Phoenix Mercury vs Washington Mystics Prediction, 8/9/2026 WNBA Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Phoenix Mercury vs Washington Mystics

Date: Sunday, August 9, 2026

Location: CareFirst Arena in Washington, DC

TV: WNBA League Pass

The Washington Mystics (18-12) host the Phoenix Mercury (12-21) at CareFirst Arena on Sunday.

The Phoenix Mercury took the court against the Connecticut Sun and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 75-72 in their last contest. Phoenix ended having earned a 39.7% field goal percentage (27 of 68) and made 5 of their 28 shots from distance. At the free throw line, the Mercury buried 13 of 23 tries for a percentage of 56.5%. When it comes to pulling down boards, they collected 29 with 6 of them being of the offensive sort. They also recorded 19 dimes for the game while forcing the other team into 18 turnovers and earning 10 steals. In the matter of defending, Phoenix let their opponent shoot 47.4% from the field on 27 of 57 shooting. Connecticut earned 3 dimes and had 5 steals in this contest. Additionally, Connecticut snagged 34 rebounds (3 offensive, 31 defensive) and earned 5 rejections. Connecticut finished the contest at 70.0% at the free throw line by converting 14 of their 20 tries. They converted 7 out of their 20 tries from long range.

Kelsey Plum is one player who was a major factor in this matchup. She ended up finishing with 25 points on 9 of 16 shooting. She played for 28 mins but wasn't able to snag any boards. Plum ended up shooting 56.3% from the floor and earned 3 assists.

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Phoenix comes into this contest with a record of 12-21 on the season. They have an average of 83.8 points per outing (11th in basketball) while hitting 44.2% from the floor. The Mercury are shooting 31.9% on shots from 3-point land (252 of 791) and 78.3% from the charity stripe. As a team, Phoenix is grabbing 31.3 rebounds per game and has accounted for 654 assists so far this year, which has them ranked 7th in the league in terms of passing the ball. They cough up possession 12.7 times per contest and as a unit they are committing 18.4 fouls per game. When they are on the defensive end, the Mercury have forced 13.1 turnovers per game while drawing 21.8 fouls. They are giving up 37.0% on 3-point attempts and they are 8th in the league in PPG allowed (87.3). The Mercury defense is allowing a FG percentage of 46.3% (432 of 719) and they concede 33.9 rebounds per game as a group. They are ranked 14th in the league in giving up assists to their opponents with 709 relinquished on the season.

When they last played, the Washington Mystics walked away with a victory by a final of 79-74 when they played the Atlanta Dream. The Mystics were able to corral 35 defensive rebounds and 11 offensive rebounds for a total of 46 in the game. They coughed it up 17 times, while earning 6 steals for the game. The Dream were called for 29 fouls for this contest which took the Mystics to the charity stripe for 34 tries. They were able to bury 15 of them for a clip of 44.1%. In relation to shots from downtown, Washington made 6 of their 14 attempts (42.9%). When this game wrapped up, the Mystics went 29 for 62 from the field which had them sitting at 46.8%. The Mystics allowed the Dream to convert 25 of their 77 tries from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 32.5% in this matchup. They shot 28.6% from three-point range via 6 of 21 and finished the contest at 18 of 27 from the free throw line (66.7%). In reference to attacking the glass, Washington allowed Atlanta to snag 40 overall (14 on the offensive side).

Shakira Austin ended up being a factor for the Mystics for this game. She made 7 of 11 in the game giving her a rate of 63.6%, and accounted for 11 rebounds. Austin recorded 21 points in her 27 minutes on the court and totaled 3 assists for the game.

Washington has a record of 18-12 for the season. On the offensive side of the ball, the Mystics are hitting on 43.8% from the field, which has them ranked 11th in the WNBA. Washington has tallied 2,448 points for the season (81.6 per game) and they grab 37.5 boards per game. They are earning an assist 19.1 times per game (15th in the WNBA) and they turn the ball over 15.5 times per game. The Mystics commit 20.3 fouls per game and they connect on 73.5% from the free throw line. The Mystics on defense are ranked 2nd in the league in points allowed per game with 82.9. They have given up 19.5 assists and 30.8 boards on a nightly basis, which is 3rd and 3rd in the league. The Washington defense surrenders 32.4% on 3-pointers (256 of 791) and opponents are converting on 77.5% of their shots from the charity stripe. They are forcing 12.3 turnovers per game and have allowed teams to shoot 42.4% from the field (1st in basketball).

Who will win tonight's WNBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Washington

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