floor which had them at 50.0%. The Sparks permitted the Lynx to make 31 out of their 73 attempts from the floor which had them sitting at 42.5% in this matchup. They finished the game shooting 31.0% from behind the 3-point line by going 9 out of 29 and ended up going 11 out of 13 at the free throw line (84.6%). With respect to rebounds, Los Angeles permitted Minnesota to get 35 in total (14 offensive).

Rae Burrell ended up being a major contributor for the Sparks in this matchup. She made 5 of 11 in this game for a field goal rate of 45.5%, and accounted for 2 rebounds. Burrell recorded 17 points in her 28 mins of playing time and had 2 dimes in this game.

Los Angeles has a record of 12-18 on the season. Los Angeles has scored 2,687 points so far this season (89.6 per contest) and they grab 31.1 boards per game. The Sparks are committing 19.9 personal fouls per game and they hit 79.1% from the free throw line. When it comes to offense, the Sparks are hitting on 46.7% from the field, which ranks 4th in the WNBA. Their rate of dishing out assists is at 22.2 times per game (2nd in the league) and they turn it over 14.3 times per game. The Sparks on the defensive side of the court are 15th in the league in points per game surrendered with 93.9. The Los Angeles defense gives up 34.7% on shots from distance (287 of 826) and opponents are connecting on 79.6% of their free throw shots. They have given up 22.6 dimes and 35.0 total boards per game, which ranks them 14th and 13th in the league. They are forcing 13.7 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 47.9% from the floor (14th in the league).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Phoenix

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