Phoenix Mercury vs New York Liberty Prediction, 5/29/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Phoenix Mercury vs New York Liberty

Date: Friday, May 29, 2026

Location: Barclays Center in Brooklyn, NY

TV: ION

Odds/Point Spread: Phoenix (+5.5)

Barclays Center is the venue where and the New York Liberty (4-4) will play the Phoenix Mercury (2-6) on Friday. New York opens this matchup as 5.5 point favorites. The total has been set at 168.5.

The Phoenix Mercury faced the New York Liberty and took a loss by a score of 84-74 in their last contest. Phoenix wrapped up the game with a 42.4% field goal percentage (25 out of 59) and buried 10 of their 30 shots from distance. At the charity stripe, the Mercury knocked down 14 of 22 tries for a rate of 63.6%. In reference to pulling down boards, they collected 32 with 7 of them being of the offensive variety. They also distributed 19 dimes for the contest in addition to forcing the other team into 11 turnovers and having 7 steals. Concerning defense, Phoenix allowed the other team to go 41.8% from the field on 28 out of 67 shooting. New York dished out 6 assists and had 9 steals for the contest. On top of that, New York pulled down 32 boards (6 offensive, 26 defensive) and earned 2 blocks. New York shot 100.0% when shooting free throws by converting 14 of their 14 attempts. They also made 14 of 30 tries from downtown.

Kahleah Copper is a player who was a major factor in the matchup. She ended up with 19 points on 6 out of 18 shooting. She was on the hardwood for 36 minutes and also pulled down 2 boards. Copper ended up shooting 33.3% from the floor and recorded 2 assists.

Get all of our Free WNBA Picks

Phoenix heads into this game with a record of 2-6 on the year. They turn it over 12.9 times per game and as a squad they commit 19.5 fouls per contest. As a team, Phoenix is snagging 33.1 boards per contest and has accounted for 145 assists so far this year, which is 7th in basketball in terms of passing the rock. The Mercury are hitting 32.5% from downtown (63 of 194) and 79.6% from the charity stripe. They are averaging 85.6 points per outing (10th in the WNBA) while shooting 43.4% from the field. On the defensive end of the court, the Mercury are forcing 13.1 turnovers per contest and they draw 22.6 personal fouls. They are giving up 39.2% on shots from distance and they rank 9th in the WNBA in points per game allowed (86.6). The Mercury are giving up a shooting percentage of 45.3% (105 of 181) and they concede 33.9 boards per game as a basketball team. They are currently ranked 12th in basketball in giving up assists with 159 surrendered on the year.

In their last game, the New York Liberty took home the win by a final score of 84-74 when they played the Phoenix Mercury. The Liberty were able to corral 26 defensive rebounds and 6 offensive rebounds for a total of 32 in this contest. They also gave up possession of the ball 11 times, while getting 9 steals for the matchup. The Mercury committed 21 fouls for this contest which got the Liberty to the free throw line for a total of 14 shots. They were able to knock down 14 of them for a rate of 100.0%. In relation to 3-pointers, New York converted 14 out of 30 attempts (46.7%). When the final whistle blew, the Liberty went 28 out of 67 from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 41.8%. The Liberty permitted the Mercury to make 25 of 59 attempts from the floor which gave them a percentage of 42.4% for this contest. They finished 33.3% from downtown by connecting on 10 out of 30 and finished the game at 14 out of 22 from the free throw line (63.6%). In relation to team rebounding, New York permitted Phoenix to snag 32 overall (7 on the offensive glass).

Marine Johannes was important for the Liberty for the contest. She buried 7 of 11 for this contest for a field goal rate of 63.6%, and earned 3 rebounds. Johannes accumulated 21 points in her 24 mins on the court and had 5 assists for the matchup.

New York has a mark of 4-4 for the year. When it comes to offense, the Liberty are shooting 45.9% from the field, which is ranked 6th in basketball. New York has 704 pts for the campaign (88.0 per contest) and they grab 33.0 boards per contest. They are dishing out assists 22.1 times per contest (4th in basketball) and they turn it over 14.3 times per contest. The Liberty are committing 21.1 fouls per game while shooting 86.8% from the free throw line. The Liberty on the defensive end are ranked 6th in the league in PPG given up with 85.1. They are able to force 12.3 turnovers on a nightly basis and allow teams to shoot 42.9% from the field (6th in basketball). The New York defense allows 33.6% on shots from distance (80 of 238) and their opposition makes 71.1% of their free throw shots. They concede 19.9 dimes and 32.6 rebounds per game, which is 10th and 8th in the league.

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Phoenix (+5.5)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get WNBA picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bets by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.