Phoenix Mercury vs Portland Fire Prediction, 6/5/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Phoenix Mercury vs Portland Fire

Date: Friday, June 5, 2026

Location: Moda Center in Portland, OR

TV: ION

Odds/Point Spread: Phoenix (+1.5)

Moda Center is the venue where and the Portland Fire (6-5) will take on the Phoenix Mercury (3-8) on Friday. The line on this game has Portland as 1.5 point favorites. The total opens at 163.5.

The Phoenix Mercury faced the Seattle Storm and walked away with a win by a score of 72-68 in their last contest. Phoenix walked away from the contest with a 37.5% field goal percentage (24 out of 64) and buried 3 of their 22 shots from beyond the arc. From the free throw line, the Mercury converted 21 of 27 shots for a rate of 77.8%. When talking about getting rebounds, they compiled a total of 24 with 11 of them being of the offensive sort. They also doled out 18 assists for this contest as well as forcing the opposition into 11 turnovers and getting 6 steals. In reference to defending, Phoenix let their opponent shoot 38.4% from the field on 28 of 73 shooting. Seattle totaled 8 dimes and had 10 steals for the matchup. Additionally, Seattle snagged 35 rebounds (8 offensive, 27 defensive) and got 5 blocks. Seattle finished 60.0% when shooting free throws by knocking down 3 of their 5 shots. They made 9 of 33 shots from 3-point range.

Kahleah Copper is one player who came through in the matchup. She ended up walking away with 16 points on 4 of 14 shooting. She saw the court for 35 minutes played and grabbed 6 rebounds. Copper shot 28.6% from the field and totaled 1 assist.

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Phoenix comes into this matchup with a win-loss record of 3-8 on the year. They turn it over 12.6 times per contest and as a unit are committing 18.5 fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, Phoenix is grabbing 32.4 boards per game and has 194 assists so far this season, which has them ranked 7th in the league in terms of passing. The Mercury are connecting on 30.7% on shots from beyond the arc (82 of 267) and 80.9% from the charity stripe. They average 82.0 points per contest (12th in the league) while connecting on 41.2% from the floor. On the defensive end of the court, the Mercury are able to force 13.3 turnovers per contest and they draw 22.0 fouls. They are giving up 38.4% on shots from beyond the arc and they are 10th in basketball in PPG allowed (86.1). The Mercury defense is allowing a FG percentage of 46.2% (146 of 242) and they surrender 34.5 boards per contest as a basketball team. They are ranked 12th in the WNBA in allowing assists to their opponents with 221 conceded on the campaign.

For their last game, the Portland Fire took a loss by a score of 95-77 against the Golden State Valkyries. The Fire were able to corral 20 defensive rebounds and 8 offensive rebounds for a total of 28 in this contest. They also gave up possession of the ball 15 times, while earning 3 steals for this contest. The Valkyries committed 16 personal fouls in the matchup which took the Fire to the charity stripe for 16 tries. They were able to bury 12 of the free throw attempts for a percentage of 75.0%. When talking about 3-point attempts, Portland converted 9 of their 24 tries (37.5%). When the game finished, the Fire shot 28 out of 61 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 45.9%. The Fire permitted the Valkyries to convert 32 of their 69 attempts from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 46.4% in this contest. They finished 45.0% from downtown by going 18 of 40 and finished the game at 13 out of 18 from the free throw line (72.2%). When it comes to rebounds, Portland permitted Golden State to get 28 in total (9 on the offensive side).

Megan Gustafson ended up being a major contributor for the Fire in this matchup. She knocked down 6 of 12 in this game giving her a rate of 50.0%, and had 8 rebounds. Gustafson accumulated 13 points in her 24 minutes on the hardwood and added 2 dimes in the matchup.

Portland has a record of 6-5 for the year. When it comes to offense, the Fire are connecting on 45.7% from the field, which has them ranked 5th in the league. Portland has totaled 913 points for the campaign (83.0 per contest) and they collect 27.2 boards per game. They are assisting teammates 19.1 times per contest (10th in the WNBA) and they lose possession by turning the ball over 14.7 times per contest. The Fire are committing 22.5 personal fouls per contest and they connect on 80.6% from the free throw line. The Fire on the defensive side of the court are 9th in the league in PPG surrendered with 86.0. They are forcing their opponents into 14.7 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 46.0% from the floor (9th in the WNBA). The Portland defense allows 33.1% on three-point shots (97 of 293) and opponents are converting on 79.6% of their free throw shots. They have allowed 22.0 assists and 31.7 boards on a nightly basis, which ranks 14th and 5th in the league.

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Phoenix (+1.5)

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